Quick Quagmire Poll (Iran, Mar 26 - 31)

Started by Jacob, March 26, 2026, 09:30:11 PM

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Will Trump put boots on the ground in Iranian territory in the next three months?

No. The troop movement is purely posturing. He will not use ground troops in Iranian territory.
2 (6.7%)
Yes, but only special forces quick strikes before withdrawing and similar. No ground will be held.
8 (26.7%)
Yes, he will take and hold Iranian territory with limited objectives. He'll stick to those objectives and not be drawn further in.
4 (13.3%)
Yes. He'll strike with a limited force and limited objectives, but one thing will lead to another and the American commitment will continue to grow into large, messy deployment.
14 (46.7%)
Yes, but he'll somehow rustle up the forces for a major deployment to take and hold ground at a large scale.
1 (3.3%)
No, because the conflict will come to an end before such a scenario becomes necessary.
1 (3.3%)

Total Members Voted: 30

Voting closed: March 31, 2026, 09:30:11 PM

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mongers

#15
March 28, 2026, 03:27:02 PM
Only the answer to one question will dictate which scenario happens, Q: 'Which one provides the best photo-ops?'
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

crazy canuck

#16
May 11, 2026, 12:47:32 PM
Half way through the time period set out in the poll, it looks like two of us got it right.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

Valmy

#17
May 11, 2026, 12:50:38 PM
I was wrong. Ah well. I just thought his ego couldn't take a humiliating military defeat.

But it came pretty clear shortly after this poll that we were just too lazy to do anything difficult.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

viper37

#18
May 11, 2026, 02:52:26 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on May 11, 2026, 12:47:32 PMHalf way through the time period set out in the poll, it looks like two of us got it right.
I believe I voted for the first option.

But whatever happened to those troops?  Where are they now?
I don't do meditation.  I drink alcohol to relax, like normal people.

If Microsoft Excel decided to stop working overnight, the world would practically end.

crazy canuck

#19
May 11, 2026, 03:34:04 PM
I don't know, but so few were sent, it was pure theatre.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

PJL

#20
May 11, 2026, 04:13:59 PM
I think it's still too early to say one way or another.

crazy canuck

#21
May 11, 2026, 04:25:10 PM
Why? The American's have already  declared the war is over.
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

PJL

#22
May 11, 2026, 04:26:04 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on May 11, 2026, 04:25:10 PMWhy? The American's have already  declared the war is over.

Trump has just said the ceasefire is on life support. So it's far from over.

Zanza

#23
May 11, 2026, 04:39:16 PM
There were special forces on the ground to rescue that still unnamed pilot (near a nuclear facility), no?

Valmy

#24
May 11, 2026, 05:37:30 PM
Quote from: Zanza on May 11, 2026, 04:39:16 PMThere were special forces on the ground to rescue that still unnamed pilot (near a nuclear facility), no?

True! I don't want to win in a technicality though. I really thought we were going to try to seize the straits by force Gallipoli style. I just didn't think Trump could stand the humiliation of a defeat this catastrophic...but I was clearly wrong.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

mongers

#25
May 11, 2026, 06:39:55 PM Last Edit: May 11, 2026, 06:48:55 PM by mongers
Quote from: Zanza on May 11, 2026, 04:39:16 PMThere were special forces on the ground to rescue that still unnamed pilot (near a nuclear facility), no?

The Israelis manned a secret temp base in Iraq with teams ready to rescue downed pilots.

QuoteOn May 9, The Wall Street Journal reported that Israel had established a secret military base in the Iraqi desert to provide logistical support for its air strikes against Iran. According to US officials and others familiar with the situation, WSJ said Israel also carried out air strikes against Iraqi forces who had nearly uncovered the facility during the early stages of the US-Israel war on Iran.
"We have it in our power to begin the world over again"

Grey Fox

#26
May 11, 2026, 07:57:16 PM
It's looking like I am wrong but I still hold on the belief that the USA is going to Vietnam this thing.
Getting ready to make IEDs against American Occupation Forces.

"But I didn't vote for him"; they cried.

crazy canuck

#27
Today at 07:05:59 AM
Quote from: PJL on May 11, 2026, 04:26:04 PM
Quote from: crazy canuck on May 11, 2026, 04:25:10 PMWhy? The American's have already  declared the war is over.

Trump has just said the ceasefire is on life support. So it's far from over.

So a different question, why do you take anything? Trump says that face value?  The Americans had to say the war was over because support for the war is nonexistent.  How are the Americans going to send troops into battle to die right before a midterm election?

Stop falling for the sabre rattling. It's the same problem that started this poll in the first place. 
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

crazy canuck

#28
Today at 07:06:32 AM
Quote from: Grey Fox on May 11, 2026, 07:57:16 PMIt's looking like I am wrong but I still hold on the belief that the USA is going to Vietnam this thing.

Why do you hold to that belief?
Awarded 17 Zoupa points

In several surveys, the overwhelming first choice for what makes Canada unique is multiculturalism. This, in a world collapsing into stupid, impoverishing hatreds, is the distinctly Canadian national project.

Grey Fox

#29
Today at 08:02:50 AM
Quote from: crazy canuck on Today at 07:06:32 AM
Quote from: Grey Fox on May 11, 2026, 07:57:16 PMIt's looking like I am wrong but I still hold on the belief that the USA is going to Vietnam this thing.

Why do you hold to that belief?

Peter Hegseth, really. He wants so much to prove that the Christian White man is still a great warrior that invading brown seems logical. There's also the chance to kickstart the 2nd coming that he probably likes.
Getting ready to make IEDs against American Occupation Forces.

"But I didn't vote for him"; they cried.
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