What does a TRUMP presidency look like?

Started by FunkMonk, November 08, 2016, 11:02:57 PM

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Barrister

Quote from: Valmy on May 04, 2018, 01:47:56 PM
Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 10:25:59 AM
But the fact that the payment to Stormy Daniels wasn't recorded as a campaign expense?  Pretty big meh if you ask me.

Is it illegal? Corrupt? I mean we already have him paying blackmail and hush money. Unless there is something illegal there I don't see how it makes it better or worse.

But hey maybe it is. Campaign finance is crazy complicated. But you seem to know it is a 'meh'? I have no clue.

As far as I know there is nothing illegal about paying someone money in exchange for a NDA.  The only illegality is the campaign finance violation.

And when I say it sounds "meh" I'm just voicing one man's opinion.  And "Meh" doesn't mean it's nothing - there are campaign finance rules for a reason.  It's just that it seems like the kind of thing that could lead the campaign to being fined, not to jail time and impeachment.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Jacob

Quote from: Admiral Yi on May 04, 2018, 01:25:34 PM
This is such a deliciously partisan post.

It also tracks pretty closely with the thinking of Trump's base: those terrible people in the media and universities are for this, so it must be a terrible thing.

Fair cop. I'll retract my statement.

Razgovory

Quote from: Admiral Yi on May 04, 2018, 01:56:59 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on May 04, 2018, 01:35:46 PM
There is a reason why campaigns have treasurers.  Big campaigns have a lot of accountants and lawyers.  The probably won't ding if for "Hey Mike, I need 50 bucks for a spray tan before this debate".  However, "Hey Mike, I need you to pay 130,000 dollars to shut up a sex worker I bonked.  Let's funnel it trough your law firm", will probably get some scrutiny.

You seem to have it sort of backwards Raz.  The issue is whether he used unreported private money for a campaign purpose, not whether he used campaign money for a private purpose.


The issue is that if Cohen paid for this gal out his own money it's an unreported donation to the campaign.  If Trump paid him back it's an unreported loan to the campaign.  If Trump just wrote her a check there would be no issue.  Well besides the oddness of paying a sex worker 130,000 bucks.  To be honest we don't know where the money came from, since nobody is being particularly forthright.  Time posted an article a few months ago that claimed that the Trump campaign made a series of odd payments that add up to 129,000.75 right before election.  Payments that coincide with Stormy Daniels payments, so who knows.

As far as I can tell, Cohen is the one in trouble right now, but if Cohen's in trouble Trump's in trouble.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

jimmy olsen

#17988
Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 10:25:59 AM
that he so easily trades in obvious racism... I could go on.

So making the difficult choice to engage in more subtle racism is okay by you?
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frunk

Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 02:00:47 PM
As far as I know there is nothing illegal about paying someone money in exchange for a NDA.  The only illegality is the campaign finance violation.

And when I say it sounds "meh" I'm just voicing one man's opinion.  And "Meh" doesn't mean it's nothing - there are campaign finance rules for a reason.  It's just that it seems like the kind of thing that could lead the campaign to being fined, not to jail time and impeachment.

Would you feel the same if Trump lied under oath about it, unlike the obvious lying in public that he's been doing?

Valmy

#17990
Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 02:00:47 PM

And when I say it sounds "meh" I'm just voicing one man's opinion.  And "Meh" doesn't mean it's nothing - there are campaign finance rules for a reason.  It's just that it seems like the kind of thing that could lead the campaign to being fined, not to jail time and impeachment.

So if Justin Trudeau was paying blackmail money out his campaign funds that would be 'meh'? Or is it just because it is Trump and therefore not a big deal in the context of his craziness?

Also don't underestimate the way stuff like that can loom large down here. I mean back taxes are kind of 'meh' to me but that is what got Al Capone locked away and what got the KKK (at least the national organization) shut down, not all the murders they committed. We like small technicalities standing in for other stuff. Presuming it even is illegal what he did. I don't know. Campaign finance is weird. It may indeed be 'meh'.

But I think, more to the point as far as impeachment goes, if you were already ok with the Stormy Daniels business this isn't going to change your mind much.
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Quote from: Razgovory on May 04, 2018, 05:23:23 PM
The issue is that if Cohen paid for this gal out his own money it's an unreported donation to the campaign.  If Trump paid him back it's an unreported loan to the campaign.

Do you know this for a fact Raz?

alfred russel

Quote from: Valmy on May 04, 2018, 08:57:21 PM

So if Justin Trudeau was paying blackmail money out his campaign funds that would be 'meh'? Or is it just because it is Trump and therefore not a big deal in the context of his craziness?


-I don't think there is an issue with someone paying money to a blackmailer. Blackmailing is a crime, not succumbing to it.
-The general concern with someone paying blackmail is what they were paying to keep quiet. Here, as far as I know at least, he was paying to keep quiet that he was banging a porn star. That doesn't appear to be a crime, or even a blight on what we know of his character.
-So the issue is campaign funds. Earlier I was reading that he didn't use campaign funds to pay her, and that was a violation of campaign finance laws as the campaign would benefit from this story not coming out. If he did use campaign funds that would also be a crime?

I don't know campaign finance law, but I do know you need a 2/3 majority of the Senate to remove a president, and that isn't going to happen even after the elections over a $180k payment to a porn star. And that is probably a good thing, because as long as Trump has ~40% approval it would be extremely politically damaging to do so (if his voters felt they were disenfranchised before...). Definitely keep investigating, but I don't think this is the big one.
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Eddie Teach

Quote from: jimmy olsen on May 04, 2018, 08:46:47 PM
Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 10:25:59 AM
that he so easily trades in obvious racism... I could go on.

So making the difficult choice to engage in more subtle racism is okay by you?

Uncalled for.
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Valmy

#17994
Quote from: alfred russel on May 04, 2018, 09:36:24 PM
Quote from: Valmy on May 04, 2018, 08:57:21 PM

So if Justin Trudeau was paying blackmail money out his campaign funds that would be 'meh'? Or is it just because it is Trump and therefore not a big deal in the context of his craziness?


-I don't think there is an issue with someone paying money to a blackmailer. Blackmailing is a crime, not succumbing to it.
-The general concern with someone paying blackmail is what they were paying to keep quiet. Here, as far as I know at least, he was paying to keep quiet that he was banging a porn star. That doesn't appear to be a crime, or even a blight on what we know of his character.
-So the issue is campaign funds. Earlier I was reading that he didn't use campaign funds to pay her, and that was a violation of campaign finance laws as the campaign would benefit from this story not coming out. If he did use campaign funds that would also be a crime?

I don't know campaign finance law, but I do know you need a 2/3 majority of the Senate to remove a president, and that isn't going to happen even after the elections over a $180k payment to a porn star. And that is probably a good thing, because as long as Trump has ~40% approval it would be extremely politically damaging to do so (if his voters felt they were disenfranchised before...). Definitely keep investigating, but I don't think this is the big one.

Yeah I agree. But I have no fucking idea. And, as you say, impeachment is primarily a political act and, as I said, nobody's opinion was likely changed by this. That was the point I was trying to make. It was BB who mentioned impeachment, that never crossed my mind.
Quote"This is a Russian warship. I propose you lay down arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed & unnecessary victims. Otherwise, you'll be bombed."

Zmiinyi defenders: "Russian warship, go fuck yourself."

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Now what could get interesting is if Cohen flips and tosses Donald under the bus about hiring a goon to put a scare in Stormy.

Barrister

Quote from: Valmy on May 04, 2018, 08:57:21 PM
Quote from: Barrister on May 04, 2018, 02:00:47 PM

And when I say it sounds "meh" I'm just voicing one man's opinion.  And "Meh" doesn't mean it's nothing - there are campaign finance rules for a reason.  It's just that it seems like the kind of thing that could lead the campaign to being fined, not to jail time and impeachment.

So if Justin Trudeau was paying blackmail money out his campaign funds that would be 'meh'? Or is it just because it is Trump and therefore not a big deal in the context of his craziness?

Also don't underestimate the way stuff like that can loom large down here. I mean back taxes are kind of 'meh' to me but that is what got Al Capone locked away and what got the KKK (at least the national organization) shut down, not all the murders they committed. We like small technicalities standing in for other stuff. Presuming it even is illegal what he did. I don't know. Campaign finance is weird. It may indeed be 'meh'.

What I mean is: I think Trump is wildly unqualified.  This stuff is just more evidence of that fact.  I don't think unreported campaign donations are going to wind up with anyone going to jail, or being the basis of Trump being impeached.
Posts here are my own private opinions.  I do not speak for my employer.

Razgovory

Quote from: Admiral Yi on May 04, 2018, 09:11:20 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on May 04, 2018, 05:23:23 PM
The issue is that if Cohen paid for this gal out his own money it's an unreported donation to the campaign.  If Trump paid him back it's an unreported loan to the campaign.

Do you know this for a fact Raz?


I'm not a lawyer, Yi.  But his is what we were discussing.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017

Admiral Yi

Quote from: Razgovory on May 05, 2018, 05:50:03 AM
I'm not a lawyer, Yi.  But his is what we were discussing.

There are times when i find it difficult to tell if you are passing on information or expressing your opinion.

Razgovory

Quote from: Admiral Yi on May 05, 2018, 02:01:27 PM
Quote from: Razgovory on May 05, 2018, 05:50:03 AM
I'm not a lawyer, Yi.  But his is what we were discussing.

There are times when i find it difficult to tell if you are passing on information or expressing your opinion.


Okay, this is me passing on information.  This is what I've read about the situation.
I've given it serious thought. I must scorn the ways of my family, and seek a Japanese woman to yield me my progeny. He shall live in the lands of the east, and be well tutored in his sacred trust to weave the best traditions of Japan and the Sacred South together, until such time as he (or, indeed his house, which will periodically require infusion of both Southern and Japanese bloodlines of note) can deliver to the South it's independence, either in this world or in space.  -Lettow April of 2011

Raz is right. -MadImmortalMan March of 2017