[Canada] Canadian Politics Redux

[Jacob]

Viper what's the dynamic in Quebec city?

Is it that the federalist vote will swing Con --> Lib if the Libs are stronger?

Or something else?

[crazy canuck]

For those wondering about the ties between the Canadian right wing and MAGA, look at the Americans speaking at the Canadian version of of CPAC- Canada Strong and Free (which used to be named after for the Manning Institute)

https://canadastrongandfree.network/event/csfn-ottawa-2026/

[crazy canuck]

Carney said it out loud, the new international order will be rebuilt out of Europe, and Canadians are happy to join in the rebuilding endeavour

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DX6efeoA2Wx/?igsh=NjJtZmRvMjlsZnZt

[Oexmelin]

Viper what's the dynamic in Quebec city?

Is it that the federalist vote will swing Con --> Lib if the Libs are stronger?

Or something else?

I am not Viper, but I now live in a place where in go very frequently to Quebec City...

My sense of it is: it depends.

I don't think it's about perceived strength for the federalist cause as it is about Carney governing to the right of the Liberal party, and the Conservative making some strategic mistakes as the party becomes more and more beholden to the West. I don't think the Conservatives in Quebec City will lose their hardcore, populist right-wing base, but they may lose the right-of-center, vaguely nationalist, voter - basically, the formerly CAQ voter.

There has been other things at stake in federal-level elections than federalists/sovereigntists, for quite some time now. However, the current turn to right-wing populist talking points within the PQ may stir things up at the federal level, where the BQ is in a weird situation - standing both as a left-wing refuge (with the NDP's umpteenth implosion and a functionally monolingual leader), and a party for Quebec sovereignty, who's had to deal with the PQ's twists and turns.

[viper37]

Viper what's the dynamic in Quebec city?

Is it that the federalist vote will swing Con --> Lib if the Libs are stronger?

Or something else?

They're heavily Conservative in & around the city, albeit quieter now, except the radio jocks.

They're not necessarily federalists, except maybe for a part of the South Shore, closer to Maine (Beauce).


The city itself is left leaning, so it's mostly Liberal ridings. Used to be Bloc, but they've been chased.  Surrounding the city, Dark Blue:
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

The Libs are becoming very popular (in the sense that people have stopped hating on them), but I don't see them making gains in terms of seats.  More votes, not enough to flip.  Unless PP really screws up more and starts losing MPs in his safe ridings.

I think we'd see the Bloc going down and the Libs going up to 2nd place in most ridings surrounding Quebec city, if there were to be an election (doubt there would be one though).

It's mostly the suburbs and the countryside (well, what's left of us) that are more conservative.

[crazy canuck]

From the Globe

Airbus SE EADSY +1.19%increase
 is set to unveil one of its biggest ever orders for its Canadian-made A220 airliner, a multibillion-dollar sale to budget carrier AirAsia that further cements Quebec as one of the key global hubs for commercial aircraft production.

The European aerospace giant will provide details Wednesday of a long-awaited order for as many as 150 planes from AirAsia, according to a senior federal official. The Globe and Mail is not naming the source because they are not permitted to speak for the companies.

Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to join Quebec Premier Christine Fréchette and Airbus officials for the announcement at the Airbus complex in Mirabel, Que., the main site for A220 assembly. Union leaders and local politicians confirm that they've also been invited.

[Grey Fox]

Always good news when Airbus remembers to sell that plane. Quebec government owns 25% of it.

[crazy canuck]

Between late December and late April, references to Alberta separatism and various related themes, including talk of the province becoming a U.S. state and Canada failing as a country, rose sharply from known Russian content farms. During those four months, Alberta was the focus of 67 items produced and distributed by Pravda Network, nearly five times more than other Canada-related topics.