Stocks and Trading Thread - Channeling your inner Mono

Started by MadImmortalMan, December 21, 2009, 04:32:41 AM

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MadImmortalMan

Yep. The buyer bought the rights to the profits beyond the strike price, essentially. I am holding the stock, which can go down in value. I'm fairly sure that doing this is only worthwhile for stocks that you believe will not move much in price. I wouldn't do it with Apple or anything like that. Too volatile.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: DGuller on April 25, 2011, 01:53:57 PM
I'm an expert on this. :smarty:  I'm about to take my fourth investment exam.  Well, technically I'm taking the same exam for the fourth time, but still.

4th time is the charm!  :cool:
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Admiral Yi

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on April 25, 2011, 01:58:25 PM
Yep. The buyer bought the rights to the profits beyond the strike price, essentially. I am holding the stock, which can go down in value. I'm fairly sure that doing this is only worthwhile for stocks that you believe will not move much in price. I wouldn't do it with Apple or anything like that. Too volatile.

Except that presumably call options for Apple would cost more to reflect the volatility, jah?

DGuller

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on April 25, 2011, 01:58:25 PM
Yep. The buyer bought the rights to the profits beyond the strike price, essentially. I am holding the stock, which can go down in value. I'm fairly sure that doing this is only worthwhile for stocks that you believe will not move much in price. I wouldn't do it with Apple or anything like that. Too volatile.
But volatility is priced in, the option costs more with higher volatility.

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Admiral Yi on April 25, 2011, 02:00:29 PM
Quote from: MadImmortalMan on April 25, 2011, 01:58:25 PM
Yep. The buyer bought the rights to the profits beyond the strike price, essentially. I am holding the stock, which can go down in value. I'm fairly sure that doing this is only worthwhile for stocks that you believe will not move much in price. I wouldn't do it with Apple or anything like that. Too volatile.

Except that presumably call options for Apple would cost more to reflect the volatility, jah?

Yes.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Ed Anger

Stay Alive...Let the Man Drive

citizen k



Jim Cramer just said the UK is the most investable country on Earth thanks to the budget cuts.


MadImmortalMan

"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Tonitrus

So is that suggesting that silver is going to drop like a bitch in a couple years?  :P


MadImmortalMan

#354
It bears noting that the 1980 event was a market manipulation of some sort. I can't remember exactly. Somebody cornered it or something.




Edit: found it - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver_Thursday
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

Barrister

Quote from: MadImmortalMan on April 25, 2011, 07:25:12 PM
It bears noting that the 1980 event was a market manipulation of some sort. I can't remember exactly. Somebody cornered it or something.

Aye.  A quick summary I found with 15 secs of googling.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver_Thursday

All I could take from the graph is that the price of silver and the USD are entirely unrelated. :mellow:

Edit: Damn you MIM!
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

MadImmortalMan

Quote from: Barrister on April 25, 2011, 07:28:31 PM
All I could take from the graph is that the price of silver and the USD are entirely unrelated. :mellow:

At least since 2007 it isn't the case. They traded pretty much as mirror images once the economy got choppy until QE2 in November--when silver broke away. To me, that suggests a trend break. People trading it on Quantitative Easing (as in fact I did myself you'll recall). I think that same thinking is going to make it drop once QE is over.
"Stability is destabilizing." --Hyman Minsky

"Complacency can be a self-denying prophecy."
"We have nothing to fear but lack of fear itself." --Larry Summers

DGuller

Quote from: Barrister on April 25, 2011, 07:28:31 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver_Thursday
The wonder of free and efficient markets. 

Trading silver now seems to me like timing an exit in a bubble.  You're not dealing with fundamentals anymore, you're dealing with what you think other people think about what other people think.

Tonitrus

Meh, either way, I took MiM's advice and sold off PSLV this morning at 22.90.  95%-ish percent profit is nothing to cry over.

Caliga

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