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General Category => Off the Record => Topic started by: Tamas on August 18, 2011, 06:28:23 AM

Title: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Tamas on August 18, 2011, 06:28:23 AM
stolen from this blog: http://www.thereformedbroker.com/2011/08/18/grinding-to-a-halt/

QuoteThis morning, Morgan Stanley put out a note with a downgrade of, well, planet earth.  The firm's look at the prospects for global growth this year makes for a very sobering read...

QuoteFrom Bloomberg:

Morgan Stanley cut its forecast for global growth this year, citing an "insufficient" policy response to Europe's sovereign debt crisis, weakened confidence and the prospect of fiscal tightening.

The bank estimates expansion of 3.9 percent, down from a previous forecast of 4.2 percent, according to an e-mailed report dated today. Morgan Stanley cut its China growth forecast for next year and Deutsche Bank AG reduced its estimates for the nation for 2011 and 2012.

The threat to the global economy from the debt burdens of developed nations from the U.S. to Europe has roiled world markets this month and wiped trillions of dollars off the value of equities. At the same time, slowing expansions in countries including Germany, the key driver of European growth, are hurting confidence.

The U.S. and Europe are "dangerously close to recession," Morgan Stanley analysts including Chetan Ahya said in the note.
I view this as a massive failure of central bankers from Europe to the US.  The programs they've embarked on have meant nothing and cost us everything.  The best we can hope for is to bump along at 1 or 2% growth in the US and avoid recession.  In Europe, the best they can hope for a continuance of the masquerade that a currency union without taxing authority or a standing army is even possible.  As for China, they better pray that their best customers don't fall too hard.

Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:30:00 AM
Screw those mother fuckers.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Tamas on August 18, 2011, 06:38:43 AM
Not sure where I read it recently (maybe it was here) but the western governments' toolbox looks awfully empty this time around.

Decrease interest rates? To where? Deficit-spend? lol
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 06:52:14 AM
Quote from: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:30:00 AM
Screw those mother fuckers.

QuoteOne winter, a Farmer found a Snake stiff and frozen with cold. He had compassion on it, and taking it up, placed it in his bosom. The Snake was quickly revived by the warmth, and resuming its natural instincts, bit its benefactor, inflicting on him a mortal wound.

"Oh," cried the Farmer with his last breath, "I am rightly served for pitying a scoundrel."

The greatest kindness will not bind the ungrateful.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:59:52 AM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 06:52:14 AM
Quote from: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:30:00 AM
Screw those mother fuckers.

QuoteOne winter, a Farmer found a Snake stiff and frozen with cold. He had compassion on it, and taking it up, placed it in his bosom. The Snake was quickly revived by the warmth, and resuming its natural instincts, bit its benefactor, inflicting on him a mortal wound.

"Oh," cried the Farmer with his last breath, "I am rightly served for pitying a scoundrel."

The greatest kindness will not bind the ungrateful.
Heard that before but in a different context. Had a fox and a snake or turtle and a snake or some shit like that.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: HVC on August 18, 2011, 07:49:21 AM
frog and a scorpian.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Valmy on August 18, 2011, 08:16:01 AM
QuoteThe U.S. and Europe are "dangerously close to recession," Morgan Stanley analysts including Chetan Ahya said in the note.

Damn.  I thought we were dangerously in a recession this whole time.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: HVC on August 18, 2011, 08:18:11 AM
Quote from: Valmy on August 18, 2011, 08:16:01 AM
QuoteThe U.S. and Europe are “dangerously close to recession,” Morgan Stanley analysts including Chetan Ahya said in the note.

Damn.  I thought we were dangerously in a recession this whole time.
our recession has hit a recession
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 09:07:45 AM
Quote from: HVC on August 18, 2011, 07:49:21 AM
frog and a scorpian.
That's it
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: MadImmortalMan on August 18, 2011, 10:49:04 AM
I wonder if the world has an etf I can short.

Ah, screw it. I have puts on Morgan Stanley that are doing quite nicely this morning.  :lol:
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Admiral Yi on August 18, 2011, 01:45:24 PM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 06:52:14 AM
Quote from: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:30:00 AM
Screw those mother fuckers.

QuoteOne winter, a Farmer found a Snake stiff and frozen with cold. He had compassion on it, and taking it up, placed it in his bosom. The Snake was quickly revived by the warmth, and resuming its natural instincts, bit its benefactor, inflicting on him a mortal wound.

"Oh," cried the Farmer with his last breath, "I am rightly served for pitying a scoundrel."

The greatest kindness will not bind the ungrateful.

Bizzareness.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Scipio on August 18, 2011, 01:56:36 PM
Barry O will save us!
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 05:33:15 PM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on August 18, 2011, 01:45:24 PM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 06:52:14 AM
Quote from: 11B4V on August 18, 2011, 06:30:00 AM
Screw those mother fuckers.

QuoteOne winter, a Farmer found a Snake stiff and frozen with cold. He had compassion on it, and taking it up, placed it in his bosom. The Snake was quickly revived by the warmth, and resuming its natural instincts, bit its benefactor, inflicting on him a mortal wound.

"Oh," cried the Farmer with his last breath, "I am rightly served for pitying a scoundrel."

The greatest kindness will not bind the ungrateful.

Bizzareness.

Of course you wouldn't get it.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: grumbler on August 18, 2011, 05:36:05 PM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 05:33:15 PM
Of course you wouldn't get it.
Not much to "get" - it is a stupid story.  Even "bizarre." A "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"  WTF kind of "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: DGuller on August 18, 2011, 05:40:15 PM
Corn farmer, probably.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Admiral Yi on August 18, 2011, 05:41:18 PM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 05:33:15 PM
Of course you wouldn't get it.

I get it and it's bizzareness.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Ideologue on August 18, 2011, 05:42:35 PM
Quote from: HVC on August 18, 2011, 08:18:11 AM
Quote from: Valmy on August 18, 2011, 08:16:01 AM
QuoteThe U.S. and Europe are "dangerously close to recession," Morgan Stanley analysts including Chetan Ahya said in the note.

Damn.  I thought we were dangerously in a recession this whole time.
our recession has hit a recession
:lol:
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Barrister on August 18, 2011, 05:44:15 PM
Quote from: grumbler on August 18, 2011, 05:36:05 PM
Quote from: CountDeMoney on August 18, 2011, 05:33:15 PM
Of course you wouldn't get it.
Not much to "get" - it is a stupid story.  Even "bizarre." A "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"  WTF kind of "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"

One that uses the shift key a lot, I imagine.
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: starbright on August 18, 2011, 05:58:28 PM
Bad world.  :mad:
Title: Re: Morgan Stanley downgrades the world
Post by: Caliga on August 18, 2011, 06:37:26 PM
Quote from: grumbler on August 18, 2011, 05:36:05 PM
Not much to "get" - it is a stupid story.  Even "bizarre." A "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"  WTF kind of "Farmer" puts a "Snake" to his "bosom?"
chick farmer? :)