How large will Clinton win over Trump in the popular vote?

[Ed Anger]

I already bet my old man a hundred that Hillary is gonna win. So no Yi bets for me.

10%. I guess.

WHOOPS

[mongers]

Interesting that since I bumped this thread today, two of the four new votes have been for a trump victory, whereas previously just five out of the forty had gone for that prediction.

I live in a state where the registered Democrats outnumber the registered Republicans by a margin surpassed only by Massachusetts, and we have a Republican governor.  Why?  Because Republicans were energized with anti-Malleyism, and Democrats stayed home because Brown was as inspiring as a can of paint.
Same thing will happen on Tuesday in just enough states for Trump to win. 
Pure hatred for Clinton and the pure hatred for the accelerating progressiveness of American society will ensure that, yes, someone like Donald J. Trump will occupy the same office of Washington, Lincoln, FDR, Kennedy, Reagan.  Horrifying, dumbfounding, and sad.

Also for the record.

[Zoupa]

It's kinda fucked up if we can't rely on polls so much to shape policy and impact. Maybe the Scots go for a second referendum thinking they're at 60+ and end up getting a cold shower again for example. Bleh.

[Phillip V]

It's kinda fucked up if we can't rely on polls so much to shape policy and impact. Maybe the Scots go for a second referendum thinking they're at 60+ and end up getting a cold shower again for example. Bleh.

Brain chips.

[Eddie Teach]

For the record.

I'd like to point out that Tim wasn't the only one who thought Trump would lose Utah.

[Martinus]

Their model was kinda crap, BUT to be fair, lots and lots of polls were off by around 5%, sometimes more. I guess the shy Trump voter was a thing.

Polling is tough when people aren't honest about their answers.

I think it's less about people not being honest as people just telling pollsters to fuck off.

[Martinus]

How confident are we in our various predictions now?

I had apparently picked 8-9.99%, which I don't expect to happen anymore. It will be much closer, but I still expect Clinton to win both the popular vote and the electoral college.

Keep dreaming.

This election is in the bag for the Trumpminator.
The American people are waking up at last.

yes, the election is in the bag for trump. in the imaginary alt-right world where women and hispanics don't vote...

[Martinus]

The Huffington Puffington Post gave Hillary a 98.0% chance of winning last night.  Just 1.7% for Trump

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president

With a diverse editorial board like this, how could they got it so wrong? 

[Zoupa]

Yes Mart. Let's fire a couple of those qualified people that just happen to have a vagina to put Johnny Reb from Methtown, Oklahoma instead. To get a pulse of what the "real" America is thinking.

[Legbiter]

Ooops.

[Martinus]

Yes Mart. Let's fire a couple of those qualified people that just happen to have a vagina to put Johnny Reb from Methtown, Oklahoma instead. To get a pulse of what the "real" America is thinking.

Relax, man. You always read everything in the worst possible way. This photo made rounds few months ago because the author of the photo was actually using it to brag about the composition of the editorial board - at that time people thought it was funny and/or outrageous (I thought the former). I was just reusing the old meme.

[celedhring]

HuffPo has a shitload of male editors, moreover, it has a shitload of editors - a laughable amount for a single media outlet actually. They just probably sat several of the females together for the photo.

[jimmy olsen]

I guess the shy Trump voter was a thing.

Not really, he got less votes than Romney. Democratic turnout collapsed, and outside North Carolina, it can't in any significant way be blamed on Republican suppression.

[Martinus]

Not really, he got less votes than Romney.

What a horrible thing to say.

[Legbiter]

Not really, he got less votes than Romney. Democratic turnout collapsed, and outside North Carolina, it can't in any significant way be blamed on Republican suppression.

Trump's gambit paid off, his vote totals dropped in secure red states but he compensated for it in the swing states.