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2016 elections - because it's never too early

Started by merithyn, May 09, 2013, 07:37:45 AM

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Legbiter

Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Phillip V

Cruz and Rubio are currently tied for 2nd place while Bush is trying to hold off the absentee Kasich for 4th place.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/south-carolina

Martinus

Quote from: katmai on February 20, 2016, 07:38:28 PM
Ugh, now more of listening to legbiter.

Nah, I'd love to see more analysis from you guys how the most recent thing Trump will say is going to surely make him lose votes next time.

Martinus

Quote from: Phillip V on February 20, 2016, 07:44:22 PM
Cruz and Rubio are currently tied for 2nd place while Bush is trying to hold off the absentee Kasich for 4th place.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/south-carolina

He won every single demographic including evangelicals.

Phillip V

Quote from: Martinus on February 20, 2016, 07:53:27 PM
Quote from: katmai on February 20, 2016, 07:38:28 PM
Ugh, now more of listening to legbiter.

Nah, I'd love to see more analysis from you guys how the most recent thing Trump will say is going to surely make him lose votes next time.

Trump this week beat George W. Bush and the Pope.  Who's next? :D

MadImmortalMan

"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Legbiter

Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Phillip V

Jeb! might finish the night in 5th place behind Kasich.  Please please let it be.  Then please drop out!

Jeb is a mess:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-McIdVuY88

Legbiter

Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

Razgovory

South Carolina, too small to be a nation, too large to be an insane asylum.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017


Eddie Teach

Looking forward to the Hungry For Power Games next week.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

katmai

Quote from: Martinus on February 20, 2016, 07:53:27 PM
Quote from: katmai on February 20, 2016, 07:38:28 PM
Ugh, now more of listening to legbiter.

Nah, I'd love to see more analysis from you guys how the most recent thing Trump will say is going to surely make him lose votes next time.
I've never said any such thing. I just know he won't win general election, I've never said the GOP isn't a mess.
Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son

Phillip V

What's next for Bush?  He's gone, not really gone.

Bush still has a crapload of money and influence regardless of being a terrible candidate.  He can either endorse Rubio, who he probably hates/weeps about now, but could create a tie with Trump.  Or he can endorse Kasich as the remaining "joyful" and adult governor candidate remaining.  Or do nothing, which would be unpatriotic.

OttoVonBismarck

Trump also will likely win all 50 delegates, he gets 29 for winning the whole state, and 3 for each congressional district. I think there are only 2 districts where there's any question left, and he's fairly safely ahead in those as well.

It's going to be a three way race now, but the question is how long do Kasich and Carson remain? They have no path to the nomination in my opinion, but by taking anywhere from 9-12% each they both make the solid 1/3rd that Trump seems to have guaranteed enough that he's going to win more and more states like this. It's also possible that when Carson drops out, his supporters go to Trump, which could complicate things for the forces of sanity.