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Obamacare and you

Started by Jacob, September 25, 2013, 12:59:55 PM

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What's the impact of Obamacare for you (and your family)? Assuming it doesn't get defunded or delayed, of course...

I live in a state that's embracing Obamacare and it looks like I'm set for cheaper and/or better healthcare.
9 (14.1%)
I live in a state that's embracing Obamacare and it looks like I'm going to be paying more and/or get worse coverage.
5 (7.8%)
I live in a state that's embracing Obamacare and it looks like I'm largely unaffected by Obamacare, other than the effects of the general political theatre.
6 (9.4%)
My state is embracing Obamacare, but I have no clue how it will impact me personally.
1 (1.6%)
I live in a state that's rejecting Obamacare and it looks like I'm set for cheaper and/or better healthcare.
0 (0%)
I live in a state that's rejecting Obamacare and it looks like I'm going to be paying more and/or get worse coverage.
1 (1.6%)
I live in a state that's rejecting Obamacare and it looks like I'm largely unaffected by Obamacare, other than the effects of the general political theatre.
7 (10.9%)
My state is rejecting Obamacare and I have no idea how Obamacare is going to impact me.
1 (1.6%)
The American health care system doesn't affect me, but I'm watching how the whole thing plays out with interest.
20 (31.3%)
The American health care system doesn't affect me and frankly I don't care.
8 (12.5%)
Some other option because the previous 10 were not enough...
6 (9.4%)

Total Members Voted: 63

The Minsky Moment

I just got my open-enrollment package, for employer "provided" insurance and there is a big premium jump.  So I suspect one significant reason Obamacare premiums are going up has nothing to do with Obamacare, but simply because insurance companies are raising premiums.

I put "provided" in quotes because although my employer offers an insurance plan, I pay for it at retail: there is no employer subsidy.  So this I figured I'd compare it to the exchange plans.  And lo and behold, there is an exchange plan equal to or better in every respect in terms of coverage and terms.  And it is quite a bit cheaper. 

Another reason why I started looking into this was because of the incredibly awful experiences with the current insurer.  For example, virtually all claims are initially rejected or sent back for resubmission, typically without any grounds (e.g. they will say information was missing when in fact it was on the original claim form).  On one occasion an insured went for a routine prescription refill, the company held it up on the ground that it was not "pre-approved" with them.  There is no such requirement under the plan, but they still wouldn't budge even after it was explained that a delay would cause a dangerous break of the course of treatment.

The fundamental flaw in the US system is the private insurance market.  The insurers are paid a fixed sum and hence have an incentive to screw over the plan beneficiaries, and shortchange doctors - it is a zero sum game.  There is little incentive to try to build a rep for good customer service and claims management because the ultimate beneficiary typically has little or zero choice.  It is a completely dysfunctional market.

All the bitching back and forth about Obamacare is a giant red herring.  America has the shittiest and most expensive health coverage system in the world and will continue to do because we've been brainwashed about public provision of health insurance.  As long as we continue to fork over billions in totally uncessary transaction costs to middlemen with a powerful and vested interest in having the system screw both health care providers and recipients, the problem will never be fixed, and ACA (or any reform of ACA) is just repositioning band aids on a gaping wound.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Admiral Yi

It's possible that the premium hikes we're seeing (and I guess I need to take a look at my out of pocket for next year) are simply a reversion to trend after several years of depressed prices caused by the explosion of new insurers following the start of Obamacare, who seem to have significantly underpriced risks, and many of whom have as a result gone out of business.

The Minsky Moment

The co-ops got slaughtered.

ACA exchanges are prone to feedback effects.  If costs go up, the better risks exit or go down plan tiers, driving up costs more etc
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

Monoriu

I am normally a small government and free market type, but I still think the US should adopt a free and universal healthcare system funded by government.  Perhaps supplemented by a for profit tier that provides premium/primary care.  I mean, the government already provides lots of insurance type services like fire and national defence, and nobody argues against those. 

CountDeMoney

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on October 27, 2016, 02:41:51 PM
I suspect one significant reason Obamacare premiums are going up has nothing to do with Obamacare, but simply because insurance companies are raising premiums.

I dunno, man.  These are publicly traded, for-profit insurance companies whose first duty is to shareholders we're talking about here. 
Sounds pretty sketchy to me.

Fate

#1250
If we just had Medicare the economics of healthcare just won't work. Private insurers reimburse at higher rates than the government and in effect subsidize moderate underpayment by Medicare and severe underpayment by Medicaid.

Americans are never going to be okay with being told "No, we can't give you the standard of care because a government paper pusher at Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services says your life isn't worth it based on table 418 line 12."

And Medicare isn't much better than private insurers when it comes to avoid paying doctors or hospitals for treatment provided. They constantly look for ways to increase underpayment under the guise of "quality measures" which aren't really intended to increase the quality of healthcare.

mongers

Quite your moaning guys, Trump will fix this shit, you won't believe how good it'll be.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

CountDeMoney

Quote

Health & Science
Trump could quickly doom ACA cost-sharing subsidies for millions of Americans
By Amy Goldstein
December 24 at 5:22 PM

Even without Congress repealing the Affordable Care Act, the Trump administration could undermine the law by unilaterally ending billions of dollars the government pays insurers to subsidize the health coverage of nearly 6 million Americans.

Given that insurers would still be required to provide consumers that financial help, such a move could create upheaval in the ACA's marketplaces — prompting health plans to raise their prices or drop out, according to health-policy experts in both major political parties.

Intervention by the new president to stop the payments "would precipitate a pretty serious crisis almost immediately" unless Congress stepped in, said James Capretta, a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

The money is for a kind of financial assistance that is less familiar than the tax credits the law gives most people for their ACA plan premiums. These "cost-sharing reductions" are designed instead to lower the deductibles, co-pays and other out-of-pocket fees for nearly half the customers this year.

The payments are expected to total $9 billion in 2017. Eligible consumers would not feel their loss right away because the law still would compel insurers to lower the fees charged. But without government money to make up the difference, the insurers would take an instant hit.

The subsidies could be eliminated as soon as President-elect Donald Trump takes office, a consequence of an unusual lawsuit that House Republicans brought against the Obama administration two years ago.

The GOP's case, part of its sustained attack on the 2010 law, contends that the cost-sharing reductions to insurers are illegal because Congress has not provided a specific appropriation for them — an argument the administration disputes. In May, a federal district judge ruled in favor of the House but left the subsidies in place while Obama officials appealed the decision.

Once Trump is sworn in, his administration could simply drop the appeal. At that point, the payments would stop, barring a reversal by the Republicans who sued to get rid of the subsidies. Lawmakers would then have to approve funds to keep the payments in place. A three-judge panel of the Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit has granted a House request to pause the case until Trump takes office.


Members of Trump's transition team have not signaled whether the incoming president intends to exercise this power, and sources who have spoken with transition staffers say no decision appears to have been made. Transition spokespersons did not respond to multiple requests for comment.

However, Trump's choice to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.), is a vehement ACA critic who has been outspoken in opposing the cost-sharing subsidies. The day of the lower court's ruling, Price hailed the decision as "a momentous victory for the rule of law and against the Obama administration's overreach of constitutional authority."

The uncertainty over cost-sharing's future is alarming Obama administration officials, insurers that participate in ACA marketplaces and even some ACA detractors such as Capretta.

Andy Slavitt, acting administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), the agency that carries out much of the sprawling law, said that ending the subsidies would be "a drastic move" and "an enormous step backwards."

The payments are one way in which the ACA helps make private insurance affordable for people with relatively low incomes who buy coverage through HealthCare.gov or similar marketplaces at the state level. While the law offers premium tax credits for marketplace customers with incomes up to 400 percent of the federal poverty line, the cost-sharing reductions are for a narrower group. They help those with incomes up to 250 percent of the poverty level — just under $30,000 for individuals or about $60,000 for a family of four — who buy the second-lowest tier of ACA coverage, known as silver plans.

Some 5.9 million consumers — or 56 percent of the people with ACA health plans — benefited from such subsidies in the first half of this year, HHS figures show. This week, two consumers went to court seeking to take part in the appeal. They argue that an end to the subsidies "will produce devastating consequences for the individuals who receive these reductions, as well as for the nation's health insurance and health care systems generally."

At America's Health Insurance Plans (AHIP), preserving the cost-sharing payments is a top priority during the industry trade group's private conversations with lawmakers over the GOP's plans to dismantle the health-care law. "Without those subsidies, that is a dramatic financial cost burden that goes to the plans," AHIP spokeswoman Kristine Grow noted.

Grow predicted that additional plans would follow the insurers that already have withdrawn from ACA marketplaces, citing unexpectedly high-cost customers. "If they feel the market is unstable and there is no pathway, there is a very high likelihood they will pull out of the market at the first logical opportunity," she said.

Typically, insurers must choose each spring whether to participate in the federal health exchange and state-run marketplaces for the coming year; that timing means the next round of decisions will be made a few months after Trump takes office. But a wrinkle in the plans' federal contracts gives them a possible way to withdraw much earlier.

The 10-page agreement that health plans sign with the CMS says the agency recognizes that plans designed their coverage and set their prices on the assumption that both premium tax-credits and cost-sharing reductions would be available. "In the event that this assumption ceases to be valid," the agreement says, plans "could have cause to terminate" their participation.

"Everyone is in limbo right now," said J. Mario Molina, president of Molina Healthcare, which sells ACA coverage in nine states. Two-thirds of its customers qualify for cost-sharing. As of last month, the company had received $172 million from the government this year for customer subsidies — about 12 percent of Molina's revenue.

If the payments ended, he said, that would "completely wipe out" the company's small operating margin. The uncertainty is particularly untimely, coming in the midst of the ACA's fourth enrollment period, as the insurer prepares to mail membership cards and benefit brochures to those who are signing up.

"We have no choice at this point [but] to go forward," Molina said. Yet he knows that if Trump stops the cost-sharing, his company will face the hard choice of losing money or dropping out of its ACA marketplaces.

In defending the cost-sharing reductions in court, Obama administration officials have pointed out that without the payments, ACA insurers would ultimately raise their prices, which would mean higher government costs for the law's premium tax credits. The amount of money going to those credits could jump by as much as 30 percent, the HHS estimates.

For their part, the House Republicans who sued say there is a constitutional issue to prove about the power of Congress over spending. The outgoing administration counters that authority for the subsidies is already embedded in the law.

A House leadership aide, briefing reporters last week, said it is not yet clear how lawmakers would respond if Trump moved to cut off the cost-sharing payments. But, the aide acknowledged, "There are cascading effects about insurance markets we are very aware of."

KRonn

I got my ACA health care from the Massachusetts site. The bronze plan, higher deductibles and not as good coverage as the plan I had from work. I could have kept my company insurance plan for a year after retiring but premiums were quite a bit more expensive, though it might have evened out with lower or no deductibles. But the ACA/state plan should work well enough for a year until I sign up for Medicare and a private insurance company supplemental plan.

This state already had a plan in place before the ACA was implemented but the state still had to conform to the same laws as the ACA even though our dem governor at the time tried to get the Feds to give the state a waiver. Good news is that I won't be getting a rate increase next year, or a very small one. Bad news is that the premiums are apparently more than in many other states, at least some states that I've seen, but I assume they might be cheaper than some other states because Mass has had the plan in place for longer than the ACA.

Phillip V

Quote from: KRonn on December 25, 2016, 12:55:13 PM
I got my ACA health care from the Massachusetts site. The bronze plan, higher deductibles and not as good coverage as the plan I had from work. I could have kept my company insurance plan for a year after retiring but premiums were quite a bit more expensive, though it might have evened out with lower or no deductibles. But the ACA/state plan should work well enough for a year until I sign up for Medicare and a private insurance company supplemental plan.

This state already had a plan in place before the ACA was implemented but the state still had to conform to the same laws as the ACA even though our dem governor at the time tried to get the Feds to give the state a waiver. Good news is that I won't be getting a rate increase next year, or a very small one. Bad news is that the premiums are apparently more than in many other states, at least some states that I've seen, but I assume they might be cheaper than some other states because Mass has had the plan in place for longer than the ACA.


What % of the premium is covered by subsidy?

Razgovory

Quote from: derspiess on October 24, 2016, 07:19:51 PM
All according to plan, right?

One Trump gets rid of Obama care Health Care costs will never increase again!
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

KRonn

Quote from: Phillip V on December 25, 2016, 02:08:37 PM
Quote from: KRonn on December 25, 2016, 12:55:13 PM
I got my ACA health care from the Massachusetts site. The bronze plan, higher deductibles and not as good coverage as the plan I had from work. I could have kept my company insurance plan for a year after retiring but premiums were quite a bit more expensive, though it might have evened out with lower or no deductibles. But the ACA/state plan should work well enough for a year until I sign up for Medicare and a private insurance company supplemental plan.

This state already had a plan in place before the ACA was implemented but the state still had to conform to the same laws as the ACA even though our dem governor at the time tried to get the Feds to give the state a waiver. Good news is that I won't be getting a rate increase next year, or a very small one. Bad news is that the premiums are apparently more than in many other states, at least some states that I've seen, but I assume they might be cheaper than some other states because Mass has had the plan in place for longer than the ACA.


What % of the premium is covered by subsidy?

I don't qualify for a subsidy. But I should be able to get a tax break on some portion of the premiums and the money I spend at doctors, etc. on my taxes at year end. 

fromtia

Quote from: Monoriu on October 27, 2016, 03:58:04 PM
I am normally a small government and free market type, but I still think the US should adopt a free and universal healthcare system funded by government.  Perhaps supplemented by a for profit tier that provides premium/primary care.  I mean, the government already provides lots of insurance type services like fire and national defence, and nobody argues against those.

Socialism doesn't work and is un-American. When my house catches fire I sell the opportunity to put it out for profit to the highest bidder, who will naturally do it better because they have been incentivized to do so.
"Just be nice" - James Dalton, Roadhouse.

grumbler

Quote from: fromtia on December 26, 2016, 09:29:00 AM
Socialism doesn't work and is un-American. When my house catches fire I sell the opportunity to put it out for profit to the highest bidder, who will naturally do it better because they have been incentivized to do so.

Silly analogies are silly.
The future is all around us, waiting, in moments of transition, to be born in moments of revelation. No one knows the shape of that future or where it will take us. We know only that it is always born in pain.   -G'Kar

Bayraktar!

CountDeMoney

Quote from: grumbler on December 26, 2016, 09:45:07 AM
Quote from: fromtia on December 26, 2016, 09:29:00 AM
Socialism doesn't work and is un-American. When my house catches fire I sell the opportunity to put it out for profit to the highest bidder, who will naturally do it better because they have been incentivized to do so.

Silly analogies are silly.

Especially when it's been demonstrated that under privatized emergency services "some ambulance response times worsened, heart monitors failed and companies slid into bankruptcy."

On the positive side, for every person that dies from private equity control over government emergency response services, Yi's little penny stocks go up .0004% and he ejaculates like a Yosemite geyser all over a karaoke machine somewhere, spraying his capital-infused jizz all over everyone like a fire suppression system of cum.