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Obama officially rejects Keystone XL

Started by Barrister, November 06, 2015, 12:41:35 PM

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crazy canuck

Quote from: Admiral Yi on November 08, 2015, 05:53:12 PM
Quote from: Barrister on November 06, 2015, 11:42:35 PM
Oil sands! :mad:

Emission caps tend to fall more on the end user, not the producer.  So increased costs would tend to decrease demand, but are unlikely to shut down all of Ft McMurray.

My understanding is that the extraction of oil from TAR SANDS emits much more carbon than traditional drilling (or fracking) does.  Therefore any system that penalizes carbon emission is going to disproportionately impact Alberta TAR SANDS extraction.

Its really just a cost issue.  For years the accepted wisdom was that no oil would come out of the area because the costs of production (both getting the raw material and then refining it) were simply too high.  As oil prices began to rise the extraction of the oil from those fields became profitable.  If a new costing structure makes the extraction more costly and unprofitable then production there will stop until oil prices reach the point that it is once again profitable to exploit the resource.  If alternative energy sources and uses are developed then the oil sands may not be profitable.  But given the rising rate of oil consumption I am not too sure about that.

Tamas

 :huh:

What is so hard to understand? As I understand this decision hurts the Canadian economy, not the US one, AND by simply not letting it be built, Obama and the environmentalists appear as if they have actually done something.

It's a win-win if I've ever seen one

LaCroix

Quote from: Tamas on November 09, 2015, 01:04:42 PM
:huh:

What is so hard to understand? As I understand this decision hurts the Canadian economy, not the US one, AND by simply not letting it be built, Obama and the environmentalists appear as if they have actually done something.

It's a win-win if I've ever seen one

bakken oil must flow. trains are, relatively, inefficient and seem to be much more environmentally harmful due to the frequent derailments.

Barrister

Quote from: LaCroix on November 09, 2015, 03:26:38 PM
Quote from: Tamas on November 09, 2015, 01:04:42 PM
:huh:

What is so hard to understand? As I understand this decision hurts the Canadian economy, not the US one, AND by simply not letting it be built, Obama and the environmentalists appear as if they have actually done something.

It's a win-win if I've ever seen one

bakken oil must flow. trains are, relatively, inefficient and seem to be much more environmentally harmful due to the frequent derailments.

XL wasn't about Bakken-formation oil though.  It was for Alberta oil, and principally oil from Ft McMurray's oil sands.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

LaCroix

Quote from: Barrister on November 09, 2015, 03:28:53 PMXL wasn't about Bakken-formation oil though.  It was for Alberta oil, and principally oil from Ft McMurray's oil sands.

will no bakken oil flow into the pipeline? i've heard otherwise, but the person who told me may have been wrong. i'm not saying it's made for bakken, but any additional pipeline really helps out there.

Barrister

Quote from: LaCroix on November 09, 2015, 03:32:14 PM
Quote from: Barrister on November 09, 2015, 03:28:53 PMXL wasn't about Bakken-formation oil though.  It was for Alberta oil, and principally oil from Ft McMurray's oil sands.

will no bakken oil flow into the pipeline? i've heard otherwise, but the person who told me may have been wrong. i'm not saying it's made for bakken, but any additional pipeline really helps out there.

Well probably some would.  It's not one single pipe - it's part of a network after all.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

LaCroix

bakken oil companies are still having to burn off 20%~ of all natural gas produced due to the lack of infrastructure (mainly pipelines, iirc). while they're trying to reduce the flaring, any additional pipeline has got to help. and, at least by last summer, it's still too early to tell what the future is gonna hold for bakken oil production. so, this pipeline does help the U.S. + could reduce environmental harm. it's a decision that really doesn't make much sense to me, and i like obama.

Barrister

Quote from: LaCroix on November 09, 2015, 03:43:31 PM
bakken oil companies are still having to burn off 20%~ of all natural gas produced due to the lack of infrastructure (mainly pipelines, iirc). while they're trying to reduce the flaring, any additional pipeline has got to help. and, at least by last summer, it's still too early to tell what the future is gonna hold for bakken oil production. so, this pipeline does help the U.S. + could reduce environmental harm. it's a decision that really doesn't make much sense to me, and i like obama.

I should point out that Keystone is an oil pipeline, and won't hold natural gas.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

The Brain

Women want me. Men want to be with me.

LaCroix

Quote from: Barrister on November 09, 2015, 03:50:28 PMI should point out that Keystone is an oil pipeline, and won't hold natural gas.

iirc, the issue is that because the oil has to flow through the pipelines, there's not enough room for gas. this is based on research from last year, so my memory might be faulty. if the keystone wouldn't alleviate the flaring problem at all, i imagine additional infrastructure would help the situation out regardless through some indirect way. plus, the point re: train usage in general.

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Tamas on November 09, 2015, 01:04:42 PM
:huh:

What is so hard to understand? As I understand this decision hurts the Canadian economy, not the US one, AND by simply not letting it be built, Obama and the environmentalists appear as if they have actually done something.

It's a win-win if I've ever seen one

It does hurt Canada more. But that doesn't make it not what Sir Humphrey would call a courageous decision.

Now, every time a train derails, it's gonna be Obama's fault and zerohedge is going to repost that pic of Obama putting a medal on Warren Buffett.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

garbon

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I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

MadImmortalMan

"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

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