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General Category => Off the Record => Topic started by: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:43:13 PM

Title: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:43:13 PM
Yi's mentioned the idea of American politics as a revenge cycle a few times.  Generally it all seems to start in the Clinton Presidency.  Why?  What happened?

This was prompted by mentioning Clinton in the other thread but I didn't want to sidetrack things.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 04:45:01 PM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:43:13 PM
Yi's mentioned the idea of American politics as a revenge cycle a few times.  Generally it all seems to start in the Clinton Presidency.  Why?  What happened?

This was prompted by mentioning Clinton in the other thread but I didn't want to sidetrack things.

Why start with Clinton? I think Nixon would be a better start.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Phillip V on January 07, 2012, 04:47:09 PM
I think FDR would be a better start.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:48:25 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 04:45:01 PM
Why start with Clinton? I think Nixon would be a better start.
Yi's mentioned the revenge cycle starts with Clinton.  Prior to that things weren't so poisonous, there was bipartisan cooperation, judges and other appointees got approved and so on.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Eddie Teach on January 07, 2012, 04:52:08 PM
The judges bit starts with Robert Bork I think.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: DGuller on January 07, 2012, 04:52:43 PM
Americans won the Cold War, so domestic political enemies became the ultimate target, and no tactic could be seen to scorch the earth enough to be counter-productive.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Admiral Yi on January 07, 2012, 04:58:31 PM
Was Scaife the guy who paid for the Paula Jones suit?  I don't know if he had a personal thing for Clinton or he was just a Republican attack dog who would have laid into any Democratic president given the ammunition.  And Clinton did give him some ammunition.

Then you had the Whitewater investigation.  A more politically attuned prosecutor (like that Mick that ran the Plame investigation) might have dropped it when all the Whitewater co-conspirators fell on their swords but he turned out to be a zealot who preferred to play hard ball.  After that you get the diverging narratives of a president who was impeached over a blow job and the chief executive of the country lying under oath.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Ideologue on January 07, 2012, 05:00:13 PM
It definitely seems like a fin-de-seicle phenomenon.  Granted, I wasn't very old before that, but I don't remember things being as vehement in late 80s and early 90s.

I mean, there was Bork, but opposing that with all possible means was actually of prime importance, as opposed to appointing an executive agency head.  These days, there's no sense of proportion: all battles must be apocalyptic.

The two things also aren't analogous.  One can assume that an executive appointee will be, to at least some extent, the creature of a sitting president, so it doesn't matter nearly as much who fills the chair, and in any event they'll be subject to political pressures and ultimately you can be rid of them through the democratic process, i.e. electing a new president.  A USSC justice is an entirely different kettle of fish: a USSC justice has a lifetime appointment and almost nonexistent political restraints, and thus all the space to go batshit crazy in the world.  They're potentially the most dangerous people in the American system.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 05:01:37 PM
Quote from: Peter Wiggin on January 07, 2012, 04:52:08 PM
The judges bit starts with Robert Bork I think.

Or Earl Warren.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 05:05:06 PM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:48:25 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 04:45:01 PM
Why start with Clinton? I think Nixon would be a better start.
Yi's mentioned the revenge cycle starts with Clinton.  Prior to that things weren't so poisonous, there was bipartisan cooperation, judges and other appointees got approved and so on.

I think the GOP has had a major inferiority complex after being the only party to see one of it's President's resign.  The GOP was pretty rabid in the late 1940's and 1950's after the humiliation of losing presidential runs to guy with out working legs and opposing a war that was seen in hindsight as just and important
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Ed Anger on January 07, 2012, 05:17:59 PM
Quoteopposing a war that was seen in hindsight as just and important

Fuck the brits and frogs. America first.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: MadImmortalMan on January 09, 2012, 12:10:54 PM
Quote from: Ideologue on January 07, 2012, 05:00:13 PM
It definitely seems like a fin-de-seicle phenomenon.  Granted, I wasn't very old before that, but I don't remember things being as vehement in late 80s and early 90s.

I mean, there was Bork, but opposing that with all possible means was actually of prime importance, as opposed to appointing an executive agency head.  These days, there's no sense of proportion: all battles must be apocalyptic.

The two things also aren't analogous.  One can assume that an executive appointee will be, to at least some extent, the creature of a sitting president, so it doesn't matter nearly as much who fills the chair, and in any event they'll be subject to political pressures and ultimately you can be rid of them through the democratic process, i.e. electing a new president.  A USSC justice is an entirely different kettle of fish: a USSC justice has a lifetime appointment and almost nonexistent political restraints, and thus all the space to go batshit crazy in the world.  They're potentially the most dangerous people in the American system.

We still got Thomas, so meh.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days. 
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: crazy canuck on January 09, 2012, 01:20:50 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.

What sorts of things do you have in mind?
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 01:20:57 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.
Thoughts why?  End of the Cold War?  Break down of geographical coalitions in favour of ideology after civil rights?
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: MadImmortalMan on January 09, 2012, 01:22:54 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on January 09, 2012, 01:20:50 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.

What sorts of things do you have in mind?

Our politicians will be paying prostitutes with cameras to visit their opponents.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 01:24:14 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on January 07, 2012, 05:05:06 PMThe GOP was pretty rabid in the late 1940's and 1950's after the humiliation of losing presidential runs to guy with out working legs and opposing a war that was seen in hindsight as just and important
I thought both parties were divided, but the GOP far more so.  But even they nominated an interventionist candidate for President in 1940.  After he was defeated he supported lend-lease and was, in the war, used by Roosevelt as an unofficial flying ambassador.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: MadImmortalMan on January 09, 2012, 01:26:04 PM
Wilkie was in many ways a real hero.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:42:48 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on January 09, 2012, 01:20:50 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.

What sorts of things do you have in mind?

American politics used to me much more personal, and could get really petty and vindictive when politicians didn't get along personally.  For example, after WWI, when Congress was considering the Treaty of Versailles, Henry Cabot Lodge proposed that the Senate ratify the treaty but with a number of reservations.  President Wilson rejected the reservations and demanded that the Senate ratify the treaty without reservations.  There is some evidence that Wilson would have accepted the reservations (and that the treaty would have been ratified with them) except that he detested Lodge and refused to accept the reservations simply because it was Lodge who had offered them.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Valmy on January 09, 2012, 01:52:43 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:42:48 PM
American politics used to me much more personal, and could get really petty and vindictive when politicians didn't get along personally.  For example, after WWI, when Congress was considering the Treaty of Versailles, Henry Cabot Lodge proposed that the Senate ratify the treaty but with a number of reservations.  President Wilson rejected the reservations and demanded that the Senate ratify the treaty without reservations.  There is some evidence that Wilson would have accepted the reservations (and that the treaty would have been ratified with them) except that he detested Lodge and refused to accept the reservations simply because it was Lodge who had offered them.

Well that is different.  That was personal.  It really does not matter now if Obama and Boehner are lifelong BFFs or bitter personal rivals.  The personal revenge and character assassination is institutionalized now and they pretty much have to attack each other or be accused of treason by their supporters.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Ideologue on January 09, 2012, 02:36:01 PM
Quote from: MadImmortalMan on January 09, 2012, 12:10:54 PM
Quote from: Ideologue on January 07, 2012, 05:00:13 PM
It definitely seems like a fin-de-seicle phenomenon.  Granted, I wasn't very old before that, but I don't remember things being as vehement in late 80s and early 90s.

I mean, there was Bork, but opposing that with all possible means was actually of prime importance, as opposed to appointing an executive agency head.  These days, there's no sense of proportion: all battles must be apocalyptic.

The two things also aren't analogous.  One can assume that an executive appointee will be, to at least some extent, the creature of a sitting president, so it doesn't matter nearly as much who fills the chair, and in any event they'll be subject to political pressures and ultimately you can be rid of them through the democratic process, i.e. electing a new president.  A USSC justice is an entirely different kettle of fish: a USSC justice has a lifetime appointment and almost nonexistent political restraints, and thus all the space to go batshit crazy in the world.  They're potentially the most dangerous people in the American system.

We still got Thomas, so meh.

Yeah, they also have the potential to be the laziest people in the American system.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: grumbler on January 09, 2012, 03:27:16 PM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on January 07, 2012, 04:58:31 PM
Was Scaife the guy who paid for the Paula Jones suit?  I don't know if he had a personal thing for Clinton or he was just a Republican attack dog who would have laid into any Democratic president given the ammunition.  And Clinton did give him some ammunition.

Then you had the Whitewater investigation.  A more politically attuned prosecutor (like that Mick that ran the Plame investigation) might have dropped it when all the Whitewater co-conspirators fell on their swords but he turned out to be a zealot who preferred to play hard ball.  After that you get the diverging narratives of a president who was impeached over a blow job and the chief executive of the country lying under oath.

I think it was partially Starr as The Spanish Inquisition (investigating until he found something, despite his original mandate being long forgotten), but it was also the way Clinton kinda stole the Republicans' thunder after the Republicans took control of the House in 1994.  Clinton got the credit for being progressive and yet realistic (welfare reform, and the like) and the Republicans couldn't get any traction in the 1996 presidential elections because Clinton dominated the center.  The man was truly teflon, and that pissed off the Republicans no end.

I agree that this was the start of the present cycle of political bitterness.  It is probably unsurprising that the claims have gotten steadily more shrill over time, to the point where a sizable minority of people don't even think that elections produce legitimate presidents.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Viking on January 09, 2012, 03:30:25 PM
It started when the Moral Majority and Jerry Falwell got a born again president with Carter and were disappointed when he didn't put a government padlock on single womens' vaginas.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 03:34:05 PM
Quote from: grumbler on January 09, 2012, 03:27:16 PMClinton got the credit for being progressive and yet realistic (welfare reform, and the like) and the Republicans couldn't get any traction in the 1996 presidential elections because Clinton dominated the center.  The man was truly teflon, and that pissed off the Republicans no end.
I read an interesting argument about welfare in this country.  In passing it quoted Clinton from before welfare reform talking about what was eventually passed.  It wondered what would have happened if Clinton tried to do welfare reform in 1993 and then healthcare reform - I think it's possible he'd have done both and gone down as a great who got a blowjob.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: grumbler on January 09, 2012, 03:37:42 PM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 03:34:05 PM
I read an interesting argument about welfare in this country.  In passing it quoted Clinton from before welfare reform talking about what was eventually passed.  It wondered what would have happened if Clinton tried to do welfare reform in 1993 and then healthcare reform - I think it's possible he'd have done both and gone down as a great who got a blowjob.

I don't think entitlement reform was a possibility until the Republicans won the House and Senate in 1994, and by then the chance of carrying out health care reform was gone.

Interesting idea, though, especially if I am wrong about the chances the Democratic House and Senate would pass meaningful entitlement reform in 1993. 
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Admiral Yi on January 09, 2012, 03:40:12 PM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 03:34:05 PM
I read an interesting argument about welfare in this country.  In passing it quoted Clinton from before welfare reform talking about what was eventually passed.  It wondered what would have happened if Clinton tried to do welfare reform in 1993 and then healthcare reform - I think it's possible he'd have done both and gone down as a great who got a blowjob.

I don't think he would have been able to carry his own party with him.  Welfare reform passed with a GOP majority because it was GOP legislation.  And I surely don't see health care getting easier with a GOP majority than it was with a Democratic one.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 04:07:34 PM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on January 09, 2012, 03:40:12 PM
I don't think he would have been able to carry his own party with him.  Welfare reform passed with a GOP majority because it was GOP legislation.  And I surely don't see health care getting easier with a GOP majority than it was with a Democratic one.
Either Clinton's running, to an extent, against his party as a reformer and the GOP aren't as galvanised in opposition to Hillarycare.  Or the GOP's still not galvanised against Hillarycare and the Democrats have just passed meaningful welfare reform.  The dynamics of 1994 change whatever's happened.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: derspiess on January 09, 2012, 05:26:06 PM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 07, 2012, 04:43:13 PM
Yi's mentioned the idea of American politics as a revenge cycle a few times.  Generally it all seems to start in the Clinton Presidency.  Why?  What happened?

This was prompted by mentioning Clinton in the other thread but I didn't want to sidetrack things.

The GOP has actually been competitive in House elections (and have controlled the House more often than not) starting with the Clinton years.  I think that's pretty much the difference.  Things have gotten nasty at times, but I think it will work itself out once both parties realize they're not automatically entitled to control the House, Senate, or Presidency.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Martinus on January 09, 2012, 06:08:15 PM
I think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 06:21:26 PM
Quote from: derspiess on January 09, 2012, 05:26:06 PMThe GOP has actually been competitive in House elections (and have controlled the House more often than not) starting with the Clinton years.  I think that's pretty much the difference.  Things have gotten nasty at times, but I think it will work itself out once both parties realize they're not automatically entitled to control the House, Senate, or Presidency.
I've read that one of the reason the Senate's more partisan is possibly because many more Senators have been Congressmen, which didn't used to be the case.  So they take the attitude of the House into the Senate, but also behave more like Parliamentary blocks and less like a deliberative chamber.

Further on the GOP taking over the house I read an interesting article that puts all of this to Reagan.  I can't remember where the article was.  One of its arguments though was that Reagan shifted involvement in the GOP.  They went from recruiting local businessmen and the like to run for Congress and built a grass roots machine, like the Democrats.  So they started running in more elections lower down the food chain and basically the 90s was, to an extent, the fruition of that work of the grass roots and the first generation of GOP career politicians.  The religious right was, to them, what the unions were to the Democrats.   I'm doing monstrous violence to the guys argument.  But it was interesting.


QuoteI think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.
It's demonstrably true in the case of the US though.  It may not have always been placid but there was a bipartisan era.  Similarly I think the 'revenge cycle' has got worse while I've been following American politics.  I'm wondering why, where it starts and how it started.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Valmy on January 09, 2012, 06:22:34 PM
Quote from: Martinus on January 09, 2012, 06:08:15 PM
I think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.

At least back in those days both sides had different political postures.  Now they are just vicous but generally agree on everything.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Phillip V on January 09, 2012, 06:27:21 PM
Quote from: Valmy on January 09, 2012, 06:22:34 PM
Quote from: Martinus on January 09, 2012, 06:08:15 PM
I think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.

At least back in those days both sides had different political postures.  Now they are just vicous but generally agree on everything.

It's cultural, both bottom-up and top-down. Many couples now break up over whether the toilet paper should roll over or under.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Eddie Teach on January 09, 2012, 06:33:47 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.

Yeah, I think the lack of a credible external threat since the fall of the Soviet Union is largely to blame.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Kleves on January 09, 2012, 07:09:32 PM
Quote from: Ideologue on January 09, 2012, 02:36:01 PM
Yeah, they also have the potential to be the laziest people in the American system.
Oral arguments are Justice Thomas' nap time.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Razgovory on January 09, 2012, 07:19:31 PM
Quote from: Martinus on January 09, 2012, 06:08:15 PM
I think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.

What do you know, you didn't even have a country in the 19th century.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Ideologue on January 09, 2012, 07:20:17 PM
Quote from: Kleves on January 09, 2012, 07:09:32 PM
Quote from: Ideologue on January 09, 2012, 02:36:01 PM
Yeah, they also have the potential to be the laziest people in the American system.
Oral arguments are Justice Thomas' nap time.

Clarence, you're the laziest man on the Mars.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: Phillip V on January 09, 2012, 07:53:52 PM
Quote from: Peter Wiggin on January 09, 2012, 06:33:47 PM
Quote from: dps on January 09, 2012, 01:14:50 PM
I think what's happened in the last 20 years is essentially a return to the way politics were conducted prior to WWII, except now the media is able to report of a lot of stuff that flew under the radar back in those days.

Yeah, I think the lack of a credible external threat since the fall of the Soviet Union is largely to blame.

We need to create a new threat in order to unify America.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: MadImmortalMan on January 09, 2012, 08:23:50 PM
Quote from: Phillip V on January 09, 2012, 07:53:52 PM
We need to create a new threat in order to unify America.


*Rolls dice*

27

*Checks threat table*


Mongol Hordes down from the steppe and savage the fruited plain!
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: CountDeMoney on January 10, 2012, 06:32:16 AM
Quote from: Ideologue on January 07, 2012, 05:00:13 PM
It definitely seems like a fin-de-seicle phenomenon.  Granted, I wasn't very old before that, but I don't remember things being as vehement in late 80s and early 90s.

You missed Iran Contra.  That was germination, and it carried into the Bork hearings.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: CountDeMoney on January 10, 2012, 06:34:18 AM
Quote from: Martinus on January 09, 2012, 06:08:15 PM
I think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.

No shit.  People need to read up on the shit storm that brewed up between the time of the Missouri Compromise to Harper's Ferry.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: grumbler on January 10, 2012, 07:51:22 AM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 06:21:26 PM
QuoteI think the concept of "good old times when politics wasn't so vicious" is largely a myth. It just fluctuates, but when you read about the viciousness of the early 19th century (not to mention, a goddamn civil war fought over domestic politics), it's ridiculous to claim that in the past politicians were more conciliatory.
It's demonstrably true in the case of the US though.  It may not have always been placid but there was a bipartisan era.  Similarly I think the 'revenge cycle' has got worse while I've been following American politics.  I'm wondering why, where it starts and how it started.
I find it interesting that you think Marti is at all inclined to allow facts to stand in the way of his silly hyperbole.  When he says it is "ridiculous" to disagree with him, just nod pityingly and move to the next post.
Title: Re: Question about Clinton
Post by: derspiess on January 10, 2012, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Sheilbh on January 09, 2012, 06:21:26 PM
I've read that one of the reason the Senate's more partisan is possibly because many more Senators have been Congressmen, which didn't used to be the case.  So they take the attitude of the House into the Senate, but also behave more like Parliamentary blocks and less like a deliberative chamber.

Further on the GOP taking over the house I read an interesting article that puts all of this to Reagan.  I can't remember where the article was.  One of its arguments though was that Reagan shifted involvement in the GOP.  They went from recruiting local businessmen and the like to run for Congress and built a grass roots machine, like the Democrats.  So they started running in more elections lower down the food chain and basically the 90s was, to an extent, the fruition of that work of the grass roots and the first generation of GOP career politicians.  The religious right was, to them, what the unions were to the Democrats.   I'm doing monstrous violence to the guys argument.  But it was interesting.

I hadn't really thought of it that way, but it makes sense-- particularly if you notice that the GOP gradually scaled back their proposals for term limits once they themselves had career politicians. 

Another cause for the revenge cycle might be the bitterness from hotly contested elections.  We had three presidential elections in a row where the winner did not get a majority of the popular vote and both of Bush's victories were electoral nail-biters (in fact there is still some bitterness over the craziness of 2000).  Not to mention various high-profile elections for Senate & House seats.  I think it's easier to carry a grudge if your side was in contention or even thought they had won-- or even worse, felt like it had the election 'stolen'.