What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

[frunk]

Trump is thinking this through

Let me know when you find a situation where Trump does think something through.

[dps]

They say that there's a 1st time for everything, but I'm not holding my breath on that one.

[Tamas]

Obama will be blamed for ruinering the country, not Trump.

[jimmy olsen]

Obama will be blamed for ruinering the country, not Trump.

Trump is not immune to laws of political gravity. If things go to shit on his watch, he'll get blamed.

[Eddie Teach]

Obama will be blamed for ruinering the country, not Trump.

Trump is not immune to laws of political gravity. If things go to shit on his watch, he'll get blamed.

By a critical mass, yep. But there will still be right-wing talking heads that you can point at and say "Obama gets the blame, how typical.  "

[Barrister]

Obama will be blamed for ruinering the country, not Trump.

Trump is not immune to laws of political gravity. If things go to shit on his watch, he'll get blamed.

The economy is booming right now.  Ordinarily a President with economy numbers this good would be way ahead in the polls, but even with Trump's unique toxicity he's still hanging in there.  If the economy turns south his support will drop like a stone.

[Habbaku]

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

[dps]

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

That's true of every President.  There's 30-some percent of the electorate that's going to support a Republican President no matter what, and another 30-some percent that will support a Democratic President no matter what.   What matters politically is the 30 or so percent in between.

[Malthus]

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

That's true of every President.  There's 30-some percent of the electorate that's going to support a Republican President no matter what, and another 30-some percent that will support a Democratic President no matter what.   What matters politically is the 30 or so percent in between.

The thing is that usually the President, whatever one thinks of his or her politics, is at least capable of the basic tasks of governance. This particular one is a bit of an exception in that regard. 

[Tamas]

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

That's true of every President.  There's 30-some percent of the electorate that's going to support a Republican President no matter what, and another 30-some percent that will support a Democratic President no matter what.   What matters politically is the 30 or so percent in between.

The thing is that usually the President, whatever one thinks of his or her politics, is at least capable of the basic tasks of governance. This particular one is a bit of an exception in that regard.

If he reads this, he will never talk to you again!

[Solmyr]

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

That's true of every President.  There's 30-some percent of the electorate that's going to support a Republican President no matter what, and another 30-some percent that will support a Democratic President no matter what.   What matters politically is the 30 or so percent in between.

Of course, with the US electoral college system, 30-some percent support is all you need to get elected.

[Valmy]

Yes. It is mathematically likely that at some point in our history a Candidate will win 60+% of the vote and lose.

But I doubt that day will be 2020. The EC is too close right now for that.

[jimmy olsen]

 

I wish I could believe that, Beeb, but I think Trump's basic support will endure in the low 40s/high 30s no matter what the economy looks like.

That's true of every President.  There's 30-some percent of the electorate that's going to support a Republican President no matter what, and another 30-some percent that will support a Democratic President no matter what.   What matters politically is the 30 or so percent in between.

Of course, with the US electoral college system, 30-some percent support is all you need to get elected.

Trump had 46% and eeked out a win by just a few ten thousand votes in key states. That's how much he needs to win. If he just gets 45% he loses.

[Oexmelin]

Trump had 46% and eeked out a win by just a few ten thousand votes in key states. That's how much he needs to win. If he just gets 45% he loses.

Hence the conflict within the Democrats: whether one should campaign narrowly to get those tens of thousands of votes, or broadly to motivate the troops.

[Admiral Yi]

Hence the conflict within the Democrats: whether one should campaign narrowly to get those tens of thousands of votes, or broadly to motivate the troops.

How did you come up with the broad vs. narrow thing?