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Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)

Started by Jacob, March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PM

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Will Trump put boots on the ground in Iranian territory in the next three months?

No. The troop movement is purely posturing. He will not use ground troops in Iranian territory.
2 (8.3%)
Yes, but only special forces quick strikes before withdrawing and similar. No ground will be held.
7 (29.2%)
Yes, he will take and hold Iranian territory with limited objectives. He'll stick to those objectives and not be drawn further in.
3 (12.5%)
Yes. He'll strike with a limited force and limited objectives, but one thing will lead to another and the American commitment will continue to grow into large, messy deployment.
10 (41.7%)
Yes, but he'll somehow rustle up the forces for a major deployment to take and hold ground at a large scale.
1 (4.2%)
No, because the conflict will come to an end before such a scenario becomes necessary.
1 (4.2%)

Total Members Voted: 24

Voting closes: March 31, 2026, 09:30:11 PM

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Jacob

March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PM
Poll is open only for five days.

What does languish think? Is Trump going to put boots on the ground in Iran, and if so how is it going to go in terms of escalation.

Baron von Schtinkenbutt

#1
March 27, 2026, 08:22:51 AM
I voted spec ops, but I was torn between that and limited objectives that stay that way.  What pushed be towards the latter is the noise about taking a couple of the mid-Gulf islands that Iran owns but the UAE claims (Taub and Abu Musa).  They're far enough away from Iran proper to be able to defend effectively without more forces, are somewhat strategic in that they're two small airfields in the middle of the Gulf, and would satisfy the Robber Baron in Chief's anachronistic desire to possess something.

Grey Fox

#2
March 27, 2026, 09:00:26 AM
Hegseth & Trump think that every problem is a nail and the USA has many many hammers in it's military toolbox.

Escalation4ever
Getting ready to make IEDs against American Occupation Forces.

"But I didn't vote for him"; they cried.

Valmy

#3
March 27, 2026, 12:12:21 PM
We'll strike something to show how big our dicks are and get drawn in.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Jacob

#4
March 27, 2026, 12:45:54 PM
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on March 27, 2026, 08:22:51 AMI voted spec ops, but I was torn between that and limited objectives that stay that way.  What pushed be towards the latter is the noise about taking a couple of the mid-Gulf islands that Iran owns but the UAE claims (Taub and Abu Musa).  They're far enough away from Iran proper to be able to defend effectively without more forces, are somewhat strategic in that they're two small airfields in the middle of the Gulf, and would satisfy the Robber Baron in Chief's anachronistic desire to possess something.

Oh interesting. I guess that's an alternative to the "take Kharg Island" potential scenario for how the HEU / Airborne might be used.

* wanders off to look up Taub and Abu Musa *

Crazy_Ivan80

#5
March 27, 2026, 12:54:00 PM
It'll be messy and escalate.
Giggity.
 <_<

crazy canuck

#6
March 27, 2026, 01:07:16 PM
It's going to be what - mid April before the MEU units are in theatre?  I voted option 1, but also the last option is viable.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

The Brain

#7
March 27, 2026, 02:05:38 PM
Really hard to guess, since there is no plan at all, but I'll be surprised if the US decides to put huge ground forces into Iran. But if they do, a greatly weakened America will make Nato allies sleep better at night.
Women want me. Men want to be with me.

mongers

#8
March 27, 2026, 05:40:03 PM
Quote from: Jacob on March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PMPoll is open only for five days.

What does languish think? Is Trump going to put boots on the ground in Iran, and if so how is it going to go in terms of escalation.

You missed out the "trump's Schrödinger boots on or off the ground" option.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Valmy

#9
March 27, 2026, 05:46:17 PM
Quote from: The Brain on March 27, 2026, 02:05:38 PMReally hard to guess, since there is no plan at all, but I'll be surprised if the US decides to put huge ground forces into Iran. But if they do, a greatly weakened America will make Nato allies sleep better at night.

Oh we will. Our boys are going in.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

Jacob

#10
March 27, 2026, 06:10:21 PM Last Edit: March 27, 2026, 06:17:54 PM by Jacob
I voted quagmire. I think the most likely outcome is that Trump is going to put boots on ground somewhere at some point, and think once he does that it'll inevitably turn into a larger deployment.

Zanza

#11
March 27, 2026, 11:04:22 PM
The Straits of Hormuz is next to the city Bandar Abbas, with a population of 500,000. Just taking that city alone would surely take a massive invasion force. But if you don't take it, how do you reopen the Straits?

I doubt that there will be boots on the ground on the Iranian mainland. Maybe those aforementioned isles. But that will not change the strategic situation.

HVC

#12
March 27, 2026, 11:51:07 PM
It's all fun and games until Trump realizes he can't beat them and nukes an Iranian city.
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

celedhring

#13
Today at 03:22:38 AM
I think right now he's looking for a way to declare victory and pull out, so I voted last.
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