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#21

Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...

Last post by Sheilbh - Today at 02:46:02 PM

Separately - and this is before the Farage news - YouGov MRP:

YouGov
@YouGov
Our first MRP of the 2024 general election shows Labour winning a majority of 194, larger than even Tony Blair's landslides

Labour: 422 (+220 from GE2019)
Conservative: 140 (-225)
Lib Dem: 48 (+37)
SNP: 17 (-31)
Green: 2 (+1)
PC: 2 (-2)
Reform UK: 0 (=)

And one done by More in Common:

Luke Tryl
@LukeTryl
🚨🚨 Our first @Moreincommon_
 @TheNewsAgents
 MRP of the campaign projects a Labour majority of 114
🔴 Labour 382 (+180)
🔵 Conservative 180 (-185)
🟠 Lib Dem 30 (+19)
🟡 SNP 35 (-13)
🟢Plaid 3 (-1)
🟩 Green 1 (-)
Changes on 2019 actual seat totals

The Tories were briefing that they think they won the "air war" in the first week

Also as it's one of the few seats I feel qualified to have an opinion on - there is no way that the SNP are down to 17 seats and hold onto Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross.

Edit: Also not sure I can really see Labour winning Na h-Eileanan an Iar, but the incumbent SNP MP was expelled from the party so I think he's running an independent or for Alba, so the nationalist vote might split and there's increasing signs of unionist tactical voting in Scotland.....so maybe

#22

Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...

Last post by Sheilbh - Today at 02:40:54 PM

I saw Labour trying to make Sunak's hedge fund past into an attack and thought it would probably be too complicated to be effective.

I think I was wrong (also "The Big Short: Rishi Sunak" is savage):
https://x.com/UKLabour/status/1797691790197137525

#23

Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...

Last post by HVC - Today at 02:32:49 PM

lol A for effort.

#24

Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...

Last post by Tamas - Today at 02:30:12 PM

Let the electoral fraud begin!

https://x.com/robertlargan/status/1796819961194627547?t=bBYUKCGLsb0VT_cWn92PaQ&s=19

Wow

#25

Off the Record / Re: Brexit and the waning days...

Last post by Josquius - Today at 02:24:05 PM

Let the electoral fraud begin!

https://x.com/robertlargan/status/1796819961194627547?t=bBYUKCGLsb0VT_cWn92PaQ&s=19

#26

Off the Record / Re: Israel-Hamas War 2023

Last post by Razgovory - Today at 02:19:14 PM

March for Israel today.  There were some counter-protesters.

#27

Off the Record / Re: The Off Topic Topic

Last post by Tamas - Today at 02:18:01 PM

I am: going to see Springsteen in Wembley. Managed to find a ticket for the first half of the standing area that wasn't horrendously expensive

#28

Off the Record / Re: [Canada] Canadian Politics...

Last post by Josquius - Today at 02:15:53 PM

Look at that. The bbc talking about Canadian housing.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjjjvnq4665o.amp.


It's funny how in recent years this stuff is becoming mainstream news.

We're seeing - well maybe not a lot, but some - development of 2/4/6-ples buildings in what are mature neighbourhoods in good locations, and were previously single-family-only neighbourhoods.

I went to my kid's ball practice on Sunday.  It was in a nice post-war neighbourhood - mature trees and definitely much closer to downtown than my neighbourhood built in the 90s (which is much closer still compared to new developments).  But anyways there were small post-war bungalos, mixed with new infill mega-houses, mixed with large 4-6 plexes.

As I understand it though the really big builders have a development model that works for them - they take farmland and build a neighbourhood with hundreds of homes.  It's very profitable since it's being done at scale.  Doing one-off infill developments is just more time-consuming and much less profitable.  So we almost need to develop a whole new industry of smaller-scale developers (because it still is profitable).

Sounds good for those infills. Wish we had that here.
It's funny but it's not something I'd ever considered before but my gf comments a lot about the UK-it's weird how in our estates all the houses look the same. In Switzerland you've a lot more of a mish mash of different buildings in estates.
 She grew up in a 2 bedroom flat in a 3 story 3 flat building,... Whilst on her street was some lovely classic Swiss looking houses, a big home for a family with 7 kids, and apparently some really fancy houses where some local celebrities live.

And yep on developers preferring big suburban developments. It's one of many problems with those who have the idea that if you just toss out all regulation the situation  will naturally just sort itself out.

#29

Off the Record / Re: TV/Movies Megathread

Last post by Admiral Yi - Today at 01:33:09 PM

My roommate conned me into watching Black Orpheus.  Lots of dancing, not a good movie.

#30

Off the Record / Re: TV/Movies Megathread

Last post by Valmy - Today at 01:31:58 PM

In Top Secret, why is the resistance speaking with a French accent? They're in East Germany FFS.

Because it was the French Resistance.

In East Germany? The movie seems nonsensical to me.

Yeah. I hope somebody got fired for that blunder.