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What can we expect to happen next?

Started by Maladict, November 18, 2024, 08:09:23 AM

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Which of the following will happen first?

Detonation of a nuclear weapon
1 (5.9%)
Civil war in a NATO/EU country
2 (11.8%)
Global warming wipes out a major city
2 (11.8%)
Global conflict starting in Taiwan
6 (35.3%)
Global conflict starting in the Middle East
4 (23.5%)
Global conflict started by some damned foolish thing in the Balkans
2 (11.8%)

Total Members Voted: 17

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Barrister

#15
November 18, 2024, 04:53:54 PM
When was the last time a global war started in the mid-east?

It's been a risk for decades - but that it actually happened?  I'm struggling to think of something since the Crusades.

Even WWI - which did take place in part in the Middle East's Ottoman territories - did not start there.

Edit: I could (as always) be wrong - I just can't think of anything else.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Zanza

#16
November 18, 2024, 05:27:51 PM
Thankfully the number of past global wars is not statistically significant, so we can hardly assume that history can tell us much about where the next global war will break out.

Barrister

#17
November 18, 2024, 05:40:51 PM
Quote from: Zanza on November 18, 2024, 05:27:51 PMThankfully the number of past global wars is not statistically significant, so we can hardly assume that history can tell us much about where the next global war will break out.

How many "global wars" have their been?

WWI
WWII
(of course)

beyond that though - I don't think any way has literally involved the entire earth.  So lets just think of wars that involved multiple continents?

Napoleonic Wars
Seven Years War
Mongol conquests
Crusades

Global War on Terror?



So I mean a global war breaking out because of the middle east is more likely than one because of South America, but I still don't know if it's a likely flashpoint.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Valmy

#18
November 18, 2024, 06:59:24 PM
The Middle East was the subject and battlefield for dozens and dozens of major multi-continental wars going back to the Bronze Age. Not sure what you are getting at there BB.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

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HVC

#19
November 18, 2024, 07:01:56 PM
Never forget Kadesh!
Being lazy is bad; unless you still get what you want, then it's called "patience".
Hubris must be punished. Severely.

jimmy olsen

#20
November 18, 2024, 09:58:44 PM
Global warming wiping out a city. One wet bulb day from killing five digits in Pakistan or India.
It is far better for the truth to tear my flesh to pieces, then for my soul to wander through darkness in eternal damnation.

Jet: So what kind of woman is she? What's Julia like?
Faye: Ordinary. The kind of beautiful, dangerous ordinary that you just can't leave alone.
Jet: I see.
Faye: Like an angel from the underworld. Or a devil from Paradise.
--------------------------------------------
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PDH

#21
November 18, 2024, 10:57:15 PM
What will happen?

Things will get shittier, in waves of shit that keep on coming.  There will be no end to the shit cycle.
I have come to believe that the whole world is an enigma, a harmless enigma that is made terrible by our own mad attempt to interpret it as though it had an underlying truth.
-Umberto Eco

-------
"I'm pretty sure my level of depression has nothing to do with how much of a fucking asshole you are."

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