- Welcome to Languish.org.
Recent posts
#1
Off the Record / Re: TV/Movies Megathread
Last post by Sheilbh - Today at 11:32:08 AMInteresting. I've never had it, but have heard from people that Apple TV is basically worth getting one of the free trials, watching all the good stuff and then cancelling.
#2
Off the Record / Re: [Canada] Canadian Politics...
Last post by Sheilbh - Today at 11:31:21 AMMaybe.
I think the first question is how much is dissatisfaction at Trudeau and how much is an incumbent government that's been in office for 9 years? They've had stuff to deal with, not least cost of living like the rest of the world which I think are difficult for incumbents anywhere. But also 9 years is a point when often the public are starting to get tired of you and you, as a party and a government, are also getting tired.
Following on from that, renewing in office is dificult and what I've not seen anywhere here is the idea behind it beyond Carney isn't Trudeau and/or has good experience. I think you need a reason and a story to tell that is not just "more of the same but better". That might be clear for someone who took over but I don't think it's enough to just not be the other guy. The easiest way to do that is to draw a sharp contrast with your predecessor to signify change - Carney might be able to do that stylistically, but from my understanding of the numbers he'd struggle to do it substantively.
Similarly I know some countries like France have governments who don't sit as MPs and others have systems of seconding MPs if necessary, I'm not sure about Canada. But assuming Carney would have to first win a seat that means his first ever campaign in a riding will be national news and covered nationally. We don't know how good he'll be at actual retail politics and he will, inevitably, make mistakes as anyone running for their first seat will, but most do it with little attention. It will be magnified. Assuming he then gets the leadership he wouldn't have a majority to do something bold to signify change from Trudeau and they're on course to lose the next election (I assume he'd get a holiday period, so would probably have to go to the country early) - again, his first national campaign. I'd add to Jake and BB's points for much of the public that will be their first introduction to him - and you only get to make a first impression once.
I can see the attraction for Liberals wanting to roll the dice and at worst (hopefully) stem their losses - but from Carney's perspective that seems like there's an awful lot of risks. I feel like the safer option would be let Trudeau own the loss, win a safe seat as an interesting candidate getting some national attention but not the main story and then go for the leadership when you can be a clean slate from the failures of the Trudeau era.
Although all of that assumes he has a clean run at the leadership and, as with letting Trudeau just take the plane down with him, I find the lack of lean and hungry types in the Liberal Party very, very strange. It all seems very passive.
I think the first question is how much is dissatisfaction at Trudeau and how much is an incumbent government that's been in office for 9 years? They've had stuff to deal with, not least cost of living like the rest of the world which I think are difficult for incumbents anywhere. But also 9 years is a point when often the public are starting to get tired of you and you, as a party and a government, are also getting tired.
Following on from that, renewing in office is dificult and what I've not seen anywhere here is the idea behind it beyond Carney isn't Trudeau and/or has good experience. I think you need a reason and a story to tell that is not just "more of the same but better". That might be clear for someone who took over but I don't think it's enough to just not be the other guy. The easiest way to do that is to draw a sharp contrast with your predecessor to signify change - Carney might be able to do that stylistically, but from my understanding of the numbers he'd struggle to do it substantively.
Similarly I know some countries like France have governments who don't sit as MPs and others have systems of seconding MPs if necessary, I'm not sure about Canada. But assuming Carney would have to first win a seat that means his first ever campaign in a riding will be national news and covered nationally. We don't know how good he'll be at actual retail politics and he will, inevitably, make mistakes as anyone running for their first seat will, but most do it with little attention. It will be magnified. Assuming he then gets the leadership he wouldn't have a majority to do something bold to signify change from Trudeau and they're on course to lose the next election (I assume he'd get a holiday period, so would probably have to go to the country early) - again, his first national campaign. I'd add to Jake and BB's points for much of the public that will be their first introduction to him - and you only get to make a first impression once.
I can see the attraction for Liberals wanting to roll the dice and at worst (hopefully) stem their losses - but from Carney's perspective that seems like there's an awful lot of risks. I feel like the safer option would be let Trudeau own the loss, win a safe seat as an interesting candidate getting some national attention but not the main story and then go for the leadership when you can be a clean slate from the failures of the Trudeau era.
Although all of that assumes he has a clean run at the leadership and, as with letting Trudeau just take the plane down with him, I find the lack of lean and hungry types in the Liberal Party very, very strange. It all seems very passive.
#3
Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...
Last post by Tamas - Today at 11:02:11 AMQuote from: Josquius on Today at 07:43:40 AMI get the impression you think you're being clever. But I don't know what you're trying to say with this.
People get away with criticising dodgy Muslim regimes all the time without being blasted as islamophobic (by anyone who gets listened to anyway. Obviously some try it. ).
What I wanted to confirm was what I suspect(ed) that you do not endorse the same "tolerate and contain" approach when it comes to anti-Muslim sentiment.
#4
Off the Record / Re: Football (Soccer) Thread
Last post by Josquius - Today at 09:28:30 AMQuote from: Gups on April 26, 2024, 11:41:19 AMQuote from: Josquius on April 26, 2024, 01:23:55 AMThe only time I ever went to Wembley my soul was destroyed by Charlton winning
Which one? 1998 or 2019?
Have to say Sunderland fans were very gracious in defeat both times and Charlton fans have a real soft spot for them as a result.
1998.
I was only a kid so... It was painful.
I'd forgotten all about 2019. League 1 is cursed.
#5
Gaming HQ / Re: The Miscellaneous PC & vid...
Last post by Syt - Today at 09:21:28 AMWell, the dev has come out before release, pointing out that it's not a Total War style game, or Age of Empires style game etc., trying to dispel any unrealistic expectations and trying to nip that kind of hype in the bud.
#6
Off the Record / Re: The Off Topic Topic
Last post by Syt - Today at 09:18:49 AMThe Austrian vote for the Austrian hamber of Employees and Workers (Arbeiterkammer) are running at the moment.
There's been some chuckling/eye rolling/cringing over the ads run by Harald "The Hammer" Korschelt, age 73. See below the ad vs. what he looks like in real life.
Btw, he's been working as bank employee his whole life.
There's been some chuckling/eye rolling/cringing over the ads run by Harald "The Hammer" Korschelt, age 73. See below the ad vs. what he looks like in real life.
Btw, he's been working as bank employee his whole life.
#7
Off the Record / Re: TV/Movies Megathread
Last post by Josephus - Today at 09:09:50 AMBad Sisters was also a great series that ran on Apple. To me Apple is the best of the lot after a poor start. It doesn't have the catalogue , so if you just like to wrap up on a Friday night and watch anything, Netflix is your thing. But if you like new, original series I'd go with Apple.
#8
Off the Record / Re: Vote in the Catalan electi...
Last post by Syt - Today at 09:08:41 AMLast guy looks like an awkward nerd. So I vote for him.
(Of course he'll probably be either a loon, or a racist fascist, or both )
(Of course he'll probably be either a loon, or a racist fascist, or both
) #9
Gaming HQ / Re: The NEW New Boardgames Thr...
Last post by Habbaku - Today at 08:12:39 AMFor a first game, leave it out, definitely. I would say add it in after ~2-3 games and see if you like it. IMO, once you hit the advanced/experienced level of play, it's vital to ensuring a more balanced game.
#10
Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...
Last post by Admiral Yi - Today at 08:12:35 AMQuote from: Josquius on Today at 07:43:40 AMI get the impression you think you're being clever. But I don't know what you're trying to say with this.
People get away with criticising dodgy Muslim regimes all the time without being blasted as islamophobic (by anyone who gets listened to anyway. Obviously some try it. ).
If Tamas sets the lower boundary at shouting death to Muslims and the you set the upper boundary at criticizing dodgy Muslim religions, that still leaves a lot of territory between them undefined.