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#41
Off the Record / Re: What does a TRUMP presiden...
Last post by Zanza - April 16, 2026, 11:26:01 AM
The United States will start reimbursement of 166 billion USD in tariffs to the importing parties, often large corporations. So much winning.
#42
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by crazy canuck - April 16, 2026, 10:42:32 AM
Quote from: Baron von Schtinkenbutt on April 16, 2026, 10:40:41 AM
Quote from: Jacob on April 16, 2026, 10:23:41 AMI'd be very interested in an overview of American troop accumulation and movement in the region.

Last time it was a topic, some airborne were being repositioned into theatre and some MEF troops were en route. Presumably they're in place now.

Based on what we know, has the possible scale of potential American or Israeli ground operations changed?

Tripoli and her amphibious group are operating in the Arabian Sea now.  That group's forces wouldn't even be enough to secure a beachhead in mainland Iran, though.  I suspect it's there mainly to support the blockade.  Otherwise, I haven't read anything about any sort of significant ground forces being in place.  Attacking anything on the ground that isn't an isolated island or a SpecOps raid would be suicidal with the troop numbers in-theater.


Yeah, there haven't been any new deployment and the troops that were deployed are token at best.  I really wish Sheilbh hadn't posted Russian  suggest suggesting that there was a buildup of troops

When are people going to learn that Russia and the Trumpists are acting in coordination.  Just fucking ridiculous to see otherwise intelligent people falling into this cesspool of misinformation.
#43
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by Baron von Schtinkenbutt - April 16, 2026, 10:40:41 AM
Quote from: Jacob on April 16, 2026, 10:23:41 AMI'd be very interested in an overview of American troop accumulation and movement in the region.

Last time it was a topic, some airborne were being repositioned into theatre and some MEF troops were en route. Presumably they're in place now.

Based on what we know, has the possible scale of potential American or Israeli ground operations changed?

Tripoli and her amphibious group are operating in the Arabian Sea now.  That group's forces wouldn't even be enough to secure a beachhead in mainland Iran, though.  I suspect it's there mainly to support the blockade.  Otherwise, I haven't read anything about any sort of significant ground forces being in place.  Attacking anything on the ground that isn't an isolated island or a SpecOps raid would be suicidal with the troop numbers in-theater.
#44
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by crazy canuck - April 16, 2026, 10:36:44 AM
Quote from: Jacob on April 16, 2026, 10:24:11 AM
Quote from: crazy canuck on April 16, 2026, 10:20:31 AMAviation fuel is running short. Airline cancellations are going to increase, and especially flights to and from Europe.

RIP World Cup?



Fucking great. I have a family vacation planned mid-May.


Yep, our trip in June is also looking less likely.

Apparently, the refinery in Qatar is the source of much of Europe's aviation fuel, and that refinery was damaged so even if tanker traffic in the straight  returns to normal tomorrow, that still isn't going to solve the aviation fuel shortage.

#45
Off the Record / Re: Hungarian Politics
Last post by Sheilbh - April 16, 2026, 10:29:52 AM
Fascinating interview with Ivan Krastev (co-author of the very good The Light That Failed which is about the rise of populism/crisis of liberalism looking at CEE as the cutting edge) in Equator, which is always worth reading:
https://www.equator.org/articles/the-mittel-man?preview=true
#46
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by Jacob - April 16, 2026, 10:24:11 AM
Quote from: crazy canuck on April 16, 2026, 10:20:31 AMAviation fuel is running short. Airline cancellations are going to increase, and especially flights to and from Europe.

RIP World Cup?



Fucking great. I have a family vacation planned mid-May.
#47
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by Jacob - April 16, 2026, 10:23:41 AM
I'd be very interested in an overview of American troop accumulation and movement in the region.

Last time it was a topic, some airborne were being repositioned into theatre and some MEF troops were en route. Presumably they're in place now.

Based on what we know, has the possible scale of potential American or Israeli ground operations changed?
#48
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by crazy canuck - April 16, 2026, 10:20:31 AM
Aviation fuel is running short. Airline cancellations are going to increase, and especially flights to and from Europe.

RIP World Cup?

#49
Off the Record / Re: Russo-Ukrainian War 2014-2...
Last post by crazy canuck - April 16, 2026, 09:35:10 AM
Quote from: Norgy on April 15, 2026, 02:51:38 PMWhat? Your English is failing you?

I didn't read it at being directed at you. I read it as being directed at Vance.
#50
Off the Record / Re: Iran War
Last post by crazy canuck - April 16, 2026, 09:34:08 AM
I am so happy to hear that a language poster is now transmitting Russian propaganda.