US Election Week 2020

[Razgovory]

Yeah, I'm doing good.  I can usually identify when my thoughts don't make any sense.

[DGuller]

Biden is up to 90 cents on PredictIt. 

[Eddie Teach]

Don't the fees make it not worth buying at that rate?

[alfred russel]

Don't the fees make it not worth buying at that rate?

It is worth buying at that rate but you won't make much. The site takes a 5% cut of your withdrawals plus 10% of any winnings, so if you deposit just to make this bet and then withdraw you will make about 5% on your investment. The site is insane with right wing conspiracy theories pumping Trump's chances. (hopefully, if they have merit I'm going to lose all my money  )

The site is legal because it is associated to a university in New Zealand supposedly for research purposes and limits participants in any market to 5,000 and you can't bet more than $850 in any market. A straight up bet on Biden or Trump is probably at the limit at this point so you can't bet. However, there are duplicate "hidden" markets that are not full. For example, if you can't bet on "Biden" because it is full, you can still probably bet on the market "Massachusetts Democratic Primary Winner to be Elected President" - Biden won that primary. I can help you find them if you want to bet.

[alfred russel]

Wait, Grover Cleveland served two terms.

Also, Kennedy lost the popular vote to Nixon in 1960, depending on how you count the votes in Alabama.

[Josquius]

I'd heard about the trans woman winning her election before. I didn't know the incumbent she beat was the guy who started the anti trans toilet nonsense. Awesome.

[alfred russel]

Chuck Schumer at a rally in New York said "now we take georgia, then we change the world!"

What a moron. Should be time for a new democratic leader in the senate. I bet the republicans would have paid $50 million to get him on tape saying that, and he did it for free. I'm sure I'll be seeing it a thousand times in ads before the runoffs.

[merithyn]

I'd heard about the trans woman winning her election before. I didn't know the incumbent she beat was the guy who started the anti trans toilet nonsense. Awesome.

Which transwoman? There were several who won.

[Malthus]

Chuck Schumer at a rally in New York said "now we take georgia, then we change the world!"

What a moron. Should be time for a new democratic leader in the senate. I bet the republicans would have paid $50 million to get him on tape saying that, and he did it for free. I'm sure I'll be seeing it a thousand times in ads before the runoffs.

I'm not sure why this statement was bad.

[crazy canuck]

Chuck Schumer at a rally in New York said "now we take georgia, then we change the world!"

What a moron. Should be time for a new democratic leader in the senate. I bet the republicans would have paid $50 million to get him on tape saying that, and he did it for free. I'm sure I'll be seeing it a thousand times in ads before the runoffs.

The Democrats are probably counting on people who want change.

[Zoupa]

Yeah I don't get what's so bad about that either.

[The Brain]

There was another famous gentleman who wanted to change the world. His name was Adolf Christ.

[DGuller]

It may sound bad because it feeds into the narrative that the left is trying to engineer the society to be more like what they think it should be.  However, while one should avoid things like "defund the police", at some point you have to state the motivation for people to vote.

[alfred russel]

Chuck Schumer at a rally in New York said "now we take georgia, then we change the world!"

What a moron. Should be time for a new democratic leader in the senate. I bet the republicans would have paid $50 million to get him on tape saying that, and he did it for free. I'm sure I'll be seeing it a thousand times in ads before the runoffs.

I'm not sure why this statement was bad.

Because almost every statewide republican ad in Georgia tries to tie democrats to Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer / national democrats. "A vote for X is a vote for Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and the radical left in Washington."

The Democrat counters with ads "Hey, I grew up in *insert small town* and have Georgia values and will take those to Washington with an independent voice." It isn't going to help to have Chuck Schumer of all people in NYC talking to a crowd about how they are going to take Georgia.

I know that Biden just beat Trump by 9k votes or whatever, but I don't think there is a single statewide office holder here. There are two runoffs, but the republican tickets got more votes in both senate races (though neither the required 50%). Neither a governor nor a senator has been elected from the democratic party since 2000. Runoff electorates in Georgia are typically more republican than general elections.

[merithyn]

Chuck Schumer at a rally in New York said "now we take georgia, then we change the world!"

What a moron. Should be time for a new democratic leader in the senate. I bet the republicans would have paid $50 million to get him on tape saying that, and he did it for free. I'm sure I'll be seeing it a thousand times in ads before the runoffs.

I'm not sure why this statement was bad.

To conservatives, change is akin to evil. Especially in Georgia.