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Russo-Ukrainian War 2014-26

Started by mongers, August 06, 2014, 03:12:53 PM

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The Minsky Moment

Quote from: Sheilbh on July 16, 2026, 09:07:06 AMAgain I admire him a lot and to an extent a little light corruption may be necessary to have things moving.

"Light corruption" is tolerating a labor minister that traffics in a few kickbacks or an environment minister that takes a few envelopes for some regulatory forbearance.  Not replacing the highest civilian official responsible for overseeing the war with a gas oligarch. 
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

Crazy_Ivan80

It would be hilarious if fedorov was made prime minister

DGuller

I think Zelensky has been a strong wartime leader of Ukraine, and maybe been the difference between it taking the first punch and getting routed early in 2022.  However, I also think that he has qualities that can lose Ukraine the peace (or, for that matter, the war it hasn't won yet).

Sophie Scholl

"It was said that you would destroy the Sith, not join them."  :(
"Everything that brought you here -- all the things that made you a prisoner of past sins -- they are gone. Forever and for good. So let the past go... and live."

"Somebody, after all, had to make a start. What we wrote and said is also believed by many others. They just don't dare express themselves as we did."

Josquius

It would be sad if all this is political and about securing Zelensky as a Ukrainian Putin.
As if he obeyed the rules he could really go down in history as a hero of democracy.
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Maladict

Quote from: Josquius on July 18, 2026, 07:34:43 AMIt would be sad if all this is political and about securing Zelensky as a Ukrainian Putin.
As if he obeyed the rules he could really go down in history as a hero of democracy.

If he stepped down now he would, too. He's been in power for over seven years out of a maximum 5+5, and the military situation is fairly stable. Let someone else take the hit of a less than perfect peace deal.

Tamas

Power transfer in an oligarchic feudalistic state like Ukraine in a middle of an existential war? Maybe not.

Valmy

I think a lot of people are just uninformed about the condition of Ukraine before their conflict with Russia. They were a corrupt fading nation in the hands of oligarchs, sort of like Russia without Putin. That was the whole reason they kept having those popular movements trying to westernize.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

QuoteAs democracy is perfected, the office of president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.

H.L. Mencken

Josquius

Quote from: Valmy on July 20, 2026, 08:37:06 AMI think a lot of people are just uninformed about the condition of Ukraine before their conflict with Russia. They were a corrupt fading nation in the hands of oligarchs, sort of like Russia without Putin. That was the whole reason they kept having those popular movements trying to westernize.

A lot don't know this yes. Though even amongst those who do I think there was a bit of a belief that Zelensky was something different and trying to break this- indeed that this was a key factor in Russia invading.

Also on the fading nation part....quite the nation of two halves. Sure the Donbass was corrupt oligarch soviet industry land. But Lviv had quite the modern western aligned knowledge economy.
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mongers

#20454
Quote from: Razgovory on July 13, 2026, 04:36:05 PMHow do you figure they are impossible to defend against?

Raz questioning of what are legitimate targets vs normal parts of civilian life, is brought into focus by this attack on those twin huge 'amazon-type' online distribution warehouses, that killed several people.

The Ukrainian justification is that Russians were buying personal military equipment like goggles and body-protection for their family members in the Russian Army.

To my mind that seems too thin a justification, if accepted then the Iranian regime could claim terrorist/sabotage attacks on US Amazon warehouses are legitimate as no doubt some US families buy things to send to relatives serving in the US military.

What then isn't a military target?

EditL
Oops not sure I've put this in the right thread, but couldn't find the discussion that was being had about this.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

DGuller

Looks like protests may actually be successful. :unsure:  The butcher may actually get fired, and Fedorov might be reinstated.  That would be something if it happened.

Crazy_Ivan80

People power in Ukraine is by itself one of the great victories of Maidan and the war the Russians unleashed that same year.
Civil society remains quite uncowed. What a difference with Russia

The Minsky Moment

Quote from: mongers on July 20, 2026, 09:51:30 AMOops not sure I've put this in the right thread, but couldn't find the discussion that was being had about this.

This is the better place for it.
It was an odd thread because I started by saying the ICC *should* investigate Ukrainian actions, but then somehow got accused of applying double standards.

I agree the justification for that particular strike appears weak.

Military strikes on economic targets are a gray area because although it is permissible to target an adversary's capabilities for carrying on a conflict, most economic capabilities are "fungible" in that they support both military and civilian functions.  Very roughly speaking, these strikes are usually evaluated on a proportionality standard, which is not a clear, bright line rule. 
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson

crazy canuck

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on July 16, 2026, 09:34:58 AM
Quote from: Sheilbh on July 16, 2026, 09:07:06 AMAgain I admire him a lot and to an extent a little light corruption may be necessary to have things moving.

"Light corruption" is tolerating a labor minister that traffics in a few kickbacks or an environment minister that takes a few envelopes for some regulatory forbearance.  Not replacing the highest civilian official responsible for overseeing the war with a gas oligarch. 

Turns out the battle was between the general commanding the armed forces and the minister of defense.  He chose unwisely and sacked the minister of defence instead of the general.  He has now rectified that mistake.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

The Minsky Moment

Yeah the gas guy was named PM.
We have, accordingly, always had plenty of excellent lawyers, though we often had to do without even tolerable administrators, and seen destined to endure the inconvenience of hereafter doing without any constructive statesmen at all.
--Woodrow Wilson