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Independents and non-partisans

Started by Razgovory, August 22, 2012, 09:36:59 AM

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Valmy

Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Razgovory

Quote from: Valmy on August 22, 2012, 09:49:08 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on August 22, 2012, 09:28:57 PM
It was 10 points of 50%.  We never have a 70-30 split.  But you guys really want to tell yourself you are independent, special little snowflakes, then go ahead.

So...if we did have a 70-30 split then I personally could be an independent, special little snowflake?

If you wanted to.  The point of the article is that most of the people who consider themselves special little snowflakes tend vote to for the same party most of the time.  They don't want to feel identified with a particular party cause that gets in the way of their snow-flakiness.  It's a form of cognitive dissonance.  "Sure I vote Democratic most of the time, but don't try to pigeonhole me in that party!  I'm much better/ more complex/smarter/flaky then that!"
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Valmy

Quote from: Razgovory on August 22, 2012, 09:57:15 PM
If you wanted to.  The point of the article is that most of the people who consider themselves special little snowflakes tend vote to for the same party most of the time.  They don't want to feel identified with a particular party cause that gets in the way of their snow-flakiness.  It's a form of cognitive dissonance.  "Sure I vote Democratic most of the time, but don't try to pigeonhole me in that party!  I'm much better/ more complex/smarter/flaky then that!"

I vote Democratic in all Statewide Elections (including President) because it amuses me to do so.  Making Travis County blue thus more despised by the rest of Texas flatters my sense of civic pride...and I am comfortable in the fact that the Republicans will always win anyway by a large margin so it does not bother me much.  But since it does not actually mean I necesarily want those Democrats to win, and indeed if I thought it was a possibility I might vote differently.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Razgovory

Whatever you need to soothe your ego.  That is the point cognitive dissonance, to put what you want to believe and what is actually true about yourself closer together.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Eddie Teach

Quote from: Razgovory on August 22, 2012, 09:57:15 PM
If you wanted to.  The point of the article is that most of the people who consider themselves special little snowflakes tend vote to for the same party most of the time.

But do they? I suspect most of the analysis is based on Presidential elections, where the parties manage to churn out candidates who are nearly identical to their predecessors on policy year after year. Put up a pro-life Democrat, or a Republican who supports marijuana legalization, and you'll see a lot more shifting among independent voters, while all the partisan voters can really do is stay home.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

Razgovory

Yes.  Why don't you read the article?
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Eddie Teach

I don't believe the article addressed the hypothetical situations I just mentioned.

And clearly there are some pretty profound differences between yours and Berkut's politics, despite the fact you both consistently vote Democrat for President.  :P
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

Razgovory

Quote from: Peter Wiggin on August 22, 2012, 10:25:48 PM
I don't believe the article addressed the hypothetical situations I just mentioned.

And clearly there are some pretty profound differences between yours and Berkut's politics, despite the fact you both consistently vote Democrat for President.  :P

So he says.  What the article addressed was that most independents would support a plan proposed by the side they implicitly sided with no matter what the plan was.  That seems to be close to your hypothetical of the pro-life democrat and the pothead Republican.  It doesn't matter if your Republican likes chemical recreation, independents that lean Republican will still vote him.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Eddie Teach

To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

dps

Quote from: Razgovory on August 22, 2012, 10:34:33 PM
Quote from: Peter Wiggin on August 22, 2012, 10:25:48 PM
I don't believe the article addressed the hypothetical situations I just mentioned.

And clearly there are some pretty profound differences between yours and Berkut's politics, despite the fact you both consistently vote Democrat for President.  :P

So he says.  What the article addressed was that most independents would support a plan proposed by the side they implicitly sided with no matter what the plan was.  That seems to be close to your hypothetical of the pro-life democrat and the pothead Republican.  It doesn't matter if your Republican likes chemical recreation, independents that lean Republican will still vote him.

But that suggests that to be independent, they'd have to be single-issue voters.  I don't know how many people actually are single-issue voters, but in theory if your single issue is abortion, and you're pro-choice, if in a race for the state legislature the Republican nominee is pro-choice while the Democratic nominee is pro-life, then you'd vote Republican;  but if you're pro-choice but not a single-issue voter, then you might still vote Democratic because you agree with the Democratic nominee on all or most other issues.

Razgovory

What?  Why does it suggest you'd have to be a single issue voter?  I'm not seeing the connection here.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Admiral Yi

Quote from: Razgovory on August 23, 2012, 12:50:17 AM
What?  Why does it suggest you'd have to be a single issue voter?  I'm not seeing the connection here.

Because if the pro life Democrat is *not* a single issue voter we can't tell if he votes Democrat out of pure partisanship or out of the belief that on net the Democrat more closely reflects his preferences.

Valmy

Quote from: Razgovory on August 22, 2012, 10:08:51 PM
Whatever you need to soothe your ego.

Ok...so what is bruising my ego here exactly?  I do not really get the bizarre association that only the arrogant do not support Republicans or Democrats.  Plenty of arrogant people are Republicans and Democrats.

QuoteThat is the point cognitive dissonance, to put what you want to believe and what is actually true about yourself closer together.

What is true is I want certain things like being pro-individual liberty and managing a balanced budget and so forth that neither party are ever going to support.  When I feel like one of the parties might be slightly more inclined in that direction I hope they win but being here in Texas I have no ability to help them win besides tossing a few bucks their way.  On a local level I am far more active in picking candidates that support things I support and work to steer the state government into a less thought control police state direction.  I also always vote in the Republican Primary since they are ultimately the people who are going to win the election anyway.  I guess I do not really see how identifying myself as a party member does me any good or changes anything.  I certainly do not see how my vast ego is stroked by not doing so.  Ultimately I am just one guy and nobody gives a damn what I think, I do not even care that much but, you know, I have a civic duty or something.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

dps

Quote from: Admiral Yi on August 23, 2012, 07:12:05 AM
Quote from: Razgovory on August 23, 2012, 12:50:17 AM
What?  Why does it suggest you'd have to be a single issue voter?  I'm not seeing the connection here.

Because if the pro life Democrat is *not* a single issue voter we can't tell if he votes Democrat out of pure partisanship or out of the belief that on net the Democrat more closely reflects his preferences.

Right.

Razgovory

Quote from: Admiral Yi on August 23, 2012, 07:12:05 AM
Quote from: Razgovory on August 23, 2012, 12:50:17 AM
What?  Why does it suggest you'd have to be a single issue voter?  I'm not seeing the connection here.

Because if the pro life Democrat is *not* a single issue voter we can't tell if he votes Democrat out of pure partisanship or out of the belief that on net the Democrat more closely reflects his preferences.

Why does it have to be either one?  It could be both or neither.  Someone who is a single issue voter almost certainly has opinions about other things.  It's just that this one issue trumps the other ones.   Certainly someone could be a single issue voter and be purely partisan.  "Yeah, the Democrat claims to be pro-life, but Democrats are liars.  Can't trust them"  On the other hand they could be independent because they are very indecisive, extremely broad minded, not well informed, or they just forget what their own opinions were a year ago.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017