News:

And we're back!

Main Menu

US budget wrangling

Started by KRonn, March 17, 2011, 03:22:06 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

KRonn


Quote

http://www.cnn.com/2011/OPINION/03/16/bennett.spending.debate/index.html

America needs a budget breakthrough

Editor's note: CNN contributor William J. Bennett is the Washington fellow of the Claremont Institute. He was U.S. secretary of education from 1985 to 1988 and was director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy under President George H.W. Bush.

(CNN) -- Almost everyone in Washington knows that our national budget deficits and national debt are out of control. President Obama has said, "[W]e have to confront the fact that our government spends more than it takes in. That is not sustainable."

The president's bipartisan fiscal responsibility commission has said, "The era of debt denial is over." And House Speaker John Boehner has said our unrestrained spending poses "a mortal threat" to our country.

But once the White House, Congress or outside analysts start talking about where to cut spending in the current continuing resolutions for this fiscal year or the president's budget for next year, the agreement quickly ends. In their first effort to trim the budget for this year, for example, the House of Representatives, where Republicans are in the majority, proposed nearly $60 billion in budget cuts -- and the Senate, where the Democrats hold the majority, defeated the proposal.

New York Sen. Chuck Schumer, chairman of the Senate Democratic Policy Committee, called the plan a "scorched earth spending proposal."

The problem is, even while $60 billion in cuts is controversial, that amount does not even come close to seriously addressing the budget crises everyone seems to agree we face.

To put the numbers in perspective, financial author and radio host Dave Ramsey illustrated it this way: Take a couple that earns $58,000 a year. To put their income and spending on par with our nation's deficit spending ratios (we are about $16 trillion in debt, we spend about $3.7 trillion a year and take in about $2.9 trillion a year), it is akin to them spending nearly $75,000 a year. Now, realizing they have a spending problem, they decide to cut back their spending by $3,000 and then call that a success by saying these are "big cuts." They would still be spending more than 20% more than they earned.

So in the larger picture, these proposed reductions of $60 billion are not big cuts, and our budget proposals to cut our deficits and debt are simply not anywhere near fiscal sanity -- but, still, these small cuts remain controversial and cause political gridlock and recrimination.

So, where to start? The new Republican majority in the House has proposed cutting spending to 2008 levels. In 2008, spending was far lower than it is today -- approximately $2.9 trillion. Now, seeing these numbers, a common-sense question immediately arises: Does anyone recall complaints in 2008 that our nation was spending too little?

In fact, even four years ago, there were complaints we were spending too much, and the Fed chairman was saying, "[T]he fundamental decision that Congress, the administration and the American people must confront is how large a share of the nation's economic resources to devote to federal government programs, including transfer programs such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid."

To get a better grasp on Washington's seemingly inevitable spending increases -- even dismissing such nondiscretionary programs as Social Security and the like -- take a department I've run as illustrative: Education. In 1985, when I became education secretary, the department's budget was about $15.5 billion (or about $32.5 billion, adjusting for inflation).

It has increased every year since and, today, the president is proposing a 2012 budget for the department that approaches $90 billion; this, on top of the $100 billion in stimulus money it has already received. Another obvious and common-sense question arises: For all these billions spent at the national level, has education improved? The question answers itself.

Here is the general problem, as pinpointed by former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher just over 20 years ago: We have reached a point of too-expansive governments where the state "takes too much from you to do too much for you, constantly substituting the politicians' view of what the people should have for the people's own view of what they want."

But the specific problem is worse: While politicians have their pet projects and specific views on what they would like to fund and what they would like to cut, the people (the governors' governors) have their own sacred cows.

The gridlock is not so much in Washington as it is in the electorate and the commentariat that generally agrees we need to cut spending but then engages in cognitive dissonance the moment specific programs are identified for retrenchment. Almost everyone agrees (nearly 70%) we need to cut spending, but majorities can't agree on cutting anything -- from education to Social Security to the arts.

The ultimate truth is this: Dave Ramsey is right -- every family knows it cannot go on forever with its own deficit spending, attempting minimal cuts that hardly begin to address the larger issue. The same is true for our country and its priorities. The spending cuts are simply not serious enough to deal with the problem both parties have created.

Commissions will not solve this, and bickering over the differences between $6 billion and $60 billion will not solve this. Rather, what is needed is a series of national symposia, a series of national teachable moments, outside of Washington. I suggest that the Republican chairman of the House Budget Committee, Paul Ryan, and whomever the Democrats would like to put up, commence a series of national debates throughout the country (make it seven, in the Lincoln-Douglas format), have them aired on the three cable networks, C-SPAN and on the internet, and see who has the best plan to restore fiscal sanity -- who can win over the most minds.

The time for a truly national conversation is upon us, the time for de minimis solutions is over, and the time for the American people to make up their minds is now.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of William J. Bennett.

MadImmortalMan

"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

DontSayBanana

Quote
Commissions will not solve this, and bickering over the differences between $6 billion and $60 billion will not solve this. Rather, what is needed is a series of national symposia, a series of national teachable moments, outside of Washington. I suggest that the Republican chairman of the House Budget Committee, Paul Ryan, and whomever the Democrats would like to put up, commence a series of national debates throughout the country (make it seven, in the Lincoln-Douglas format), have them aired on the three cable networks, C-SPAN and on the internet, and see who has the best plan to restore fiscal sanity -- who can win over the most minds.

Naturally.  The problem is that we can't agree, and we're sitting on our hands.  The solution?  Expand the argument; make it even harder to get to a consensus.
Experience bij!

MadImmortalMan

Maybe the best compromise is to simply cut all programs equally.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

DontSayBanana

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on March 17, 2011, 03:46:16 PM
Maybe the best compromise is to simply cut all programs equally.

Actually, I'd go for that.  You get a small percentage applied to everything across the board; services continue with less interruption or could be phased out more smoothly, and the gross effect to the deficit would definitely be substantial.  It makes sense.

Naturally, this means it won't even show up on Congress' radar.
Experience bij!

Barrister

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on March 17, 2011, 03:46:16 PM
Maybe the best compromise is to simply cut all programs equally.

No, that's pretty much the worst option.  Government is still trying to do all the same stuff it did before, but now with less money it just does it all worse.  And, once finances improve, it is easy to restore the funding that was cut.

Any meaningful cuts need to be to entire programs.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Razgovory

I was hoping he'd suggest gambling.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Darth Wagtaros

I think it is easier to put things off until a new generation is saddled with the mess.
PDH!

DontSayBanana

Quote from: Barrister on March 17, 2011, 03:57:06 PM
No, that's pretty much the worst option.  Government is still trying to do all the same stuff it did before, but now with less money it just does it all worse.  And, once finances improve, it is easy to restore the funding that was cut.

Any meaningful cuts need to be to entire programs.

We've been trying that route for decades, and look where it's gotten us.  As long as you've got two people in the room, there'll never be a consensus on what needs to go.

Also, when your government is as glutted up as ours is, it actually could benefit from reductions across the board.  I can be big-government and still feel comfortable saying the departments of the government are way, way, way too big.

Maybe a step-down approach; cut a small percent of funding across the board, measure performance, repeat.  Set up baseline criteria for programs and continue cutting until you reach those- then it's easier to look across the board and see what is actually just sucking up money.
Experience bij!

Barrister

Quote from: DontSayBanana on March 17, 2011, 04:02:54 PM
Quote from: Barrister on March 17, 2011, 03:57:06 PM
No, that's pretty much the worst option.  Government is still trying to do all the same stuff it did before, but now with less money it just does it all worse.  And, once finances improve, it is easy to restore the funding that was cut.

Any meaningful cuts need to be to entire programs.

We've been trying that route for decades, and look where it's gotten us.  As long as you've got two people in the room, there'll never be a consensus on what needs to go.

Also, when your government is as glutted up as ours is, it actually could benefit from reductions across the board.  I can be big-government and still feel comfortable saying the departments of the government are way, way, way too big.

Maybe a step-down approach; cut a small percent of funding across the board, measure performance, repeat.  Set up baseline criteria for programs and continue cutting until you reach those- then it's easier to look across the board and see what is actually just sucking up money.

No, you haven't been trying that.

I'm telling you as someone who works in government - just saying to everyone "okay your budget is 10% less" isn't going to be effective in the long run, and the money will be made back sooner or later.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Admiral Yi

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on March 17, 2011, 03:46:16 PM
Maybe the best compromise is to simply cut all programs equally.
That doesn't address the question of how much to cut and whether to raise taxes.

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Admiral Yi on March 17, 2011, 05:18:36 PM
Quote from: MadImmortalMan on March 17, 2011, 03:46:16 PM
Maybe the best compromise is to simply cut all programs equally.
That doesn't address the question of how much to cut and whether to raise taxes.

That's true. I was mainly speaking from the palatability angle. If it's equal across the board, nobody can really be upset about their favorites getting the chop. Not legitimately anyway.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Caliga

0 Ed Anger Disapproval Points

KRonn

One thing I hear at least some Pols talking about is rolling back budgets to 2008. Now I don't expect they will go all the way but the budgets of many departments has been greatly increased over the last few years, and the Stimulus added even more. I'd like to see some of that brought back down, and some of the budget cuts are looking to do that. Of course, it gets people crying about the draconian cuts! But this is the kind of madness our Legislators need to avoid; both parties and the President need to get serious about this issue. It's maddening and actually very worrying.

Razgovory

Quote from: KRonn on March 17, 2011, 08:36:35 PM
One thing I hear at least some Pols talking about is rolling back budgets to 2008. Now I don't expect they will go all the way but the budgets of many departments has been greatly increased over the last few years, and the Stimulus added even more. I'd like to see some of that brought back down, and some of the budget cuts are looking to do that. Of course, it gets people crying about the draconian cuts! But this is the kind of madness our Legislators need to avoid; both parties and the President need to get serious about this issue. It's maddening and actually very worrying.

I don't think they can time travel.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017