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Doomed Flight 447 fell intact into sea

Started by jimmy olsen, July 02, 2009, 08:18:17 PM

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jimmy olsen

Hmm...what do you think now Cal?

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/31707331/ns/world_news-europe/

QuoteProbe: Doomed Flight 447 fell intact into sea
Life vests weren't inflated when Air France jet plunged into Atlantic in June

updated 3:20 p.m. ET, Thurs., July 2, 2009

LE BOURGET, France - Air France Flight 447 slammed into the Atlantic Ocean, intact and belly first, at such a high speed that the 228 people aboard probably had no time to even inflate their life jackets, French investigators said Thursday in their first report into the June 1 accident.

Likening the investigation to a puzzle with missing pieces, lead investigator Alain Bouillard said that one month after the crash, "we are very far from establishing the causes of the accident."

Problematic speed sensors on the Airbus A330-200 jet that have been the focus of intense speculation since the crash may have misled the plane's pilots but were not a direct cause, Bouillard said, while admitting that investigators are still a long way from knowing what did precipitate the disaster.

"The investigation is a big puzzle," said Bouillard, who is leading the probe for the French accident agency BEA. "Today we only have a few pieces of the puzzle which prevents us from even distinguishing the photo of the puzzle."

The plane was flying from Rio de Janeiro to Paris when it went down in a remote area of the Atlantic, 930 miles off Brazil's mainland and far from radar coverage.

The BEA released its first preliminary findings on the crash Thursday, calling it one of history's most challenging plane crash investigations. Yet the probe, which has operated without access to the plane's flight data and voice recorders, appears so far to have unveiled little about what really caused the accident.

The speed sensors, called Pitot tubes, are "a factor but not the only one," Bouillard said. "It is an element but not the cause," Bouillard told a news conference in Le Bourget outside Paris.

Other elements that came under scrutiny in the immediate aftermath of the crash, such as the possibility that heavy storms or lightning may have brought down the jet, were also downplayed in the BEA's presentation.

Meteorological data show the presence of storm clouds in the area the jet would have flown through, but nothing out of the ordinary for the equatorial region in June, Bouillard said, eliminating the theory that the plane could have encountered a storm of unprecedented power. Other flights through the area shortly after Flight 447 disappeared didn't report unusual weather, Bouillard said.

"Between the surface of the water and 35,000 feet, we don't know what happened," Bouillard admitted. "In the absence of the flight recorders, it is extremely difficult to draw conclusions."

Black boxes still missing
A burst of automated messages emitted by the plane before it fell gave rescuers only a vague location to begin their search, which has failed to locate the plane's black boxes in the vast ocean expanse.

The chances of finding the flight recorders are falling daily as the signals they emit fade. Without them, the full causes of the tragic accident may never be known.

One of the automatic messages indicates the plane was receiving incorrect speed information from the external monitoring instruments, which could destabilize its control systems. Experts have suggested those external instruments might have iced over.

The Pitots have not been "excluded from the chain that led to the accident," Bouillard said.

Analysis of the 600-odd pieces of the jet that have been recovered indicate the plane "was not destroyed in flight" and appeared to have hit the water intact and "belly first," gathering speed as it dropped thousands of feet, he said.

He also said investigators have found "neither traces of fire nor traces of explosives."

Bouillard said air traffic controllers in Dakar, Senegal had never officially taken control of Flight 447 after its last radio contact with Brazilian flight controllers at 1:35 a.m., and it wasn't until up to seven hours later that flight controllers in Madrid and Brest, France raised an alarm. He said the delay was being investigated but was not a cause of the crash.

Brazilian Air Force Col. Henry Munhoz said all required information on the plane's flight plan was passed to Senegalese air controllers.

Some members of the crash victims' families said that without a clear cause to blame the accident on, the interim report held little significance.

Marco Tulio Moreno Marques, a 43-year-old lawyer in Rio de Janeiro, lost both his parents in the crash. He did not bother watching the French investigators' public presentation, saying that without the black boxes, he was skeptical of any findings.

"I think it is difficult that they will ever find out what happened," he said. "They can say a flying saucer hit the plane, but if they don't find the black boxes we will never know for certain what happened."

'Significant' it landed belly up
Kieran Daly, editor of Air Transport Intelligence, said although investigators seem to know very little about what happened due to "a horrendous lack of evidence," it is significant that the plane landed the right way up.

"It suggests they were in some kind of flight attitude," he said.

But he warned that "without finding the black boxes it's going to be phenomenally difficult, maybe impossible, to determine what happened."

Bouillard said life vests found among the wreckage were not inflated, suggesting passengers were not prepared for a crash landing in the water. The pilots apparently also did not send any mayday calls.

He said there was "no information" suggesting a need to ground the world's fleet of more than 600 A330 planes as a result of the crash.

"As far as I'm concerned there's no problem flying these aircraft," he said.

Air France said all elements of the investigation "will be fully and immediately taken into account by the airline" and that it is continuing to cooperate with the investigators with "a commitment to total transparency with regard to the investigators, its passengers and the general public."

The black boxes — which are in reality bright orange — are resting somewhere on an underwater mountain range filled with crevasses and rough, uneven terrain. Bouillard said the search for them has been extended by 10 days through July 10, while his investigation would run through Aug. 15.

Bouillard said French investigators have yet to receive any information from Brazilian authorities about the results of the autopsies on the 51 bodies recovered from the site.

But a spokesman for the Public Safety Department in Brazil's Pernambuco state — in charge of the autopsies — denied that.

"French medical examiners are working together with Brazilian medical examiners and they have full access to all the information obtained from autopsies," the spokesman said on condition of anonymity according to department rules.

Families of the victims met with officials from BEA, Air France and the French transport ministry before the report was released. An association of families addressed a letter to the CEO of Air France, Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, demanding answers to several questions about the plane.

Investigators should have an easier time recovering debris and clues in the crash of a Yemeni Airbus 310 with 153 people on board that went down Tuesday just nine miles north of the Indian Ocean island-nation of Comoros.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Caliga

It's still way too early to call, and if they don't get the data recorders we'll never know for sure.  But given this new info, another possibility that strikes me is intentional ditching, kinda like what happened with that EgyptAir crash about ten years ago.  There have been a couple of other commercial aviation incidents where the pilot decided to suicide and take everyone else with him.  There was another case that happened over Indonesia IIRC with a Singapore Airlines plane, where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

PDH

Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush presidency.
I have come to believe that the whole world is an enigma, a harmless enigma that is made terrible by our own mad attempt to interpret it as though it had an underlying truth.
-Umberto Eco

-------
"I'm pretty sure my level of depression has nothing to do with how much of a fucking asshole you are."

-CdM

Caliga

Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Jaron

Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:39:41 PM
Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)

Oh fuck no, nigger hater.
Winner of THE grumbler point.

jimmy olsen

Quote from: Jaron on July 02, 2009, 08:48:45 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:39:41 PM
Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)

Oh fuck no, nigger hater.
Stop being such a one trick pony and get some new material.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Razgovory

Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:39:41 PM
Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)

At least Bush has one defender left.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

jimmy olsen

Quote from: Razgovory on July 02, 2009, 09:04:43 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:39:41 PM
Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)

At least Bush has one defender left.
There are a lot of defenders of Bush 41
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

Caliga

0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

Eddie Teach

Unfortunately, neither Bush nor Obama's been able to turn off the data recorders.  :(
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

DGuller

That's good news.  :)  Planes falling apart in mid-air is never a good thing.

CountDeMoney

Even without the black boxes, it's totally obvious what happened.
The spin was induced by the disruption of air flow into the starboard engine.  This disruption stalled the engine which produced enough yaw rate to induce a spin which was unrecoverable.  There was no way Lieutenant Mitchell could see or avoid the jetwash. 
The Board of Inquiry finds that he was not at fault in the accident.  His record will be cleared.  He's restored to flight status without further delay.
These proceedings are closed.


Barrister

Quote from: CountDeMoney on July 02, 2009, 10:18:04 PM
Even without the black boxes, it's totally obvious what happened.
The spin was induced by the disruption of air flow into the starboard engine.  This disruption stalled the engine which produced enough yaw rate to induce a spin which was unrecoverable.  There was no way Lieutenant Mitchell could see or avoid the jetwash. 
The Board of Inquiry finds that he was not at fault in the accident.  His record will be cleared.  He's restored to flight status without further delay.
These proceedings are closed.

But what about Goose?  :cry:
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Jaron

Quote from: jimmy olsen on July 02, 2009, 08:58:52 PM
Quote from: Jaron on July 02, 2009, 08:48:45 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:39:41 PM
Quote from: PDH on July 02, 2009, 08:26:46 PM
Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.
Sort of like the first Bush Obama presidency.
:)

Oh fuck no, nigger hater.
Stop being such a one trick pony and get some new material.

I have many cards in my deck. :)
Winner of THE grumbler point.

Viking

Quote from: Caliga on July 02, 2009, 08:25:22 PM
It's still way too early to call, and if they don't get the data recorders we'll never know for sure.  But given this new info, another possibility that strikes me is intentional ditching, kinda like what happened with that EgyptAir crash about ten years ago.  There have been a couple of other commercial aviation incidents where the pilot decided to suicide and take everyone else with him.  There was another case that happened over Indonesia IIRC with a Singapore Airlines plane, where the pilot started the flight off in a completely ordinary manner, and then without explanation disconnected the data recorders and put the plane into a nosedive.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EgyptAir_Flight_990
First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.