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Iran War?

Started by Jacob, February 16, 2025, 02:00:06 PM

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HisMajestyBOB

I would not be surprised if the deal ended up being something like Iran provides $50 billion to Trump's bribe fund Board of Peace and pinky promises to never build a nuclear bomb, while in exchange the US recognizes Iran's right to toll the straits (with some proceeds going to the Board of Peace, of course) and US taxpayers pay billions to help Iran rebuild their oil and gas infrastructure.
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OttoVonBismarck

Apparently Iran is saying Kushner and Witkoff are persona non grata for future negotiations, they view them both as simply perpetuating bad faith negotiations in the past to prepare for the inevitable U.S. attacks. They now say any negotiations must involve J.D. Vance, since he has historically been skeptical of involvement in Middle Eastern wars.

Legbiter

Who is going to be the bad boyar whose bad advice mislead the Czar to this defeat? Hegseth should prepare for claiming political asylum in Norway. :hmm:
Posted using 100% recycled electrons.

viper37

Quote from: HisMajestyBOB on Today at 12:03:58 PMI would not be surprised if the deal ended up being something like Iran provides $50 billion to Trump's bribe fund Board of Peace and pinky promises to never build a nuclear bomb, while in exchange the US recognizes Iran's right to toll the straits (with some proceeds going to the Board of Peace, of course) and US taxpayers pay billions to help Iran rebuild their oil and gas infrastructure.
Iran will not agree to pay any money.

They may agree to vague terms where Trump will claim Iran will invest or pay US reparations, but nothing firm.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: OttoVonBismarck on Today at 04:16:22 PMApparently Iran is saying Kushner and Witkoff are persona non grata for future negotiations, they view them both as simply perpetuating bad faith negotiations in the past to prepare for the inevitable U.S. attacks. They now say any negotiations must involve J.D. Vance, since he has historically been skeptical of involvement in Middle Eastern wars.

Smart.
Witkoff is just another idiot RE guy. Gullible fool completely out of his depth and in Putin's pocket.
Kushner is a nepo baby puppet for the Saudis and the Gulf Arabs that bought him.

Vance is going to be wary about getting involved though, out of feat of being shivved in the back by other Trumpies and because he wants his fingerprints as far away from this shitshow as possible.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Legbiter on Today at 04:37:50 PMWho is going to be the bad boyar whose bad advice mislead the Czar to this defeat? Hegseth should prepare for claiming political asylum in Norway. :hmm:

He's a real keeper.  Leading candidate for the 2027 FIFA Peace Prize Award
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

Tamas

According to Reuters these are the terms the US is offering. Reads to me like a minor Iranian victory because no Iranian concession there - except for the nuclear weapons one is something the US would restart the war over if Iran just ignored their own commitments:


QuoteIran dismantling its nuclear capabilities;

Iran committing to not pursuing further nuclear weapons;

Iran not enriching any more nuclear material;

All enriched material will be delivered to Saba on a schedule to be determined by the US, Israel and Iran;

The Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow nuclear facilities will be decommissioned;

The Atomic Energy Agency will get access to all nuclear information with regard to Iran's programme;

Iran will abandon its proxy model;

Iran will stop its actual funding and arming of proxies in the region;

The strait of Hormuz will remain open, as a free maritime zone and unblocked in the future;

Iran will limit the number and range of its missiles;

Any further use of its missiles will be for Iranian self-defence only;

All sanctions on Iran will be lifted;

Iran will be assisted in developing a civil nuclear project in Bushehr;

The snapback threat against Iran will be removed,

The US and Israel will assist Iran in promoting and developing a civil nuclear project in Bushehr (electricity generation).

Grey Fox

Losing the proxies is a giant concession especially towards their Russian ally.
Getting ready to make IEDs against American Occupation Forces.

"But I didn't vote for him"; they cried.

Jacob

Seems fair-ish.

Were I Khamenei I'd add that Iran would get to pick an equivalent number Trump family members to blow up to make up for the family members he lost, and then call it a deal.

Legbiter

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 06:11:13 PMHe's a real keeper.  Leading candidate for the 2027 FIFA Peace Prize Award

This whole war has really brought down my opinion of the Fifa Peace Prize.  :console:
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Tamas

Quote from: Grey Fox on Today at 06:33:47 PMLosing the proxies is a giant concession especially towards their Russian ally.

My point is, if they agree to this and then later break it, would Trump, let alone any other president, restart this nightmare just because they arm militias in the region? Of course not.

grumbler

Quote from: Legbiter on Today at 07:33:39 PM
Quote from: The Minsky Moment on Today at 06:11:13 PMHe's a real keeper.  Leading candidate for the 2027 FIFA Peace Prize Award

This whole war has really brought down my opinion of the Fifa Peace Prize.  :console:

 :lmfao:
The future is all around us, waiting, in moments of transition, to be born in moments of revelation. No one knows the shape of that future or where it will take us. We know only that it is always born in pain.   -G'Kar

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