5 days to go - UK General Election - Your Prediction

[jamesww]

5 days to go so whats your prediction ?

Heres an interesting bbc interactive website for guessing MPs returned from share of the popular vote:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8609989.stm

My guess is -
Popular vote:
Conservative.. 35%
Labour............ 27%
Lib-Dems........ 30%
Others.............. 8%

MPs Returned:
Conservative.. 276 MPs
Labour............ 249 MPs
Lib-Dems.......... 96 MPs
Others.............. 29 MPs


'Winning post' is 326 seats

However I think tactical voting is going to be a bigger factor this election and I can't use the above calculator to reflect my guess on how local seats I know about will go.

[Admiral Yi]

I can't speak for anyone else, but it's a little hard for me to get all that worked up about an election that seems very much to be a beauty contest with little or no ideological content.

[CountDeMoney]

I'm guessing Conservative.  They've got wonderful plans for Minehead.

[Jaron]

I'm guessing Conservative.  They've got wonderful plans for Minehead.

What do they have planned for your head?

[Ed Anger]

Josq will be drunk.

[Palisadoes]

A Tory win, and hopefully the complete and utter destruction of the cancer that is the Labour party in this country.

A liberal-conservative government would be great!

[Eddie Teach]

I suspect Cameron will be in charge.

[citizen k]

I predict a red-green coalition government.

[Fate]

Are the Torries opposed to electoral reform as proposed by Mr. Nick? If not, then a Con-Lib coalition...

[jimmy olsen]

Tories fall just short of a majority I think.

[Josquius]

Josq will be drunk.

Its a Thursday so perhaps so.
Then again I may take the night out for the election....but only 4 left...hmm...


I'd go with a narrow conservative lead too.

[Grinning_Colossus]

37% Conservatard -- 305 seats
31% Game Show Hosts -- 98 seats
26% Neotrotskyist -- 220 seats
6% Miscellaneous silly Celts and lunatics -- 27 seats

A complete train wreck.

[Sheilbh]

I can't speak for anyone else, but it's a little hard for me to get all that worked up about an election that seems very much to be a beauty contest with little or no ideological content.

This is the most ideological election we've had in years.  Probably since 1992.  The parties have serious policy differences and quite strong ideological disagreements too.  It's unlike any election I can remember because it seems like a real Labour vs Tory (and the Liberals) as opposed to Blair against the Conservative chamber of horrors.

[HisMajestyBOB]

Labour will get only 10% of the vote, but because of rotten boroughs, they'll have enough MPs to have a majority government.

[Sheilbh]

Are the Torries opposed to electoral reform as proposed by Mr. Nick? If not, then a Con-Lib coalition...

Tories are opposed to electoral reform in all its forms.

My prediction - though it's meaningless in so close and tempestuous an election - is a small Tory majority