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2024 US Presidential Elections Megathread

Started by Syt, May 25, 2023, 02:23:01 AM

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DGuller

The big unknown unknown with polling are all the adjustments you do to make the sample representative.  I don't know if it's even possible to do that to the precision required in such a small election.  I certainly hope that all the pollsters overcorrected to prevent the repeat of 2020.

Josquius

I have heard the "best" polls. Those with the most sound methodology and track records, are leaning towards Harris.
But yes. It is worrying nonetheless.
 This kind of knife edge thing means the slightest thing like the weather can really make a difference.
Certainly Harris seems way too quiet at the moment. Maybe news about her just isn't making it over here.
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