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US Debt Ceiling Debacle Part II

Started by Jacob, May 16, 2012, 03:48:25 PM

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Jacob

... so is the whole "raising the debt ceiling" thing coming back? I heard something to that effect. What's going on?

The Minsky Moment

The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.
--Joan Robinson

CountDeMoney

Quote from: Jacob on May 16, 2012, 03:48:25 PM
... so is the whole "raising the debt ceiling" thing coming back? I heard something to that effect. What's going on?

GOP doesn't want to:
1. increase taxes on the wealthy;
2. cut defense spending;
3. see a secular socialist black man succeed in Der Weiss Haus.

In short, business as usual.

Jacob

What's the magnitude of this?

Posturing before the election, and that's that? Who postures best?

Or is it more significant?

MadImmortalMan

I don't know, but this time I'm going short instead of betting the resolution to it will calm the market.  :P


Not making that mistake again.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

CountDeMoney

Quote from: Jacob on May 16, 2012, 03:56:01 PM
What's the magnitude of this?

Posturing before the election, and that's that? Who postures best?

Or is it more significant?

It will play right into the GOP's hands for the fall: your average voter doesn't vote on intangible issues like the deficit that don't affect them every day, but they do vote on the perception of government gridlock, and that means blaming the President.  Because that's easy.

Mind you, all I heard from Thurston Romney the 3rd today at his rally in St. Petersburg with the snow birds about the deficit is that he wants to cut taxes, increase defense spending, and not touch Medicaid/Medicare.
The fact that he doesn't offer the number or have a plan for that, other than endorsing the Ryan Budget proposal, well, that won't matter to the voters.

Like I said in the other thread:  Mittens, 5-4, baby.  Buh bye, middle class.

derspiess

I don't think it will be as dramatic as last year.  The GOP will agree raise the debt ceiling in exchange for vague promises to "cut" spending somewhere, and the can will be kicked down the road past early November.
"If you can play a guitar and harmonica at the same time, like Bob Dylan or Neil Young, you're a genius. But make that extra bit of effort and strap some cymbals to your knees, suddenly people want to get the hell away from you."  --Rich Hall

CountDeMoney

Quote from: derspiess on May 16, 2012, 04:46:36 PM
I don't think it will be as dramatic as last year.  The GOP will agree raise the debt ceiling in exchange for vague promises to "cut" spending somewhere, and the can will be kicked down the road past early November.

No, they won't;  Boehner already said as much today.

There will be another debt crisis this summer, just in time to affect the election.  As long as the House Teabaggers stand fast and agree to nothing, they'll shut down the government, affect the economic health of the US, the markets, the bond ratings, and therefore the President.  That's all they want to accomplish, and it will funnel the votes they need their way.  The way they see it, they just have one more summer to hold out as the Protest Party, and the nigger goes.

KRonn

I'm sure that our fearless leaders of both parties, with the President's help, will of course get this all sorted out peaceably, amicably and without rancor.   

Neil

Maybe the US can turn into some kind of cyberpunk/Shadowrun adventure after Romney wins.  The Republican 'slash government revenues and increase expenditures' platform is even less credible than the Democratic 'close our eyes, put our fingers in our ears and keep saying that there's nothing wrong' plan.
I do not hate you, nor do I love you, but you are made out of atoms which I can use for something else.

MadImmortalMan

I'm sure it will be tons of fun and packed with edge-of-your-seat drama.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Caliga

Quote from: Neil on May 16, 2012, 07:17:44 PM
Maybe the US can turn into some kind of cyberpunk/Shadowrun adventure after Romney wins.  The Republican 'slash government revenues and increase expenditures' platform is even less credible than the Democratic 'close our eyes, put our fingers in our ears and keep saying that there's nothing wrong' plan.
LOL can I be an: ork decker!
0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

jimmy olsen

Quote from: CountDeMoney on May 16, 2012, 04:05:15 PM
Quote from: Jacob on May 16, 2012, 03:56:01 PM
What's the magnitude of this?

Posturing before the election, and that's that? Who postures best?

Or is it more significant?

It will play right into the GOP's hands for the fall: your average voter doesn't vote on intangible issues like the deficit that don't affect them every day, but they do vote on the perception of government gridlock, and that means blaming the President.  Because that's easy.
They didn't blame Clinton for gridlock.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
1 Karma Chameleon point

CountDeMoney

#13
Quote from: jimmy olsen on May 17, 2012, 12:57:47 AM
They didn't blame Clinton for gridlock.

That's because Newt and the boys underestimated how much Clinton was adored by so much of the public.
Half this nation hates Obama.

Zanza

Doesn't Congress have much lower approval rating than Obama? The people seem to know who is to blame.