US 2020 Presidential Election prediction thread

Started by Zoupa, July 12, 2020, 10:26:56 PM

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celedhring

#75
September 11, 2020, 05:51:22 AM Last Edit: September 11, 2020, 06:02:21 AM by celedhring
I know it's not going go turn blue, but the fact RCP lists Texas as a battleground state amazes me.



Admiral Yi

#76
September 11, 2020, 06:14:59 AM
That's the gloomiest map so far I think.

I'm going to buck the trend and predict Iowa for Joe.

garbon

#77
September 11, 2020, 06:28:16 AM
Quote from: celedhring on September 11, 2020, 05:48:39 AM
Unless Biden collapses in the debates, 7-8% national poll advantage seems really hard to claw back from, even if Trump has an EC advantage.

Still sweating it after 2016, though...

I don't think I ever imagined my choices in 2021 could be between making a home in Brexit Britain or a home in Trumpian America. :weep:
"I've never been quite sure what the point of a eunuch is, if truth be told. It seems to me they're only men with the useful bits cut off."
I drank because I wanted to drown my sorrows, but now the damned things have learned to swim.

celedhring

#78
September 11, 2020, 06:29:55 AM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on September 11, 2020, 06:14:59 AM
That's the gloomiest map so far I think.

I'm going to buck the trend and predict Iowa for Joe.

I'm naturally pessimistic and yet Joe came ahead.

DGuller

#79
September 11, 2020, 07:54:04 AM
Quote from: Valmy on September 10, 2020, 11:30:55 PM
25% is low but its not zero...just saying.
As a stats guy, I can confirm that this statement is true.

Valmy

#80
September 11, 2020, 08:18:56 AM
Quote from: celedhring on September 11, 2020, 05:48:39 AM
Unless Biden collapses in the debates, 7-8% national poll advantage seems really hard to claw back from, even if Trump has an EC advantage.

Still sweating it after 2016, though...

Well a big polling advantage doesn't mean much if people don't vote. This is a chaotic time with the pandemic and protests and everything else.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

merithyn

#81
September 11, 2020, 10:01:59 AM
Quote from: Admiral Yi on September 11, 2020, 06:14:59 AM

I'm going to buck the trend and predict Iowa for Joe.

:rolleyes:

I did that two weeks ago. :P
Yesterday, upon the stair,
I met a man who wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
I wish, I wish he'd go away...

Valmy

#82
September 11, 2020, 10:21:23 AM
You Iowans have an endearing faith in your home state.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

PDH

#83
September 11, 2020, 11:26:25 AM
I am still predicting Wyoming will go solid for Trump.
I have come to believe that the whole world is an enigma, a harmless enigma that is made terrible by our own mad attempt to interpret it as though it had an underlying truth.
-Umberto Eco

-------
"I'm pretty sure my level of depression has nothing to do with how much of a fucking asshole you are."

-CdM

merithyn

#84
September 11, 2020, 01:42:23 PM
Quote from: Valmy on September 11, 2020, 10:21:23 AM
You Iowans have an endearing faith in your home state.

My best friend is from a small town in Iowa. She and I regularly ask each other, "What happened to Iowa?" whenever the Iowa Trumpers are highlighted on the news, etc. It's just not the state that we grew up in. We're both hoping that they pull their collective heads out of their asses and vote for Biden this election. To restore our faith in them.
Yesterday, upon the stair,
I met a man who wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
I wish, I wish he'd go away...

FunkMonk

#85
September 11, 2020, 02:01:06 PM
I am in Iowa right now visiting my in-laws and they're voting for Joe. :hmm:
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

merithyn

#86
September 11, 2020, 02:50:13 PM
Quote from: FunkMonk on September 11, 2020, 02:01:06 PM
I am in Iowa right now visiting my in-laws and they're voting for Joe. :hmm:

:yeah:

Where in Iowa?
Yesterday, upon the stair,
I met a man who wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
I wish, I wish he'd go away...

FunkMonk

#87
September 11, 2020, 04:03:15 PM
Quote from: merithyn on September 11, 2020, 02:50:13 PM
Quote from: FunkMonk on September 11, 2020, 02:01:06 PM
I am in Iowa right now visiting my in-laws and they're voting for Joe. :hmm:

:yeah:

Where in Iowa?

Down in the Quad Cities   :showoff:
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

merithyn

#88
September 11, 2020, 10:07:17 PM
Quote from: FunkMonk on September 11, 2020, 04:03:15 PM
Quote from: merithyn on September 11, 2020, 02:50:13 PM
Quote from: FunkMonk on September 11, 2020, 02:01:06 PM
I am in Iowa right now visiting my in-laws and they're voting for Joe. :hmm:

:yeah:

Where in Iowa?

Down in the Quad Cities   :showoff:

Yeah. That's the east side of the state. The northwest corner is Crazy Country. :wacko:
Yesterday, upon the stair,
I met a man who wasn't there
He wasn't there again today
I wish, I wish he'd go away...

Solmyr

#89
September 12, 2020, 01:26:52 AM
I'm going to predict a Trump victory or coup attempt. That way, I win either way. :D
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