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#11

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Tonitrus - Today at 12:20:44 AM

Some jihadist group claimed they shot down the refueler in Irak.

Being that the claim came after the CENTCOM announcement....good odds on being bullshit.

[The Times of Israel has reported that the second aircraft involved was another KC-135.]

#12

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Tonitrus - Today at 12:16:45 AM

KC-135s cannot refuel in the air. I cannot think of any circumstance in which two would be flying so close together as to collide, bar maybe in the landing pattern.

Looks like it may be one of the exceptions, and did involve two of them:

UPDATE: 6:15 PM EDT –

The Times of Israel has reported that the second aircraft involved was another KC-135. That outlet also says that the KC-135 in question was one that landed at Israel's Ben Gurion Airport earlier in the day after declaring an in-flight emergency. Online flight tracking data shows that tanker is a KC-135RT variant, one of a small subset of KC-135Rs that are themselves capable of being refueled in flight. This, in turn, allows them to make use of tanker support themselves to remain on station longer or to conduct longer-distance missions.

There is also an image out there supposedly of the other 135 that landed with a chunk of its vertical stabilizer missing.

#13

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Legbiter - Today at 12:10:24 AM

It is missing American soldiers depicted as titans.

And it might be nice if they actually were launching missiles into Russia too?

My thought was "at least he died with his wife".

#14

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Tonitrus - Today at 12:03:00 AM

Iranian war propaganda. It's AI slop but done in an anime style. 

https://x.com/A_M_R_M1/status/2032167472753729570

You are an Iranian in Iran, one of the few with a functioning VPN. You see this, how do you feel?

It is missing American soldiers depicted as titans.

And it might be nice if they actually were launching missiles into Russia too?

#15

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Jacob - March 12, 2026, 11:46:30 PM

I've seen enough to know how the this war ends. The regime stays in place, Strait of Hormuz is reopened. Whether the regime survives the aftermath, I'd say 50-50. If it survives, it's a meh outcome, Iranians are still screwed, same as they were before the war. If it falls, a regular military dictatorship without the religious zeal would be an improvement compared to now.  

I am not sure why you think the regime falling would lead to some peaceful and orderly transition to a military dictatorship.

To be fair to Legbiter, he didn't say it would be a peaceful and orderly transition.

The thing I'm less clear on is how and when the war ends. Will Trump find a way to TACO out of this?

#16

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Zoupa - March 12, 2026, 11:32:36 PM

Some jihadist group claimed they shot down the refueler in Irak. Drone attack on a French military base in Iraki Kurdistan injured 6 and killed 1 French soldier.

Remember to say thank you, Trump.

#17

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Legbiter - March 12, 2026, 11:00:27 PM

Iranian war propaganda. It's AI slop but done in an anime style. 

https://x.com/A_M_R_M1/status/2032167472753729570

You are an Iranian in Iran, one of the few with a functioning VPN. You see this, how do you feel?

#18

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Tonitrus - March 12, 2026, 10:53:01 PM

If it falls, a regular military dictatorship without the religious zeal would be an improvement compared to now.  

I seriously doubt the military would be able to supplant the IRGC for control.  And though there could be a IRGC "military dictatorship", odds are they'd always have an ayatollah as at least a figurehead.

#19

Off the Record / Re: [Canada] Canadian Politics...

Last post by crazy canuck - March 12, 2026, 10:36:49 PM

Apparently American bourbon has mainly been replaced by Irish whiskey

#20

Off the Record / Re: Iran War?

Last post by Valmy - March 12, 2026, 10:35:23 PM

I've seen enough to know how the this war ends. The regime stays in place, Strait of Hormuz is reopened. Whether the regime survives the aftermath, I'd say 50-50. If it survives, it's a meh outcome, Iranians are still screwed, same as they were before the war. If it falls, a regular military dictatorship without the religious zeal would be an improvement compared to now.  

I am not sure why you think the regime falling would lead to some peaceful and orderly transition to a military dictatorship.