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Economic Recovery in America

Started by The Minsky Moment, July 10, 2013, 03:06:34 PM

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Razgovory

Quote from: dps on July 10, 2013, 10:45:11 PM
Quote from: fhdz on July 10, 2013, 08:12:36 PM
That's quite a graph. I think I felt my heart sink into my stomach.

I guess I can see how some nationless billionaire nomad with an entirely global perspective on the economy might look at that graph and go "yep, that's hunky dorey!" but I can't imagine how any American with even a teaspoon of nationalism left in him would think that was okay.

If you take a look at it, the percentage of Americans with a job now is actually higher than it was in the early 60's.  What's changed is the percentage of Americans in the job market.  50 years ago, a fairly substantial percentage of female Americans were still full-time homemakers and weren't in the job market at all, and nowdays people are more likely to keep working past retirement age as well.  So if you want to reduce unemployment and raise wages, there are 2 pretty obvious solutions:  first, roll back feminism and get the womenfolk back in the kitchen, and second, make retirement mandatory at a certain age.

And no, I'm not being facetious, but OTOH I'm not seriously suggesting that we rollback feminism, either.  I'm saying that the social and legal changes in women's status has unintended economic sideaffects--specifically, by bringing more people into the labor market, it has increase unemployment and decreased wages.  (I'm also not saying that it's the only factor in play here.)

More women working is less a function of feminism but of households inability to survive on one income.  Women working hasn't hasn't caused the decrease in wages but is caused by the decrease in wages.  After all it was common for women to work before WWII.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Phillip V

#91
Quote from: merithyn on July 10, 2013, 11:47:28 PM
Of course, another option is to incentivize one parent staying home (gender irrelevant). Right now, there's no way that millions of families will be able to survive on one paycheck without some assistance.

Make it worthwhile - and possible - for a family to live with only one paycheck, if this is the issue. Again, which gender is irrelevant.
Millions of poor families (assuming two parent household) would not be able to survive on one paycheck.

However, the millions of upper and even middle class families (with two working parents) can survive on one paycheck. But I doubt they would be able to stomach the resulting drop in luxuries and personal/professional "self-worth".

Josquius

Quote
Besides, the goal for any company is to reach that ideal ratio of maximized profit, where the most money can be earned using the least amount of employees. 
The problem with modern business :(
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Admiral Yi

Quote from: Tyr on July 11, 2013, 12:04:16 AM
Quote
Besides, the goal for any company is to reach that ideal ratio of maximized profit, where the most money can be earned using the least amount of employees. 
The problem with modern business :(

That's nonsense.

Richard Hakluyt

Yeah, let's ditch the combines and get the harvest in with scythes, it'll reduce unemployment  :cool:

fhdz

Quote from: Richard Hakluyt on July 11, 2013, 05:20:56 AM
Yeah, let's ditch the combines and get the harvest in with scythes, it'll reduce unemployment  :cool:

It would certainly help with our obesity problem.
and the horse you rode in on

garbon

Quote from: fhdz on July 10, 2013, 08:12:36 PM
That's quite a graph. I think I felt my heart sink into my stomach.

I guess I can see how some nationless billionaire nomad with an entirely global perspective on the economy might look at that graph and go "yep, that's hunky dorey!" but I can't imagine how any American with even a teaspoon of nationalism left in him would think that was okay.

Well I would just say that I don't understand why they are being charted together as it is clear that there really isn't a correlation.
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

garbon

Quote from: Phillip V on July 10, 2013, 11:55:34 PM
Quote from: merithyn on July 10, 2013, 11:47:28 PM
Of course, another option is to incentivize one parent staying home (gender irrelevant). Right now, there's no way that millions of families will be able to survive on one paycheck without some assistance.

Make it worthwhile - and possible - for a family to live with only one paycheck, if this is the issue. Again, which gender is irrelevant.
Millions of poor families (assuming two parent household) would not be able to survive on one paycheck.

However, the millions of upper and even middle class families (with two working parents) can survive on one paycheck. But I doubt they would be able to stomach the resulting drop in luxuries and personal/professional "self-worth".

I grew up in a middle class family with only one parent working. We hardly were "wanting."
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

merithyn

Quote from: Phillip V on July 10, 2013, 11:55:34 PM
Millions of poor families (assuming two parent household) would not be able to survive on one paycheck.

However, the millions of upper and even middle class families (with two working parents) can survive on one paycheck. But I doubt they would be able to stomach the resulting drop in luxuries and personal/professional "self-worth".

I'm sorry that a person feels a need to leave the house and do something beyond changing diapers and cleaning up baby puke in order to feel a bit of "self-worth". :(
Yesterday, upon the stair,
I met a man who wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
I wish, I wish he'd go away...

fhdz

Quote from: dps on July 10, 2013, 10:45:11 PM
nowdays people are more likely to keep working past retirement age as well

Uh, they're doing that because they can't make ends meet on Social Security alone, not because they are feeling really peppy about going to an office job at 70 years old.
and the horse you rode in on

fhdz

Quote from: garbon on July 11, 2013, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: fhdz on July 10, 2013, 08:12:36 PM
That's quite a graph. I think I felt my heart sink into my stomach.

I guess I can see how some nationless billionaire nomad with an entirely global perspective on the economy might look at that graph and go "yep, that's hunky dorey!" but I can't imagine how any American with even a teaspoon of nationalism left in him would think that was okay.

Well I would just say that I don't understand why they are being charted together as it is clear that there really isn't a correlation.

I'm not sure it's as clear as you say it is.
and the horse you rode in on

garbon

Quote from: fhdz on July 11, 2013, 11:26:51 AM
Quote from: garbon on July 11, 2013, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: fhdz on July 10, 2013, 08:12:36 PM
That's quite a graph. I think I felt my heart sink into my stomach.

I guess I can see how some nationless billionaire nomad with an entirely global perspective on the economy might look at that graph and go "yep, that's hunky dorey!" but I can't imagine how any American with even a teaspoon of nationalism left in him would think that was okay.

Well I would just say that I don't understand why they are being charted together as it is clear that there really isn't a correlation.

I'm not sure it's as clear as you say it is.

For most of the graph, declines and increase in employment appear to have no affect at all on corporate profits.

Profits continue to rise even when you see the slight rally on employment in '05-'09. Profits sky rocket in '10-'14 period while employment remains stagnant/low.
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

Eddie Teach

I thought the point of the graph was that there was no correlation, though there should have been.
To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

crazy canuck

Re: women's participation in the work force - one big factor is all the time saving devices we now have for household chores that used to take many more hours to do.   Someone had to stay home to do all that work.  That is no longer true and hasnt been for several decades.

viper37

Quote from: Phillip V on July 10, 2013, 11:55:34 PM
Quote from: merithyn on July 10, 2013, 11:47:28 PM
Of course, another option is to incentivize one parent staying home (gender irrelevant). Right now, there's no way that millions of families will be able to survive on one paycheck without some assistance.

Make it worthwhile - and possible - for a family to live with only one paycheck, if this is the issue. Again, which gender is irrelevant.
Millions of poor families (assuming two parent household) would not be able to survive on one paycheck.

However, the millions of upper and even middle class families (with two working parents) can survive on one paycheck. But I doubt they would be able to stomach the resulting drop in luxuries and personal/professional "self-worth".
they might survive, but they'd need to live as they did before: no phone, no tv, no internet, no car.
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.