Quote from: HisMajestyBOB on December 03, 2025, 10:25:49 AMI would like to get a new computer next year, please don't drive up the cost of components.
Quote from: DGuller on December 03, 2025, 12:02:39 PMLooks like my CtDs were a blessing in disguise, frankly I think the complexity of EU5 far outstrips the abilities of Paradox to ever balance it.
This reminds me of a case in a very different genre: iRacing in sim-racing. Their lead physics modeler couldn't give up on the ambition of building a tire behavior model entirely from first principles, despite the fact that even for tire companies tire behavior is still a bit of a black box. The more he tried to fix it from first principles, the more he uncovered different modes where tire behavior went completely off the rails.
Quote from: HisMajestyBOB on December 03, 2025, 10:25:49 AMI would like to get a new computer next year, please don't drive up the cost of components.
Quote from: DGuller on December 03, 2025, 12:02:39 PMLooks like my CtDs were a blessing in disguise, frankly I think the complexity of EU5 far outstrips the abilities of Paradox to ever balance it.
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on December 03, 2025, 09:37:13 AMI think the spirit of "[t]he market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" applies to war economies like Russia's as well. It is fundamentally unhealthy, but trying to time its collapse is a fool's errand. I think this point is missed in the "Russia'a economy will collapse any day now" versus "Russia can keep this up forever" debate.
Quote from: DGuller on December 03, 2025, 10:09:11 AMQuote from: The Minsky Moment on December 03, 2025, 09:49:50 AMI think the explanation for Google being beat to market is off the mark. In history plenty of companies failed to capitalize on their own inventions, or even appreciate their potential, for reasons other than their focus on quality. I think the far more likely explanation is that Google, being a mature large public company, is just naturally far less nimble than a motivated privately-held startup. Companies like that have way too many stakeholder alignment meetings, risk committee working groups, and quarterly earning targets, to move fast, at least until external factors make them move fast.
- Google launched their new Gemini iteration and appears to have overtaken or at least caught up to GPT-5. Open AI insiders leaked a memo from Altman declaring a "code red". Of course, there is nothing unexpected about this development; Google was the pioneer of these industrial scale LLMs (from their 2017 paper) and was only beat to market because they wouldn't release a half-baked product.
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