Quote from: Oexmelin on Today at 02:36:25 PMI think one of the most salient issue is linked to the time-honored avoidance of calling it a "conquest", and making it the "beginning of a beautiful friendship".
If any politician in Canada took that tone for relations with First Nations - that, say, the creation of the Six Nations reserve was the moment when Canada made the choice of friendship, people would rightly object - and they would even have scrupules in framing it that way in the first place.
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on Today at 11:28:01 AMQuote from: crazy canuck on Today at 10:35:08 AMWhere I say they are going wrong is the suggestion of that the solution to the problem is the same as it has ever been, replicating the experiment.
I agree there. My point was just that some fields reached the point where they were so overwhelmed with fraud that "just replicate" was infeasible well before LLMs.
Quote from: crazy canuck on Today at 10:35:08 AMWe are putting our heads in the sand if we pretend that the replication problem is the same now as it has ever been. That is clearly ridiculous given the volume of fraudulent papers that are being submitted to the journals.
QuoteThis is where I partially disagree. The nature of the replication problem is the same as it has been (unethical researchers flooding journals with fraudulent papers). The magnitude has increased significantly, though. For some fields, this shifts the dynamic from "annoyed by frauds" to "overwhelmed by frauds", which is significant. For others, it shifts the dynamic from "overwhelmed by frauds" to "very overwhelmed by frauds", which (in my opinion) isn't significant.
A pernicious problem that I think LLMs will greatly exacerbate is instances of high-quality, targeted fraud. The ability of LLMs to craft well-worded bullshit makes it easier to craft papers with an agenda, where it will be harder to detect the fraud. It's an extension of using LLMs to craft misinformation. The peer review system has long had a problem here, since it really isn't set up to assume submitters are high-effort liars. Making this significantly easier is something I think could change the nature of the replication problem.
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on Today at 11:28:01 AMThis is where I partially disagree. The nature of the replication problem is the same as it has been (unethical researchers flooding journals with fraudulent papers). The magnitude has increased significantly, though. For some fields, this shifts the dynamic from "annoyed by frauds" to "overwhelmed by frauds", which is significant. For others, it shifts the dynamic from "overwhelmed by frauds" to "very overwhelmed by frauds", which (in my opinion) isn't significant.
A pernicious problem that I think LLMs will greatly exacerbate is instances of high-quality, targeted fraud. The ability of LLMs to craft well-worded bullshit makes it easier to craft papers with an agenda, where it will be harder to detect the fraud. It's an extension of using LLMs to craft misinformation. The peer review system has long had a problem here, since it really isn't set up to assume submitters are high-effort liars. Making this significantly easier is something I think could change the nature of the replication problem.
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