US birth rate increases for first time since 2007

[jimmy olsen]

More cannon foder, excellent! 

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_06.pdf

The preliminary number of births for the United States in 2014 was 3,985,924, an increase of 1% (or 53,743 births) from 2013 (3,932,181) (Tables 1 and 2 and Figure 2) (2). This is the first increase in births since 2007, ending the recent downward trend. The number of births declined steadily from 2007 through 2010, but the pace of decline slowed from 2010 through 2013.
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The number of births increased 1% for women in each of the three largest race and Hispanic origin groups (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic) from 2013 to 2014 (2). Births to Asian or Pacific Islander (API) women increased 6% in 2014, whereas births to American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) women decreased 2%.
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The preliminary general fertility rate (GFR) for the United States also increased 1% in 2014, to 62.9 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, from 62.5 in 2013 (Tables 1, 3, and 5 and Figure 2) (2,4). This is the first increase in the fertility rate since 2007. Similar to the trend in the number of births, the rate declined steadily from 2007 through 2013, with the pace of decline slowing from 2010 through 2013.

The preliminary birth rate for teenagers in 2014 was 24.2 births per 1,000 women aged 15–19—yet another historic low for the nation (Tables 1, 3, and 4 and Figures 3 and 4) (2,5). The rate was down 9% from 2013 (26.5) and has declined more than 7% annually since 2007. Since the most recent peak in 1991 (61.8), the rate has declined a total of 61% (5). In 2014, the preliminary number of births to women aged 15–19 was 249,067 (Tables 1 and 2), down 9% from 2013 and 44% from 2007 (444,899) (2,5).

+ In 2014, the preliminary birth rates for teenagers aged 15–17 and 18–19 fell 11% and 7%, respectively, to 10.9 and 43.8 births per 1,000 women, another record low for both groups, from 12.3 and 47.1 in 2013. Since 2007, the rate for teenagers aged 15–17 has declined more than 9% annually, and the rate for those aged 18–19 has declined nearly 7% annually. The number of births for teenagers aged 15–17 declined 11% from 2013 to 2014, and births to those aged 18–19 declined 8%.

The birth rate for teenagers aged 10–14 was 0.3 births per 1,000 in 2014, unchanged from 2013, the historic low for the nation. The number of births to mothers in this age group declined 11% in 2014, to 2,771 births.
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The preliminary birth rate for women aged 20–24 in 2014 was 79.0 births per 1,000 women, down 2% from the rate in 2013 (80.7), reaching yet another record low for the nation (Tables 1 and 3 and Figure 4) (2,4). The rate for women in this age group has declined steadily since 2007 at more than 4% a year. The number of births to women in their early 20s decreased 2% from 2013 to 2014 (Tables 1 and 2). The rate for women aged 25–29 was 105.7 births per 1,000 women, essentially unchanged from 2013 (105.5) (2). Since 2008, the rate for women in this age group has declined more than 1% a year. The number of births to women in their late 20s increased 2% from 2013 to 2014.
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The preliminary birth rate for women aged 30–34 in 2014 was 100.8 births per 1,000 women, up 3% from the rate in 2013 (98.0) (Tables 1 and 3 and Figure 4). The rate for this group has increased steadily since 2011. The number of births to women in their early 30s also increased in 2014, by 4%.
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The rate for women aged 35–39 was 50.9 births per 1,000 women, up 3% from 2013 (49.3). The rate for this group has increased steadily since 2010 (2). The number of births to women in their late 30s increased 5% in 2014.
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The preliminary birth rate for women aged 40–44 in 2014 was 10.6 births per 1,000 women, up 2% from 2013 (10.4). Since 1982, the rate for women in their early 40s has generally risen (2,4). The number of births to these women was essentially unchanged in 2014. The rate for women aged 45–49 (which includes births to women aged 50 and over) was 0.8 births per 1,000 women, unchanged from 2013. The number of births to women in this age group increased 4% in 2014 (Tables 2–4).
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The preliminary total fertility rate (TFR) for the United States in 2014 was 1,861.5 births per 1,000 women, a slight increase (less than 1%) from the rate in 2013 (1,857.5) (2). This is the first increase in the rate since 2007 (2). The TFR estimates the number of births that a hypothetical group of 1,000 women would have over their lifetimes, based on the age-specific birth rates in a given year.
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The 2014 TFR was below replacement—the level at which a given generation can exactly replace itself (2,100 births per 1,000 women). The rate has not been above replacement since 2007 (2).

+ The preliminary first birth rate for the United States in 2014 was 24.6 first births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, down slightly (less than 1%) from 2013 (24.7) and reaching another record low (Table 3) (2,4). First-birth rates decreased for women aged 15–24, increased for women aged 30–39, and were unchanged for women aged 10–14, 25–29, and 40 and over (2,6). The rate for second-order births to women aged 15–44 also increased in 2014, by 1%, as did the rates for third-order (up 2%) and fourth-and higher-order (up 3%) births. + The birth rate for unmarried women in 2014 (44.0 births per 1,000 unmarried women aged 15–44) declined 1% from 2013 (44.3) (2). The rate has declined for 6 consecutive years and was 15% lower than the all-time peak in 2007 and 2008 (51.8). The 2014 preliminary rate was the lowest since 2002 (43.6).
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Nonmarital births numbered almost 9,000 more in 2014 (1,604,495) than in 2013 (1,595,873), a 1% increase (Table 6). The 2014 preliminary number of nonmarital births is 7% lower than the 2008 peak (1,726,566).
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The percentage of all births to unmarried women declined to 40.3% in 2014, from 40.6% in 2013. This overall decline was primarily the result of a compositional shift (that is, more births to older women who have proportionally fewer nonmarital births than their younger counterparts).
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The percentage of nonmarital births declined from 2013 to 2014 for all race and Hispanic origin groups. The percentage of births to unmarried mothers in 2014 ranged from 16.4% for API women to 70.9% for non-Hispanic black women.

[Valmy]

Still above 1.8 and less than 2.2? Good. Anyway this, as one might expect, tracks nicely with the economy.