Venezuela vs Guyana

[Jacob]

On Dec 3rd, Venezuela held a referendum on whether they should annex about 2/3 of neighbouring Guyana's territory. Apparently they had about 50% turnout, with 95% of the votes cast favouring the annexation.

Brazil has reportedly moved troops to the area.

[Grey Fox]

On who's side is Brazil? Will they guarantee Guyana's territory or annex it for itself?

[Josquius]

Less a threat of war than Ethiopia - Eritrea imo. It would be just too stupid from Venezuela. I wonder what their plan is.

[Jacob]

Putin's calling in favours. Stir up shit to pull attention away from my own fuckups.

Just kidding. Maybe. I don't know.

[Duque de Bragança]

On who's side is Brazil? Will they guarantee Guyana's territory or annex it for itself?

They are interested by Guyane, not Guyana. Already occupied during the Napoleonic Wars. 
More seriously, I don't see Lula being that stupid. Brazil has no claim on Guyana.

[Jacob]

My impression is that Brazil would be there as the local power, to ensure stability by a show of force.

[Josquius]

Yeah, Lula is quite a strong voice calling for peace in Ukraine (albeit from a naiive place that gives Russia way too much) and for a end to the current Israel shit.
Trying to stop war breaking out next door is consistent.

[Valmy]

Well at least we wouldn't have to go through the effort of putting sanctions on Venezuela if they invaded.

But I am sure the combined MIGHT of the Commonwealth of Nations will scare Venezuela off if Brazil doesn't. Right Canada? Right Britain?

[jimmy olsen]

Biden will just have the navy bomb any invading forces into submission if Venezuela is foolish enough to do that.

[garbon]

On Dec 3rd, Venezuela held a referendum on whether they should annex about 2/3 of neighbouring Guyana's territory. Apparently they had about 50% turnout, with 95% of the votes cast favouring the annexation.

Brazil has reportedly moved troops to the area.

I read that turnout was probably more like 10%.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/04/maduro-venezuela-guyana-essequibo-referendum-vote-turnout

[Jacob]

It is possible that the details of the vote have been misreported, I suppose.

[Sheilbh]

My impression is that Brazil would be there as the local power, to ensure stability by a show of force.

Brazilian forces are on high alert and have been moved to the border region. Lula has historically close relationships with Maduro but I think he has been pretty strong on this.

Can't imagine the US would accept it either - and I hope the UK provides whatever support we can.

[Crazy_Ivan80]

Putin's calling in favours. Stir up shit to pull attention away from my own fuckups.

Just kidding. Maybe. I don't know.

It may very well be that indeed.  It is, in any case, a sign of the weakening west I think.