IEA: US will be the world's biggest oil producer by 2017

Started by jimmy olsen, November 12, 2012, 05:23:18 PM

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Viking

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 13, 2012, 02:39:49 PM
Quote from: Viking on November 12, 2012, 10:37:33 PM
That's why china is full of feathered dinosaurs, america east of the rockies is full of fish and europe is full of large sea monsters. 

And you say Christians are gullible . . .

Science works beeyotches. Reality is real beeyotches.
First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

Cecil

Quote from: Viking on November 12, 2012, 10:37:33 PM

Fracking takes a similar amount of water as regular drilling.  China can't do this fracking thing because it wasn't under shallow water 100 million years ago like central europe and the mississippi basin and consequently doesn't have shale everywhere.

That's why china is full of feathered dinosaurs, america east of the rockies is full of fish and europe is full of large sea monsters. 

Water has little or nothing to do with it. It's an insignificant blip and water tankers shuttling to and from the location are more than enough.   Remember the extra amount of water in liters needed for a frack job is slightly more than the well volume if you choose not to recycle the saline used for drilling.

So where in europe is the major shale deposits located and why arent we using it? Cost I guess?

crazy canuck

Once the Americans Frack up their water supply liquid gold will have a whole new meaning.  I got an ice berg to sell you - cheap.

Viking

Quote from: Cecil on November 13, 2012, 02:53:16 PM
Quote from: Viking on November 12, 2012, 10:37:33 PM

Fracking takes a similar amount of water as regular drilling.  China can't do this fracking thing because it wasn't under shallow water 100 million years ago like central europe and the mississippi basin and consequently doesn't have shale everywhere.

That's why china is full of feathered dinosaurs, america east of the rockies is full of fish and europe is full of large sea monsters. 

Water has little or nothing to do with it. It's an insignificant blip and water tankers shuttling to and from the location are more than enough.   Remember the extra amount of water in liters needed for a frack job is slightly more than the well volume if you choose not to recycle the saline used for drilling.

So where in europe is the major shale deposits located and why arent we using it? Cost I guess?

http://shalestuff.com/shale-industry/europe-invest-technology-development/article02046

Basically on the really really big unbroken plains stretching from the pyrenees to the urals is sedimentary and the entire set of orogenic mountain ranges that were the bottom of the tethys sea from spain to pakistan not only is sedimentary but was the bottom of a shallow sea 100 -50 million years ago. So, basically all of europe except norway and scotland.

The limitations have been economic and political. Getting permission to drill in inhabited areas is difficult since neighbors who don't own the land get a say and are hard to bribe since you need to compensate for loss of property values associated with having gas production in your cul-de-sac. This costs alot and is difficult. Shale gas operations have to be of a sufficient size to be worth while. The cost of transporting natural gas is expensive on land unless you have a pipeline, which requires a certain amount of throughput to be economical. So, you need to convince alot of farmers and often residents to allow for the drilling and then convince even more farmers and residents to allow the pipeline.

It is difficult from a regulation perspective. The population is too dense and the only country where that doesn't matter already has more gas than it has pipelines for (Russia).
First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

Richard Hakluyt

According to the IEA by 2035 90% of Middle east oil will be exported to Asia, mainly China.....

http://www.ogj.com/articles/2012/11/iea-us-to-overtake-saudi-arabia-in-oil-production.html

So we will be able to give the Middle East two fingers and forget about the bloody place, this will provide comfort as I "celebrate" my 80th birthday  :D

Viking

Quote from: Richard Hakluyt on November 13, 2012, 04:05:11 PM
According to the IEA by 2035 90% of Middle east oil will be exported to Asia, mainly China.....

http://www.ogj.com/articles/2012/11/iea-us-to-overtake-saudi-arabia-in-oil-production.html

So we will be able to give the Middle East two fingers and forget about the bloody place, this will provide comfort as I "celebrate" my 80th birthday  :D

Mid East oil already primarily goes to japan and europe today.
First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

Eddie Teach

To sleep, perchance to dream. But in that sleep of death, what dreams may come?

Viking

First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

The Minsky Moment

Stands to reason that as price goes up, supply will follow.  That is something a first year micro student could tell you.  Yet some of the more extreme proponents of the peak oil theory questioned that apparent truism on the ground of geologic limits.  In, reality the total volume of hydrocarbons in the earth is enormous, far in excess of yearly oil and gas consumption.  What is limited is the amount of economically recoverable hydrocarbons, and that limit is simply a function of the existing technology and the price paid for oil.  The key factor for the US boom is the latter.  Fracking and horizontal drilling are decades-old technologies.  But using them in the US made no economic sense with oil at $20/barrel.  With prices steady and holding at or above 100, it's a different story.

Economists say and do dumb things all the time, but the rudiments of price theory are very simple and very powerful explanatory tools for lots of purposes.
The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

crazy canuck

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 13, 2012, 06:39:14 PM
Economists say and do dumb things all the time, but the rudiments of price theory are very simple and very powerful explanatory tools for lots of purposes.

Maybe but you have a certain flair for explaining economics so that even I can understand them.

Viking

Quote from: The Minsky Moment on November 13, 2012, 06:39:14 PM
Economists say and do dumb things all the time, but the rudiments of price theory are very simple and very powerful explanatory tools for lots of purposes.

And yet there are still socialists out there.... sigh.....
First Maxim - "There are only two amounts, too few and enough."
First Corollary - "You cannot have too many soldiers, only too few supplies."
Second Maxim - "Be willing to exchange a bad idea for a good one."
Second Corollary - "You can only be wrong or agree with me."

A terrorist which starts a slaughter quoting Locke, Burke and Mill has completely missed the point.
The fact remains that the only person or group to applaud the Norway massacre are random Islamists.

dps

Quote from: CountDeMoney on November 12, 2012, 05:50:12 PM
Quote from: Valmy on November 12, 2012, 05:41:29 PM
Quote from: Ed Anger on November 12, 2012, 05:38:16 PM
Just wait until ohio gets to fully exploit its resources. We might even out douchebag the Texans.

Ohio has never been lacking in the douchebag department.

It's actually referred to as the Ohio Secretary of State, not the Department of Douchebag, like other states.

Surely they insist on it being referred to as THE Ohio Secretary of State.

Richard Hakluyt

A reductio ad absurdum. The free oxygen in the Earth's atmosphere exists as a consequence of photosynthesis, if we could somehow get our hands on all the carbon sequestered by plants and burn it then we would use up all the oxygen and return to a carbon dioxide/nitrogen atmosphere. The limit to fossil fuel consumption is the carbon dioxide level, not "peak oil".

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Cecil on November 13, 2012, 02:53:16 PM
Quote from: Viking on November 12, 2012, 10:37:33 PM

Fracking takes a similar amount of water as regular drilling.  China can't do this fracking thing because it wasn't under shallow water 100 million years ago like central europe and the mississippi basin and consequently doesn't have shale everywhere.

That's why china is full of feathered dinosaurs, america east of the rockies is full of fish and europe is full of large sea monsters. 

Water has little or nothing to do with it. It's an insignificant blip and water tankers shuttling to and from the location are more than enough.   Remember the extra amount of water in liters needed for a frack job is slightly more than the well volume if you choose not to recycle the saline used for drilling.

So where in europe is the major shale deposits located and why arent we using it? Cost I guess?


Most of Germany and Eastern France. Go nuts.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Razgovory

I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017