Brexit and the waning days of the United Kingdom

[mongers]

Isle of Scilly 56% Remain - 46% Leave, but that's the smallest 'constituency'

[mongers]

I'm betting Swindon goes Leave.

edit:
Leave 55% - vs Remain 45%.

[Agelastus]

Broxbourne massively for leave.

And Foyle's turnout's a lot lower than the Mainland's average; is that being replicated across Northern Ireland or is Foyle an outlier within the region?

[mongers]

Broxbourne massively for leave.

And Foyle's turnout's a lot lower than the Mainland's average; is that being replicated across Northern Ireland or is Foyle an outlier within the region?

Don't know, we need a N.Ireland expert.

Maybe Remain complacency amongst voters.

edit:
Broxbourne is a massive 66%-34%, is it also massive in terms of indicating the movement in the country.

[Razgovory]

What's he on about?  Not Tyr, MS.

To put it in the simplest way possible, again:

The UK is not allowed to leave the EU and will not do so.

Period.

You mean the EU is going to invade Britain?  Cause that only way they can prevent a Britain determined to leave.

He means it wouldn't be cricket. I guess the idea that a country could be bound by a code of conduct is beyond you Americans.

Nations are bound by treaties and laws, not insects.  Except for Bangladesh.  They have bugs all over.

[Sheilbh]

Hmm. Picking a statistically significant number of demographically representative polling stations should be possible, no? It's possible in other countries. And unlike the general election, the question is much easier and there is just a single huge constituency.

Yeah but we don't have referendums often, so regional turnout etc is hugely unpredictable.

Based on the early results it looks good-ish for leave. Sunderland is higher than you'd expect, Newcastle is tighter than you'd expect and there's lots of reports of a significantly lower turnout in Scotland.

[Agelastus]

Kettering for leave on a turnout 7% higher than the General Election turnout.

It appears that my anecdotal impression from earlier today actually understated the case.

It certainly appears that the polling companies were accurate when they said the turnout would be at or above general election levels (based on the numbers of "certain to vote" replies they were getting in the polls.)

[mongers]

Kettering goes 61%-39% for Leave.

[Sheilbh]

God Labour are in trouble

[Sheilbh]

Kettering for leave on a turnout 7% higher than the General Election turnout.

It appears that my anecdotal impression from earlier today actually understated the case.

It certainly appears that the polling companies were accurate when they said the turnout would be at or above general election levels (based on the numbers of "certain to vote" replies they were getting in the polls.)

Interestingly may suggest that the 'never makes a difference' voters are turning out?

[mongers]

So how similar will the referendum results map look when compare to the loyalties in the English Civil War? 

[mongers]

God Labour we all are in trouble

[OttoVonBismarck]

Legally this referendum isn't technically binding is it? I understand it's "viewed" as politically binding. But what happens if Cameron refuses to execute it and he maintains enough support in commons to remain PM? If he steps down and a new election is held and the Farage/Johnson types can't win a government could parliament not simply refuse to do anything about this referendum?

[OttoVonBismarck]

This is why I oppose referendums bitterly at the State level here and am glad they have no role in our Federal government. It's barbarism for people to have such a direct say.

[mongers]

Legally this referendum isn't technically binding is it? I understand it's "viewed" as politically binding. But what happens if Cameron refuses to execute it and he maintains enough support in commons to remain PM? If he steps down and a new election is held and the Farage/Johnson types can't win a government could parliament not simply refuse to do anything about this referendum?

How does that happen with all of the sharpened knives already in hands.