Languish.org

General Category => Off the Record => Topic started by: Jacob on March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PM

Poll
Question: Will Trump put boots on the ground in Iranian territory in the next three months?
Option 1: No. The troop movement is purely posturing. He will not use ground troops in Iranian territory. votes: 2
Option 2: Yes, but only special forces quick strikes before withdrawing and similar. No ground will be held. votes: 7
Option 3: Yes, he will take and hold Iranian territory with limited objectives. He'll stick to those objectives and not be drawn further in. votes: 3
Option 4: Yes. He'll strike with a limited force and limited objectives, but one thing will lead to another and the American commitment will continue to grow into large, messy deployment. votes: 9
Option 5: Yes, but he'll somehow rustle up the forces for a major deployment to take and hold ground at a large scale. votes: 1
Option 6: No, because the conflict will come to an end before such a scenario becomes necessary. votes: 0
Title: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Jacob on March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PM
Poll is open only for five days.

What does languish think? Is Trump going to put boots on the ground in Iran, and if so how is it going to go in terms of escalation.
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on March 27, 2026, 08:22:51 AM
I voted spec ops, but I was torn between that and limited objectives that stay that way.  What pushed be towards the latter is the noise about taking a couple of the mid-Gulf islands that Iran owns but the UAE claims (Taub and Abu Musa).  They're far enough away from Iran proper to be able to defend effectively without more forces, are somewhat strategic in that they're two small airfields in the middle of the Gulf, and would satisfy the Robber Baron in Chief's anachronistic desire to possess something.
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Grey Fox on March 27, 2026, 09:00:26 AM
Hegseth & Trump think that every problem is a nail and the USA has many many hammers in it's military toolbox.

Escalation4ever
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Valmy on March 27, 2026, 12:12:21 PM
We'll strike something to show how big our dicks are and get drawn in.
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Jacob on March 27, 2026, 12:45:54 PM
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on Today at 08:22:51 AMI voted spec ops, but I was torn between that and limited objectives that stay that way.  What pushed be towards the latter is the noise about taking a couple of the mid-Gulf islands that Iran owns but the UAE claims (Taub and Abu Musa).  They're far enough away from Iran proper to be able to defend effectively without more forces, are somewhat strategic in that they're two small airfields in the middle of the Gulf, and would satisfy the Robber Baron in Chief's anachronistic desire to possess something.

Oh interesting. I guess that's an alternative to the "take Kharg Island" potential scenario for how the HEU / Airborne might be used.

* wanders off to look up Taub and Abu Musa *
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: Crazy_Ivan80 on March 27, 2026, 12:54:00 PM
It'll be messy and escalate.
Giggity.
 <_<
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: crazy canuck on March 27, 2026, 01:07:16 PM
It's going to be what - mid April before the MEU units are in theatre?  I voted option 1, but also the last option is viable.
Title: Re: Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)
Post by: The Brain on March 27, 2026, 02:05:38 PM
Really hard to guess, since there is no plan at all, but I'll be surprised if the US decides to put huge ground forces into Iran. But if they do, a greatly weakened America will make Nato allies sleep better at night.