What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

[crazy canuck]

So my understanding is that if Trump appeals and loses at the Supreme Court, then he'll have been found to have engaged in insurrection and be ineligible to be President - meaning he'll likely be removed from all GOP primary ballots, throwing the primary wide open. Alternately, I suppose the GOP could defy the Supreme Court for their primaries, which would result in a bit of a constitutional crisis I expect.

Is that correct?

And what are the odds that the Supreme Court will find for or against Trump during a potential appeal?

He would be appealing the Colorado decision.  If he loses presumably each state would need to make its own decision.  They would have the precedent, but I don't think it would be automatic.

[The Minsky Moment]

And what are the odds that the Supreme Court will find for or against Trump during a potential appeal?

Supreme Court will reverse with 98% probability, most likely by defining insurrection narrowly to mean armed rebellion.

[HVC]

And what are the odds that the Supreme Court will find for or against Trump during a potential appeal?

Supreme Court will reverse with 98% probability, most likely by defining insurrection narrowly to mean armed rebellion.

How many insurrectionists had to armed to classify as an armed rebellion?

[grumbler]

So my understanding is that if Trump appeals and loses at the Supreme Court, then he'll have been found to have engaged in insurrection and be ineligible to be President - meaning he'll likely be removed from all GOP primary ballots, throwing the primary wide open. Alternately, I suppose the GOP could defy the Supreme Court for their primaries, which would result in a bit of a constitutional crisis I expect.

Is that correct?

And what are the odds that the Supreme Court will find for or against Trump during a potential appeal?

He would be appealing the Colorado decision.  If he loses presumably each state would need to make its own decision.  They would have the precedent, but I don't think it would be automatic.

I don't believe that you are correct.  The state and state courts must defer to the USSC when applying US Constitutional law.

[HisMajestyBOB]

In a surprising turn, the Supreme Court will overturn the ruling, but will rule that Trump is ineligible to be on the ballot because he was actually the winner in 2020.

[Admiral Yi]

In a surprising turn, the Supreme Court will overturn the ruling, but will rule that Trump is ineligible to be on the ballot because he was actually the winner in 2020.

 

[crazy canuck]

So my understanding is that if Trump appeals and loses at the Supreme Court, then he'll have been found to have engaged in insurrection and be ineligible to be President - meaning he'll likely be removed from all GOP primary ballots, throwing the primary wide open. Alternately, I suppose the GOP could defy the Supreme Court for their primaries, which would result in a bit of a constitutional crisis I expect.

Is that correct?

And what are the odds that the Supreme Court will find for or against Trump during a potential appeal?

He would be appealing the Colorado decision.  If he loses presumably each state would need to make its own decision.  They would have the precedent, but I don't think it would be automatic.

I don't believe that you are correct.  The state and state courts must defer to the USSC when applying US Constitutional law.

Thanks for the correction

[The Minsky Moment]

How many insurrectionists had to armed to classify as an armed rebellion?

At least one more than was present at the Capitol.

[Admiral Yi]

Rudy has filed for bankruptcy.

[crazy canuck]

One more thing he has in common with Trump.

[Savonarola]

Christmas wishes from Donald Trump:

"THEY SPIED ON MY CAMPAIGN, LIED TO CONGRESS, CHEATED ON FISA, RIGGED A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, ALLOWED MILLIONS OF PEOPLE, MANY FROM PRISONS & MENTAL INSTITUTIONS, TO INVADE OUR COUNTRY, SCREWED UP IN AFGHANISTAN, & JOE BIDEN'S MISFITS & THUGS, LIKE DERANGED JACK SMITH, ARE COMING AFTER ME, AT LEVELS OF PERSECUTION NEVER SEEN BEFORE IN OUR COUNTRY??? IT'S CALLED ELECTION INTERFERENCE. MERRY CHRISTMAS!" Trump posted on Christmas Eve.

May God bless us one and all!

[Admiral Yi]

I've got a fevah, and the only cuah is more ALL CAPS.

[The Minsky Moment]

THEY SENT THREE ROTTING GHOSTS TO KEEP ME UP ALL NIGHT, RIGGED A FAKE HEADSTONE, ALLOWED MILLIONS OF DRUG DEALING TERRORIST PAUPERS TO ESCAPE THE WORKHOUSES AND INVADE OUR CITIES, PUT UP LYING LIDDLE TIM WITH HIS FAKE CRUTCHES TO PERSECUTE ME. But don't worry YOUR FAVORITE SCROOGE will FIGHT the EVIL DERANGED CHARITY LOBBY and protect the LAFFER CURVE. MERRY HUMBUG!  - Ebenezer Trump

[Sheilbh]

Also this, I think on Christmas Day:

[The Minsky Moment]

It never ceases to astonish that there are tens of millions of Americans who read this stuff, and instead of thinking "lunatic asylum", think "President"