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What can we expect to happen next?

Started by Maladict, Today at 08:09:23 AM

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Which of the following will happen first?

Detonation of a nuclear weapon
1 (5.9%)
Civil war in a NATO/EU country
2 (11.8%)
Global warming wipes out a major city
2 (11.8%)
Global conflict starting in Taiwan
6 (35.3%)
Global conflict starting in the Middle East
4 (23.5%)
Global conflict started by some damned foolish thing in the Balkans
2 (11.8%)

Total Members Voted: 17

Barrister

When was the last time a global war started in the mid-east?

It's been a risk for decades - but that it actually happened?  I'm struggling to think of something since the Crusades.

Even WWI - which did take place in part in the Middle East's Ottoman territories - did not start there.

Edit: I could (as always) be wrong - I just can't think of anything else.
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Zanza

Thankfully the number of past global wars is not statistically significant, so we can hardly assume that history can tell us much about where the next global war will break out.

Barrister

Quote from: Zanza on Today at 05:27:51 PMThankfully the number of past global wars is not statistically significant, so we can hardly assume that history can tell us much about where the next global war will break out.

How many "global wars" have their been?

WWI
WWII
(of course)

beyond that though - I don't think any way has literally involved the entire earth.  So lets just think of wars that involved multiple continents?

Napoleonic Wars
Seven Years War
Mongol conquests
Crusades

Global War on Terror?



So I mean a global war breaking out because of the middle east is more likely than one because of South America, but I still don't know if it's a likely flashpoint.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Valmy

The Middle East was the subject and battlefield for dozens and dozens of major multi-continental wars going back to the Bronze Age. Not sure what you are getting at there BB.
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jimmy olsen

Global warming wiping out a city. One wet bulb day from killing five digits in Pakistan or India.
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