Stocks and Trading Thread - Channeling your inner Mono

Started by MadImmortalMan, December 21, 2009, 04:32:41 AM

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Admiral Yi

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 08, 2015, 12:47:19 PM
Yi the entire banking system was on the verge of insolvency in the early half of last decade; the central authorities simply recapitalized the banks.  At one point ICBC had an NPL ratio around 20%.  Now they are the largest bank in the world by market cap.  So yes the state can make success if it really wants to.

I thought we were talking about engineering profitability.

Barrister

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on June 08, 2015, 12:47:19 PM
Yi the entire banking system was on the verge of insolvency in the early half of last decade; the central authorities simply recapitalized the banks.  At one point ICBC had an NPL ratio around 20%.  Now they are the largest bank in the world by market cap.  So yes the state can make success if it really wants to.

One question I would ask w/r/t MIMs top 10 list is: what is the free float? 
And who owns/controls it?

I was curious why you were worried about the insolvency of the Insurance Corporation of British Columbia, given that it's a Crown Corporation... :hmm:
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Admiral Yi on June 08, 2015, 12:49:04 PM
I thought we were talking about engineering profitability.

Well ICBC turned a profit of RMB 275 billion  last year; I'll leave it open as to what extent the state had influence on that result.

But what we are really talking about are stock prices and how they are determined.
The question I asked - half rhetorically - is about the ownership and extent of free float - half rhetorically because I can't figure it out and suspect it may be unknown, half not because maybe some one does.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Admiral Yi

Just heard on CNBC that Elon Must said at the Tesla shareholder meeting he expects Tesla to grow by 50% a year.

DGuller

Quote from: Admiral Yi on June 10, 2015, 03:32:32 PM
Just heard on CNBC that Elon Must said at the Tesla shareholder meeting he expects Tesla to grow by 50% a year.
:hmm: For how many years?

Admiral Yi


Admiral Yi

Also, apparently one of the shareholders inquired about the possibility of building a vegan Tesla.  :lol:

Caliga

Quote from: Admiral Yi on June 10, 2015, 03:32:32 PM
Just heard on CNBC that Elon Must said at the Tesla shareholder meeting he expects Tesla to grow by 50% a year.
Well what else is he gonna say? :sleep:
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Ed Anger

Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

Monoriu

New HSBC bonds are now available for sale.  Yield is 4.5%.  Minimum investment is very accessible at only US$2k.  The only problem is that the maturity date is 2042 :bleeding:

Should I take the plunge?  :unsure:

Ed Anger

The market is giving me the queasies now. The bubble is gonna pop.
Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

The Brain

Women want me. Men want to be with me.

Admiral Yi

Quote from: Monoriu on June 11, 2015, 06:00:27 AM
New HSBC bonds are now available for sale.  Yield is 4.5%.  Minimum investment is very accessible at only US$2k.  The only problem is that the maturity date is 2042 :bleeding:

Should I take the plunge?  :unsure:

No.  I wouldn't want to be stuck with QE interest rates when the Fed starts to raise rates.

MadImmortalMan

Quote
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Senior executives of listed firms in China have stepped up the pace at which they are selling shares in their own companies, suggesting they may have doubts about whether their stock prices can go much higher.

In May company insiders - senior executives or their relatives - sold a combined 1.68 billion shares, a tripling from April, and much more than in each of the previous months of this year, according to data compiled by Reuters.

Share sales by senior managers are sometimes taken as a worrying sign by investors, as they can indicate people who know a company best think its stock price is too high.

"It's a vote of confidence," said Hong Hao, chief strategist at Bank of Communications International.

"It's evidence that stock prices are high".

However, Hong added he expects these sales will only slow, not stop, stock price rises, in what's become a frenzied market.

China's benchmark stock indexes have surged nearly 150 percent over the past year, beating the rest of the world's major indexes, even as the country's economy slows.

Shenzhen's start-up board ChiNext has more than tripled in the last 12 months and is now trading at earning multiples of 140, meaning at the current level of profitability, investors need to wait 140 years to recoup their investments.

Some shareholders are getting impatient.

Between June 1 and June 3, Jia Yueting, Chairman and president of Leshi, sold 35 million shares in the internet firm he founded, making 2.5 billion yuan ($402.85 million).

Leshi said on May 25 that Jia plans in total to sell up to 148 million shares over the next six months or 8 percent of the company, though he will remain the biggest shareholder after that with a 36.85 percent holding.

Leshi said that Jia will lend the proceeds of the sale to the company interest free. A spokeswoman declined to say whether the selling was prodded by a view that share prices are too high.

Cashing out

It's not just company management who are selling; major cornerstone investors, freed from mandated lock-up periods, are also reducing their stakes.

Cornerstone stakeholders slashed 109 billion yuan worth of China-listed shares in May, double the amount sold during the previous month, according to data from Southwest Securities.

That doesn't include 3.5 billion yuan worth of banking shares dumped by sovereign investment firm Central Huijin on May 26.

The reduction by Huijin, in its holdings in China Construction Bank (CCB) and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), represents a reversal of strategy by the state investor.

Huijin had been buying mainland-listed banking shares since the global finiancial crisis in 2008, in an apparent support to their share prices.

Huijin confirmed in statement that it has sold the shares but did not provide its reasons for doing so.

A similar trend was captured by an index compiled by Shenwan Hongyuan Securities that tracks major shareholders' trading activities.

The index surged over the past month, to a record high, meaning major shareholders are reducing holdings at unprecedented levels.

"It a barometer of how people in the real economy view stock valuations," said Liu Junwei, analyst at Shenwan Hongyuan.

"It means at the current level, a correction is very likely".


"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Admiral Yi

Some good news about T must have come out today or last night.  :cool: