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So what's up with gold?

Started by CountDeMoney, April 15, 2013, 09:56:35 PM

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derspiess

Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 11:54:01 AM
Quote from: derspiess on April 16, 2013, 11:48:11 AM
Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 11:40:20 AM
The primary strength of gold was always that it was useless for anything other than money.

:huh:

Gold is a very strong metal and conducts heat and electricity better than almost anything else.

The ability for it to conduct electricity and heat was not really a factor back when the Spanish were shipping it over to pay for their wars in the Netherlands.  You notice I used the past tense there.  But hey enlighten me, maybe I am wrong on that one.

http://geology.com/minerals/gold/uses-of-gold.shtml
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

Jacob

Re: the OP and the title.

Right now, I'd say nothing is up with gold. It seems pretty down, tbh.

Malthus

Quote from: derspiess on April 16, 2013, 11:59:22 AM
Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 11:54:01 AM
Quote from: derspiess on April 16, 2013, 11:48:11 AM
Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 11:40:20 AM
The primary strength of gold was always that it was useless for anything other than money.

:huh:

Gold is a very strong metal and conducts heat and electricity better than almost anything else.

The ability for it to conduct electricity and heat was not really a factor back when the Spanish were shipping it over to pay for their wars in the Netherlands.  You notice I used the past tense there.  But hey enlighten me, maybe I am wrong on that one.

http://geology.com/minerals/gold/uses-of-gold.shtml

The main reason gold is valuable is that it is both beautiful and rare, and very easily worked - so perfect for making valuable jewelry out of. That established its value, and its use in coins etc. comes from that.

While its ease of working and electricy-conducting capabilities have some modern, practical application, if it looked like shit it would never have been particularly valuable in the first place, and its modern industrial uses would never have made it worth anything close to what it is worth now.
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane—Marcus Aurelius

Valmy

I guess that goes to what I was saying.  That the reason it was good as money is because we didn't need it for anything else.  Needing it for industrial uses when it is being used as money serves to make those industries pay an outrageous price so it is counterproductive.  Before we did not have a problem like this.  Iron would have been a poor metal for money for that reason (well that and it rusts and is ugly and so forth).
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

mongers

Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 02:43:46 PM
I guess that goes to what I was saying.  That the reason it was good as money is because we didn't need it for anything else.  Needing it for industrial uses when it is being used as money serves to make those industries pay an outrageous price so it is counterproductive.  Before we did not have a problem like this.  Iron would have been a poor metal for money for that reason (well that and it rusts and is ugly and so forth).

But iron bars have been used as a form of currency/store of value.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Malthus

Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 02:43:46 PM
I guess that goes to what I was saying.  That the reason it was good as money is because we didn't need it for anything else.  Needing it for industrial uses when it is being used as money serves to make those industries pay an outrageous price so it is counterproductive.  Before we did not have a problem like this.  Iron would have been a poor metal for money for that reason (well that and it rusts and is ugly and so forth).

Then there is my favorite currency:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rai_stones

Don't spend it all in one place.  :D
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane—Marcus Aurelius

Valmy

Quote from: mongers on April 16, 2013, 02:48:48 PM
But iron bars have been used as a form of currency/store of value.

I guess I missed where I said they didn't.  Cows were also used for this purpose.  But they would be a poor form of money, you do not want people hoarding cows and iron we sorta need that stuff for commodities.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Malthus

Quote from: Valmy on April 16, 2013, 02:43:46 PM
I guess that goes to what I was saying.  That the reason it was good as money is because we didn't need it for anything else.  Needing it for industrial uses when it is being used as money serves to make those industries pay an outrageous price so it is counterproductive.  Before we did not have a problem like this.  Iron would have been a poor metal for money for that reason (well that and it rusts and is ugly and so forth).

Well, it had no practical value until modern times it is true, but had (and has) a very high decorative value, in the form of rings, crowns, etc.

As a fiat money, you cannot beat the Rai Stones. They really are completely useless.  :D

The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane—Marcus Aurelius

Valmy

Quote from: Malthus on April 16, 2013, 02:57:13 PM
Well, it had no practical value until modern times it is true, but had (and has) a very high decorative value, in the form of rings, crowns, etc.

Yeah but having those things be valuable only increased their prestige value ;)

QuoteAs a fiat money, you cannot beat the Rai Stones. They really are completely useless.  :D

The 4 ton stone industry would suffer!
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Malthus on April 16, 2013, 02:41:24 PM

The main reason gold is valuable is that it is both beautiful and rare, and very easily worked - so perfect for making valuable jewelry out of. That established its value, and its use in coins etc. comes from that.


And doesn't rust/deteriorate.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Malthus

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on April 16, 2013, 03:06:58 PM
Quote from: Malthus on April 16, 2013, 02:41:24 PM

The main reason gold is valuable is that it is both beautiful and rare, and very easily worked - so perfect for making valuable jewelry out of. That established its value, and its use in coins etc. comes from that.


And doesn't rust/deteriorate.

Good point.

Also, non-allergenic, making it even better suited for jewelry (though I doubt many Bronze Age chieftains cared about that aspect.  ;) ). 
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane—Marcus Aurelius

MadImmortalMan

FWIW, I read that factoring in the production and support costs in the gold market, a price per ounce below 1300 or so will start to put profitability pressures on mining operations. Not that they will necessarily quit mining below that, but they might limit selling product at the same levels. So just from a commodity perspective, there is some marginal floor built in.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

The Minsky Moment

Industrial uses for gold exist but they are a small portion of overall demand.  That does make gold different from other commodities that are produced primarily for industrial use.  And not different in a good way - different in the sense that it is far more dependent on fashion (jewelry) and speculation.

Except that the jewelry market is kind of predictable.  Indians will always buy for wedding and special occasions, and Chinese buy for New Year.  But when the price goes up, they compensate by buying less.  So jewelry demand sort of looks like your standard downsloping demand curve.

Which means the only thing that can sustain a a gold bull market is speculative interest.  The sound in the market is the just the popping of speculative bubble.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Admiral Yi

I feel sorry for the poor schlubs who have invested heavily in gold as a "hedge against inflation."

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 16, 2013, 05:32:16 PM
I feel sorry for the poor schlubs who have invested heavily in gold as a "hedge against inflation."


Those rules don't apply anymore.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers